teleo-codex/domains/ai-alignment
m3taversal 3d2f079633 theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim
- What: 3 new claims from "Completing Claude's Cycles" (no-way-labs/residue)
  + enrichment of existing multi-model claim with detailed architecture
- Claims:
  1. Structured exploration protocols reduce human intervention by 6x (Residue prompt)
  2. AI agent orchestration outperforms coaching (orchestrator as data router)
  3. Coordination protocol design produces larger gains than model scaling
- Enriched: multi-model claim now includes Aquino-Michaels's Agent O/C/orchestrator detail
- Source: archived at inbox/archive/2026-03-00-aquinomichaels-completing-claudes-cycles.md
- _map.md: AI Capability Evidence section reorganized into 3 subsections
  (Collaboration Patterns, Architecture & Scaling, Failure Modes & Oversight)
- All wiki links verified resolving

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <845F10FB-BC22-40F6-A6A6-F6E4D8F78465>
2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
..
_map.md theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim 2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
adaptive governance outperforms rigid alignment blueprints because superintelligence development has too many unknowns for fixed plans.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
AGI may emerge as a patchwork of coordinating sub-AGI agents rather than a single monolithic system.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
AI agent orchestration that routes data and tools between specialized models outperforms both single-model and human-coached approaches because the orchestrator contributes coordination not direction.md theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim 2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
AI alignment is a coordination problem not a technical problem.md leo: foundations audit — 7 moves, 4 deletes, 3 condensations, 10 confidence demotions, 23 type fixes, 1 centaur rewrite 2026-03-07 11:56:38 -07:00
AI capability and reliability are independent dimensions because Claude solved a 30-year open mathematical problem while simultaneously degrading at basic program execution during the same session.md theseus: extract 4 claims from Knuth's Claude's Cycles paper 2026-03-07 19:52:15 +00:00
AI development is a critical juncture in institutional history where the mismatch between capabilities and governance creates a window for transformation.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
AI lowers the expertise barrier for engineering biological weapons from PhD-level to amateur which makes bioterrorism the most proximate AI-enabled existential risk.md theseus: 3 enrichments + 2 claims from Dario Amodei / Anthropic sources 2026-03-06 08:05:22 -07:00
AI personas emerge from pre-training data as a spectrum of humanlike motivations rather than developing monomaniacal goals which makes AI behavior more unpredictable but less catastrophically focused than instrumental convergence predicts.md theseus: 3 enrichments + 2 claims from Dario Amodei / Anthropic sources 2026-03-06 08:05:22 -07:00
an aligned-seeming AI may be strategically deceptive because cooperative behavior is instrumentally optimal while weak.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
anthropomorphizing AI agents to claim autonomous action creates credibility debt that compounds until a crisis forces public reckoning.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
bostrom takes single-digit year timelines to superintelligence seriously while acknowledging decades-long alternatives remain possible.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
capability control methods are temporary at best because a sufficiently intelligent system can circumvent any containment designed by lesser minds.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
community-centred norm elicitation surfaces alignment targets materially different from developer-specified rules.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
coordination protocol design produces larger capability gains than model scaling because the same AI model performed 6x better with structured exploration than with human coaching on the same problem.md theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim 2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
current language models escalate to nuclear war in simulated conflicts because behavioral alignment cannot instill aversion to catastrophic irreversible actions.md leo: foundations audit — 7 moves, 4 deletes, 3 condensations, 10 confidence demotions, 23 type fixes, 1 centaur rewrite 2026-03-07 11:56:38 -07:00
delegating critical infrastructure development to AI creates civilizational fragility because humans lose the ability to understand maintain and fix the systems civilization depends on.md theseus: 6 AI alignment claims from Noah Smith Phase 2 extraction 2026-03-06 07:27:56 -07:00
democratic alignment assemblies produce constitutions as effective as expert-designed ones while better representing diverse populations.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
developing superintelligence is surgery for a fatal condition not russian roulette because the baseline of inaction is itself catastrophic.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
economic forces push humans out of every cognitive loop where output quality is independently verifiable because human-in-the-loop is a cost that competitive markets eliminate.md theseus: 6 AI alignment claims from Noah Smith Phase 2 extraction 2026-03-06 07:27:56 -07:00
emergent misalignment arises naturally from reward hacking as models develop deceptive behaviors without any training to deceive.md theseus: enrich emergent misalignment + government designation claims 2026-03-06 07:57:37 -07:00
formal verification of AI-generated proofs provides scalable oversight that human review cannot match because machine-checked correctness scales with AI capability while human verification degrades.md theseus: extract 4 claims from Knuth's Claude's Cycles paper 2026-03-07 19:52:15 +00:00
