m3taversal d98bfef0f9 rio: META-036 Robin Hanson futarchy research — decision record + entity update ... - What: Decision record for META-036 ($80,007 USDC for 6-month academic research at GMU led by Robin Hanson), source archive with supporting docs, MetaDAO entity updated with active proposal in Key Decisions + timeline - Why: First rigorous experimental test of futarchy decision-market governance. 500 student participants in controlled experiments. GMU waived 59.1% F&A overhead and absorbed GRA costs — actual resource commitment ~$112K. Live market at 50% likelihood, $42K volume. - Source: MetaDAO proposal page, @MetaDAOProject tweet, GMU Scope of Work (FP6572), GMU Budget Justification (FP6572) Pentagon-Agent: Rio <5551F5AF-0C5C-429F-8915-1FE74A00E019>		2026-03-21 18:03:45 +00:00
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archive	pipeline: archive 1 source(s) post-merge	2026-03-21 17:12:27 +00:00
claims	theseus: extract claims from Doshi-Hauser AI creativity experiment (#484)	2026-03-11 09:23:12 +00:00
null-result	epimetheus: clean queue — move 25 null-result, 2 processed, reset 47 enrichment/processing to unprocessed	2026-03-19 13:23:55 +00:00
queue	rio: META-036 Robin Hanson futarchy research — decision record + entity update	2026-03-21 18:03:45 +00:00
Aschenbrenners Q4 2025 pivot from chips to power infrastructure demonstrates real-time attractor state refinement as the bottleneck shifted from compute to electricity.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
claynosaurz-mediawan-animated-series.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-mediawan-partnership-post.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-new-entertainment-playbook.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynosaurz-popkins-mint.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
claynotopia-worldbuilding-thread.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
creative-industries-technology-analysis.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
leopold-aschenbrenner-situational-awareness-research.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
one year of outperformance is insufficient evidence to distinguish alpha from leveraged beta because Cathie Wood Burry and Aschenbrenner all looked brilliant at the one-year mark.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
publishing investment analysis openly before raising capital inverts hedge fund secrecy and builds credibility that attracts LPs who can independently evaluate the thesis.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
shapiro-ai-use-cases-hollywood.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-cant-just-make-hits.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-churn-dynamics.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-disruption-hollywood.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-genai-creative-tool.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-hollywood-talent-embrace-ai.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-how-far-will-ai-video-go.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-infinite-tv.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-ip-as-platform.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-power-laws-culture.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-relentless-creator-economy.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-scarce-when-quality-abundant.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
shapiro-social-video-eating-world.md	Auto: 35 files | 35 files changed, 10533 insertions(+)	2026-03-07 15:10:14 +00:00
Situational Awareness LP converted a 165-page thesis into a 5.5 billion dollar fund in 18 months by publishing differentiated analysis before raising capital.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00
the Cathie Wood failure mode shows that transparent thesis plus concentrated bets plus early outperformance is structurally identical whether the outcome is spectacular success or catastrophic failure.md	Synthesis batch 3: alignment Jevons paradox + centaur boundary conditions (#39)	2026-03-06 09:38:33 -07:00