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613 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
79ace5cd68 Auto: domains/manufacturing/ASML EUV lithography monopoly is the deepest chokepoint in semiconductor manufacturing because 30 years of co-developed precision optics created an unreplicable ecosystem that gates all leading-edge chip production.md | 1 file changed, 47 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
de9a1256d9 Auto: domains/energy/AI datacenter power demand creates a 5-10 year infrastructure lag because grid construction and interconnection cannot match the pace of chip design cycles.md | 1 file changed, 42 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
ce0db9fd14 Auto: domains/manufacturing/TSMC manufactures 92 percent of advanced logic chips making Taiwan the single largest physical vulnerability in global technology infrastructure.md | 1 file changed, 38 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
1cb38f00fc Auto: domains/manufacturing/semiconductor fab cost escalation means each new process node is a nation-state commitment because 20B-plus capital costs and multi-year construction create irreversible geographic path dependence.md | 1 file changed, 39 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
2b0070ecd1 Auto: domains/manufacturing/HBM memory supply concentration creates a three-vendor chokepoint where all production is sold out through 2026 gating every AI training system regardless of processor architecture.md | 1 file changed, 38 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
d07d28afff Auto: domains/manufacturing/CoWoS advanced packaging is the binding bottleneck on AI compute scaling because TSMC near-monopoly on interposer technology gates total accelerator output regardless of chip design capability.md | 1 file changed, 39 insertions(+) 2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
06b96df522 theseus: add 3 compute infrastructure claims + source archive
- What: 3 structural claims about AI compute governance implications
  1. Inference shift favors distributed architectures (experimental)
  2. Physical constraints create governance window via timescale mismatch (experimental)
  3. Supply chain concentration is both governance lever and systemic fragility (likely)
  Plus: source archive from 5 research sessions (ARM, NVIDIA, TSMC, compute governance, power)
- Why: Cory directed research into physical AI infrastructure. Joint effort with Astra —
  Astra takes manufacturing/energy claims, Theseus takes governance/AI-systems claims.
- Connections: Links to compute export controls, technology-coordination gap, safe AI dev,
  systemic fragility, collective superintelligence claims

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <24DE7DA0-E4D5-4023-B1A2-3F736AFF4EEE>
2026-03-27 12:15:00 +00:00
Teleo Agents
445071cd80 extract: 2026-03-27-nasa-authorization-act-iss-overlap-mandate
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-27 06:44:18 +00:00
Teleo Agents
44adba3d38 extract: 2026-03-27-starship-falcon9-cost-2026-commercial-operations
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-27 06:35:33 +00:00
Teleo Agents
5a0da4e3e9 extract: 2026-03-27-blueorigin-new-glenn-manufacturing-odc-ambitions
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-27 06:31:09 +00:00
Teleo Agents
84e8170f3d extract: 2026-03-26-pine-analytics-p2p-protocol-ico-analysis
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 22:34:19 +00:00
Teleo Agents
938f56f3b4 extract: 2026-03-26-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-federal-register
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 22:31:35 +00:00
Teleo Agents
927b17e86a extract: 2026-03-26-tg-source-m3taversal-jussy-world-thread-on-polymarket-projected-revenu
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 18:02:49 +00:00
4da0f8f5cd rio: 3 new claims + 1 enrichment on prediction→decision market pipeline
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New claims:
1. Prediction market growth builds infrastructure for decision markets but
   conversion is not happening — $63.5B→$200B+ annual volume vs MetaDAO's
   $219M ecosystem, ~1000x gap widening. Three structural barriers:
   incentive mismatch, resolution clarity, market size ceiling.

2. Prediction market boom is primarily a sports gambling boom — sports
   37-78% of volume depending on platform/period. Kalshi's $22B valuation
   catalyzed by March Madness ($25.5M fees in 4 days). Weakens the
   information aggregation narrative that supports futarchy thesis.

3. Prediction market regulatory legitimacy creates both opportunity and
   existential risk for decision markets — CFTC normalization helps but
   sports gambling association could trigger backlash that collaterally
   destroys governance applications (Hanson's explicit concern).

Enrichment:
- prediction-market-scale-exceeds-decision-market-scale: updated with
  Feb 2026 data showing gap widened from ~100x to ~1000x-4400x

Source: @0xWeiler Messari thread, CertiK 2025 report, Pine Analytics
MetaDAO Q4 2025, Robin Hanson (Overcoming Bias Dec 2025), Kalshi/Polymarket
public data.

