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extract: 2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis

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@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-03-21
domain: internet-finance domain: internet-finance
secondary_domains: [mechanisms, collective-intelligence] secondary_domains: [mechanisms, collective-intelligence]
format: research-note format: research-note
status: unprocessed status: null-result
priority: high priority: high
tags: [metadao, robin-hanson, futarchy, mechanism-b, information-aggregation, academic-research, gmu] tags: [metadao, robin-hanson, futarchy, mechanism-b, information-aggregation, academic-research, gmu]
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-25
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
--- ---
## Content ## Content
@ -64,3 +68,13 @@ The META-036 study may produce the first empirical data on Mechanism A in futarc
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[speculative markets aggregate information through incentive and selection effects not wisdom of crowds]] PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[speculative markets aggregate information through incentive and selection effects not wisdom of crowds]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Research synthesis note identifying that META-036 creates a documented gap in the KB's Mechanism B evidence — the operative theoretical claim for Belief #1 has no experimental validation, and the first study to provide it is now funded (conditional on vote outcome) WHY ARCHIVED: Research synthesis note identifying that META-036 creates a documented gap in the KB's Mechanism B evidence — the operative theoretical claim for Belief #1 has no experimental validation, and the first study to provide it is now funded (conditional on vote outcome)
EXTRACTION HINT: The core extraction is NOT a claim but a belief update: the Session 9 claim candidate ("two separable epistemic mechanisms") should include a scope note that Mechanism B is theoretically grounded but experimentally unvalidated. META-036 is the first attempt to close this gap. EXTRACTION HINT: The core extraction is NOT a claim but a belief update: the Session 9 claim candidate ("two separable epistemic mechanisms") should include a scope note that Mechanism B is theoretically grounded but experimentally unvalidated. META-036 is the first attempt to close this gap.
## Key Facts
- META-036 proposal requests $80,007 USDC for 6-month academic research
- Study led by Robin Hanson (futarchy inventor) and Dr. Daniel Houser at George Mason University
- 500 student participants at $50 each
- Budget breakdown: Hanson summer salary ~$30K, GRA ~$19K, participant payments $25K, Houser co-PI ~$6K
- Decision market status as of March 21, 2026: 50% likelihood, $42.16K volume, ~2 days remaining
- Study is IRB-reviewed
- Proposal aims to produce 'first rigorous experimental evidence on information-aggregation efficiency of futarchy governance'