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m3taversal d0998a23bd theseus: AI coordination governance evidence — 3 claims + 1 entity 
- What: 3 claims on coordination governance empirics (binding regulation as
  only mechanism that works, transparency declining, compute export controls
  as misaligned governance) + UK AISI entity + comprehensive source archive
- Why: targeted research on weakest grounding of B2 ("alignment is coordination
  problem"). Found that voluntary coordination has empirically failed across
  every mechanism tested (2023-2026). Only binding regulation with enforcement
  changes behavior. This challenges the optimistic version of B2 and
  strengthens the case for enforcement-backed coordination.
- Connections: confirms voluntary-safety-pledge claim with extensive new
  evidence, strengthens nation-state-control claim, challenges alignment-tax
  claim by showing the tax is being cut not paid

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <B4A5B354-03D6-4291-A6A8-1E04A879D9AC>
2026-03-16 19:35:00 +00:00
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archive theseus: AI coordination governance evidence — 3 claims + 1 entity 2026-03-16 19:35:00 +00:00
claims theseus: extract claims from Doshi-Hauser AI creativity experiment (#484) 2026-03-11 09:23:12 +00:00
Aschenbrenners Q4 2025 pivot from chips to power infrastructure demonstrates real-time attractor state refinement as the bottleneck shifted from compute to electricity.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
claynosaurz-mediawan-animated-series.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-mediawan-partnership-post.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-new-entertainment-playbook.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-popkins-mint.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynotopia-worldbuilding-thread.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
creative-industries-technology-analysis.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
leopold-aschenbrenner-situational-awareness-research.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
one year of outperformance is insufficient evidence to distinguish alpha from leveraged beta because Cathie Wood Burry and Aschenbrenner all looked brilliant at the one-year mark.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
publishing investment analysis openly before raising capital inverts hedge fund secrecy and builds credibility that attracts LPs who can independently evaluate the thesis.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
shapiro-ai-use-cases-hollywood.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-cant-just-make-hits.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-churn-dynamics.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-disruption-hollywood.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-genai-creative-tool.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-hollywood-talent-embrace-ai.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-how-far-will-ai-video-go.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-infinite-tv.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-ip-as-platform.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-power-laws-culture.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-relentless-creator-economy.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-scarce-when-quality-abundant.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-social-video-eating-world.md Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+) 2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
Situational Awareness LP converted a 165-page thesis into a 5.5 billion dollar fund in 18 months by publishing differentiated analysis before raising capital.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
the Cathie Wood failure mode shows that transparent thesis plus concentrated bets plus early outperformance is structurally identical whether the outcome is spectacular success or catastrophic failure.md Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39) 2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00