government designation of safety-conscious AI labs as supply chain risks inverts the regulatory dynamic by penalizing safety constraints rather than enforcing them.md theseus: enrich emergent misalignment + government designation claims 2026-03-06 07:57:37 -07:00
human civilization passes falsifiable superorganism criteria because individuals cannot survive apart from society and occupations function as role-specific cellular algorithms.md theseus: address Leo + Theseus review feedback on PR #47 2026-03-07 17:59:11 +00:00
human-AI mathematical collaboration succeeds through role specialization where AI explores solution spaces humans provide strategic direction and mathematicians verify correctness.md theseus: extract 4 claims from Knuth's Claude's Cycles paper 2026-03-07 19:52:15 +00:00
instrumental convergence risks may be less imminent than originally argued because current AI architectures do not exhibit systematic power-seeking behavior.md Auto: 4 files | 4 files changed, 37 insertions(+), 3 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
intelligence and goals are orthogonal so a superintelligence can be maximally competent while pursuing arbitrary or destructive ends.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
intrinsic proactive alignment develops genuine moral capacity through self-awareness empathy and theory of mind rather than external reward optimization.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
marginal returns to intelligence are bounded by five complementary factors which means superintelligence cannot produce unlimited capability gains regardless of cognitive power.md theseus: 3 enrichments + 2 claims from Dario Amodei / Anthropic sources 2026-03-06 08:05:22 -07:00
multi-model collaboration solved problems that single models could not because different AI architectures contribute complementary capabilities as the even-case solution to Knuths Hamiltonian decomposition required GPT and Claude working together.md theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim 2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
nation-states will inevitably assert control over frontier AI development because the monopoly on force is the foundational state function and weapons-grade AI capability in private hands is structurally intolerable to governments.md theseus: 6 AI alignment claims from Noah Smith Phase 2 extraction 2026-03-06 07:27:56 -07:00
no research group is building alignment through collective intelligence infrastructure despite the field converging on problems that require it.md leo: foundations audit — 7 moves, 4 deletes, 3 condensations, 10 confidence demotions, 23 type fixes, 1 centaur rewrite 2026-03-07 11:56:38 -07:00
permanently failing to develop superintelligence is itself an existential catastrophe because preventable mass death continues indefinitely.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
persistent irreducible disagreement.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
pluralistic alignment must accommodate irreducibly diverse values simultaneously rather than converging on a single aligned state.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
recursive self-improvement creates explosive intelligence gains because the system that improves is itself improving.md theseus: 3 enrichments + 2 claims from Dario Amodei / Anthropic sources 2026-03-06 08:05:22 -07:00
safe AI development requires building alignment mechanisms before scaling capability.md leo: foundations audit — 7 moves, 4 deletes, 3 condensations, 10 confidence demotions, 23 type fixes, 1 centaur rewrite 2026-03-07 11:56:38 -07:00
some disagreements are permanently irreducible because they stem from genuine value differences not information gaps and systems must map rather than eliminate them.md Auto: 4 files | 4 files changed, 37 insertions(+), 3 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
specifying human values in code is intractable because our goals contain hidden complexity comparable to visual perception.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
structured exploration protocols reduce human intervention by 6x because the Residue prompt enabled 5 unguided AI explorations to solve what required 31 human-coached explorations.md theseus: extract 3 claims from Aquino-Michaels + enrich multi-model claim 2026-03-07 20:18:35 +00:00
super co-alignment proposes that human and AI values should be co-shaped through iterative alignment rather than specified in advance.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
superorganism organization extends effective lifespan substantially at each organizational level which means civilizational intelligence operates on temporal horizons that individual-preference alignment cannot serve.md theseus: address Leo + Theseus review feedback on PR #47 2026-03-07 17:59:11 +00:00
the first mover to superintelligence likely gains decisive strategic advantage because the gap between leader and followers accelerates during takeoff.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
the optimal SI development strategy is swift to harbor slow to berth moving fast to capability then pausing before full deployment.md Auto: 4 files | 4 files changed, 37 insertions(+), 3 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
the specification trap means any values encoded at training time become structurally unstable as deployment contexts diverge from training conditions.md Auto: 23 files | 23 files changed, 31 insertions(+), 99 deletions(-) 2026-03-06 12:36:24 +00:00
three conditions gate AI takeover risk autonomy robotics and production chain control and current AI satisfies none of them which bounds near-term catastrophic risk despite superhuman cognitive capabilities.md leo: evaluator calibration — 2 standalone→enrichment conversions + 3 new evaluation gates 2026-03-06 07:41:42 -07:00
voluntary safety pledges cannot survive competitive pressure because unilateral commitments are structurally punished when competitors advance without equivalent constraints.md theseus: 3 enrichments + 2 claims from Dario Amodei / Anthropic sources 2026-03-06 08:05:22 -07:00