teleo-codex/inbox/queue/2026-03-28-tg-shared-robinhanson-2037680495321055257-s-46.md
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extract: 2026-03-28-tg-shared-robinhanson-2037680495321055257-s-46
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2026-03-28 12:32:02 +00:00

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type source_type title author url date domain format status proposed_by contribution_type tags processed_by processed_date enrichments_applied extraction_model
source x-tweet @robinhanson — shared via Telegram by @m3taversal @robinhanson https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46 2026-03-28 internet-finance social-media enrichment @m3taversal source-submission
telegram-shared
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market-analysis
rio 2026-03-28
Living Capital information disclosure uses NDA-bound diligence experts who produce public investment memos creating a clean team architecture where the market builds trust in analysts over time.md
anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5

@robinhanson — Tweet/Thread

Shared by @m3taversal via Telegram. Source URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46

Content

On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading.

Key Facts

  • Robin Hanson estimates 20-40% of stock price changes occur before official firm announcements
  • Hanson argues this indicates insider trading is rampant in stock markets
  • Despite this level of insider trading, stock markets continue to function effectively