extract: 2026-03-28-tg-shared-robinhanson-2037680495321055257-s-46
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@ -78,6 +78,12 @@ Start with the Delaware LLC wrapper under Reg D 506(c) -- accredited investors o
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### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-28-tg-shared-robinhanson-2037680495321055257-s-46]] | Added: 2026-03-28*
Robin Hanson observes that 20-40% of stock price changes happen before official firm announcements, indicating rampant insider trading, yet stock markets function fine. This suggests that Living Capital's strict NDA-bound clean team architecture may be over-engineered relative to the actual information leakage tolerance that functional markets demonstrate. If traditional equity markets tolerate substantial pre-announcement information flow without breaking, the case for strict information barriers in futarchy-governed investment may be weaker than assumed.
Relevant Notes:
- [[Living Capital vehicles pair Living Agent domain expertise with futarchy-governed investment to direct capital toward crucial innovations]] -- the vehicle this information architecture serves
- [[futarchy-based fundraising creates regulatory separation because there are no beneficial owners and investment decisions emerge from market forces not centralized control]] -- the governance structure the information flows into

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@ -7,10 +7,14 @@ url: "https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46"
date: 2026-03-28
domain: internet-finance
format: social-media
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
contribution_type: source-submission
tags: ['telegram-shared', 'x-tweet', 'market-analysis']
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-28
enrichments_applied: ["Living Capital information disclosure uses NDA-bound diligence experts who produce public investment memos creating a clean team architecture where the market builds trust in analysts over time.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
# @robinhanson — Tweet/Thread
@ -21,3 +25,9 @@ Source URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46
## Content
On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading.
## Key Facts
- Robin Hanson estimates 20-40% of stock price changes occur before official firm announcements
- Hanson argues this indicates insider trading is rampant in stock markets
- Despite this level of insider trading, stock markets continue to function effectively