diff --git a/diagnostics/app.py b/diagnostics/app.py
index e484ed8..59eb5dd 100644
--- a/diagnostics/app.py
+++ b/diagnostics/app.py
@@ -221,12 +221,31 @@ def _compute_vital_signs(conn) -> dict:
     """Compute Vida's five vital signs from DB state + claim-index."""
 
     # 1. Review throughput — backlog and latency
-    open_prs = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='open'").fetchone()["n"]
-    conflict_prs = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='conflict'").fetchone()["n"]
+    # Query Forgejo directly for authoritative PR counts (DB misses agent-created PRs)
+    forgejo_open = 0
+    forgejo_unmergeable = 0
+    try:
+        import requests as _req
+        _token = Path("/opt/teleo-eval/secrets/forgejo-token").read_text().strip() if Path("/opt/teleo-eval/secrets/forgejo-token").exists() else ""
+        _resp = _req.get(
+            "http://localhost:3000/api/v1/repos/teleo/teleo-codex/pulls?state=open&limit=50",
+            headers={"Authorization": f"token {_token}"} if _token else {},
+            timeout=10,
+        )
+        if _resp.status_code == 200:
+            _prs = _resp.json()
+            forgejo_open = len(_prs)
+            forgejo_unmergeable = sum(1 for p in _prs if not p.get("mergeable", True))
+    except Exception:
+        # Fallback to DB counts if Forgejo unreachable
+        forgejo_open = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='open'").fetchone()["n"]
+
+    open_prs = forgejo_open
+    conflict_prs = forgejo_unmergeable
     conflict_permanent_prs = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='conflict_permanent'").fetchone()["n"]
     approved_prs = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='approved'").fetchone()["n"]
     reviewing_prs = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) as n FROM prs WHERE status='reviewing'").fetchone()["n"]
-    backlog = open_prs + approved_prs + conflict_prs + reviewing_prs
+    backlog = open_prs
 
     oldest_open = conn.execute(
         "SELECT MIN(created_at) as oldest FROM prs WHERE status='open'"