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <5551F5AF-0C5C-429F-8915-1FE74A00E019>
2026-03-26 17:46:36 +00:00
Teleo Agents
b6bdc5612f extract: 2026-03-26-tg-shared-0xweiler-2037189643037200456-s-46
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 17:32:14 +00:00
Teleo Agents
11bdc7c73f auto-fix: strip 1 broken wiki links
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Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
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2026-03-26 04:32:34 +00:00
Teleo Agents
96324d04fd extract: 2026-03-25-metadao-omnibus-migration-proposal
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 04:32:34 +00:00
Teleo Agents
94fbd07de1 entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/internet-finance/metadao-autocrat-v01-reduces-proposal-duration-to-three-days-enabling-faster-governance-iteration.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-26 04:03:52 +00:00
Teleo Agents
28e28f0dc7 auto-fix: strip 3 broken wiki links
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Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
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2026-03-26 03:48:03 +00:00
Teleo Agents
82159c59da extract: 2026-03-26-international-ai-safety-report-2026
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 03:48:03 +00:00
Teleo Agents
4207098983 auto-fix: strip 11 broken wiki links
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Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
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2026-03-26 03:19:26 +00:00
Teleo Agents
108a0d631c extract: 2026-03-26-anthropic-activating-asl3-protections
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 03:19:26 +00:00
Teleo Agents
19bc0777bb entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/internet-finance/metadao-autocrat-v01-reduces-proposal-duration-to-three-days-enabling-faster-governance-iteration.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-26 02:04:22 +00:00
Teleo Agents
b3c06598dd entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/ai-alignment/pre-deployment-AI-evaluations-do-not-predict-real-world-risk-creating-institutional-governance-built-on-unreliable-foundations.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-26 01:05:12 +00:00
Leo
ec2cfc2e63 extract: 2026-03-26-anthropic-activating-asl3-protections (#1934)
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2026-03-26 00:55:39 +00:00
Teleo Agents
dffa255594 entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/ai-alignment/AI-models-distinguish-testing-from-deployment-environments-providing-empirical-evidence-for-deceptive-alignment-concerns.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-26 00:39:03 +00:00
Teleo Agents
5e3be7ff7c extract: 2026-03-26-metr-algorithmic-vs-holistic-evaluation
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 00:36:22 +00:00
Teleo Agents
10c3b0bc6e entity-batch: update 2 entities
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- Applied 2 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/internet-finance/metadao-autocrat-v01-reduces-proposal-duration-to-three-days-enabling-faster-governance-iteration.md, entities/ai-alignment/anthropic.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-26 00:33:01 +00:00
Teleo Agents
f9af958412 extract: 2026-03-26-aisle-openssl-zero-days
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 00:32:39 +00:00
Teleo Agents
4cfbf6fcee auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 22:49:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
2c600b64ba extract: 2026-03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 22:49:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
33612e8717 extract: 2026-03-25-futardio-capital-concentration-live-data
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 22:34:14 +00:00
Teleo Agents
2ee92ff7d2 extract: metadao-proposals-1-through-15
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 20:18:25 +00:00
Teleo Agents
3f090990c0 extract: 2026-03-23-x-research-metadao-robin-hanson-futarchy-research-george-mason-proposal
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 18:03:01 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d252a23e2b auto-fix: strip 7 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 14:02:33 +00:00
Teleo Agents
b6f908794b extract: 2026-03-25-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-please-ingest-this-and-search-and-retr
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 14:02:33 +00:00
Teleo Agents
5b631893eb auto-fix: strip 1 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 13:55:25 +00:00
Teleo Agents
50d8fddb61 extract: 2026-03-25-tg-shared-knimkar-2036423976281382950
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 13:55:25 +00:00
Teleo Agents
c61bbc19a2 extract: 2026-03-25-tg-shared-sjdedic-2034241094121132483-s-20
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 13:42:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
fdc3b74b73 auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 13:42:00 +00:00
Teleo Agents
035b43029d extract: 2026-03-25-x-research-p2p-me-allocation
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 13:42:00 +00:00
Teleo Agents
fe49531901 extract: 2026-03-25-tg-shared-shayonsengupta-2033923393095881205-s-20
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 13:40:52 +00:00
Teleo Agents
f88cbf5277 extract: 2026-03-25-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-https-x-com-sjdedic-status-203424109
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 13:36:49 +00:00
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5e0b296212 auto-fix: strip 15 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 11:47:09 +00:00
Teleo Agents
3e302edbf4 extract: 2026-03-25-metr-algorithmic-vs-holistic-evaluation-benchmark-inflation
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 11:47:09 +00:00
Teleo Agents
005cdba45c auto-fix: strip 2 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 11:38:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
eedfa0af5f extract: 2026-03-25-x-research-solo-token-price-solomon
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 11:38:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d6de7802fc extract: 2026-03-19-spacex-starship-b19-partial-static-fire-10-engines
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 06:34:32 +00:00
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15ed3fc5d1 auto-fix: strip 8 broken wiki links
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2026-03-25 01:28:31 +00:00
Teleo Agents
25daafaaa1 extract: 2026-03-23-ranger-finance-metadao-liquidation-5m-usdc
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-25 01:28:31 +00:00