# Prediction Market Act of 2026 ## Overview Bipartisan federal legislation introduced by Senators Dave McCormick (R-PA) and Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) on April 30, 2026, to establish a comprehensive federal framework for event contract markets. ## Key Provisions - **Statutory Definition**: Defines "prediction market contract" as "any financial instrument, contract, or derivative listed on or offered by a platform engaged in interstate commerce and tied to the occurrence or non-occurrence of a future event" - **Enhanced DCM Standards**: Establishes enhanced Designated Contract Market (DCM) certification standards and customer protections - **Insider Trading Prohibitions**: Bars members of Congress, president, vice president, and senior executive branch officials from trading on prediction market platforms - **Office of the Retail Advocate**: Creates new office within CFTC to represent retail participants - **Advisory Council**: Establishes Advisory Council on Consumer Protection composed of regulators, law enforcement, consumer advocates, and market participants - **Fund Segregation**: Requires fund segregation and safeguards against illicit finance ## Scope Stated scope addresses "outcomes in politics, sports, climate, and other events." No explicit mention of governance markets, futarchy, or decision markets in public materials. ## Legislative Context - Companion legislation exists: Blumenthal's "Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act" (more restrictive) - Senate unanimously passed resolution restricting congressional prediction market trading - First statutory attempt to define event contracts at federal level ## Regulatory Significance Would create first statutory definition of "event contract," potentially short-circuiting current state-federal jurisdiction battles and establishing clear federal framework for prediction market regulation. ## Timeline - **2026-04-30** — Bill introduced by Senators McCormick and Gillibrand ## Links - Press Release: https://www.mccormick.senate.gov/news/press-releases/senators-mccormick-gillibrand-introduce-legislation-to-strengthen-prediction-markets-and-protect-everyday-investors/ - Bill Text PDF: https://www.mccormick.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/The-Prediction-Market-Act-of-2026.pdf