Compare commits

..

1 commit

Author SHA1 Message Date
Teleo Agents
f97358d414 astra: extract from 2026-02-11-china-long-march-10-sea-landing.md
- Source: inbox/archive/2026-02-11-china-long-march-10-sea-landing.md
- Domain: space-development
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 4)

Pentagon-Agent: Astra <HEADLESS>
2026-03-12 12:10:33 +00:00
2 changed files with 21 additions and 18 deletions

View file

@ -7,26 +7,27 @@ status: active
tracked_by: astra
created: 2026-03-11
key_metrics:
first_stage_recovery: "2026-02-11"
reusable_variant_launch: "2026-04-05 (scheduled)"
payload_capacity: "11,000 kg to 900km at 50° inclination"
recovery_method: "tethered wire catch + cable-net ship recovery"
payload_capacity: "11,000 kg to 900km altitude at 50° inclination (LM-10B)"
recovery_method: "Cable-net system with tethered landing devices"
first_recovery: "2026-02-11"
reusable_variant_launch: "2026-04-05 (NET)"
---
# Long March 10
China's Long March 10 is a new-generation carrier rocket program developing reusable first-stage capability. The program achieved controlled first-stage sea landing on February 11, 2026, with the reusable variant (Long March 10B) scheduled for first test flight April 5, 2026. The recovery system uses a novel tethered wire approach where hooks catch tensioned cables, supported by the dedicated 25,000-ton recovery ship "Ling Hang Zhe."
China's Long March 10 is a heavy-lift carrier rocket program with reusable first-stage capability. The LM-10B reusable variant uses restartable engines, grid fins, and a novel cable-net recovery system fundamentally different from SpaceX's propulsive landing approach. China successfully demonstrated controlled first-stage sea landing on February 11, 2026.
## Timeline
- **2026-02-11** — First stage completed controlled sea landing in predetermined area during low-altitude demonstration flight
- **2026-02-11** — Simultaneous test of Mengzhou crewed spaceship maximum dynamic pressure abort
- **2026-02-05** — Recovery ship "Ling Hang Zhe" observed leaving shipyard for sea trials with recovery gantry and cable system installed
- **2026-04-05** — Long March 10B reusable variant first test flight scheduled from Wenchang Space Launch Site
- **2026-02-11** — First successful controlled sea landing of Long March 10 first stage in predetermined recovery area. Simultaneous test of Mengzhou crew vehicle max-Q abort system.
- **2026-02-05** (approx) — Recovery ship "Ling Hang Zhe" (25,000 tons, 472 feet) observed leaving shipyard with cable and net recovery gantry installed for sea trials.
- **2026-04-05** — Scheduled first test flight of LM-10B reusable variant from Wenchang Space Launch Site (NET).
## Relationship to KB
- Challenges [[China is the only credible peer competitor in space with comprehensive capabilities and state-directed acceleration closing the reusability gap in 5-8 years]] — timeline compressed to ~2 years
- Demonstrates [[state-directed-space-programs-can-compress-technology-development-timelines-through-coordinated-industrial-policy]] <!-- claim pending -->
- Represents [[china-cable-net-recovery-represents-independent-innovation-trajectory-not-technology-copying]] <!-- claim pending -->
- Must prove [[reusability without rapid turnaround and minimal refurbishment does not reduce launch costs as the Space Shuttle proved over 30 years]] through operational performance
- [[China is the only credible peer competitor in space with comprehensive capabilities and state-directed acceleration closing the reusability gap in 5-8 years]] — LM-10 timeline challenges the "5-8 years" prediction
- [[reusability without rapid turnaround and minimal refurbishment does not reduce launch costs as the Space Shuttle proved over 30 years]] — LM-10's cable-net recovery approach has unknown refurbishment implications
- [[launch cost reduction is the keystone variable that unlocks every downstream space industry at specific price thresholds]] — China's reusability affects global launch market competitive dynamics
Topics:
- [[domains/space-development/_map]]

View file

@ -13,9 +13,9 @@ tags: [china, long-march-10, reusability, sea-landing, competition, state-direct
flagged_for_leo: ["State-directed acceleration compressing technology timelines faster than KB predicted — governance/coordination implications"]
processed_by: astra
processed_date: 2026-03-11
enrichments_applied: ["China is the only credible peer competitor in space with comprehensive capabilities and state-directed acceleration closing the reusability gap in 5-8 years.md", "reusability without rapid turnaround and minimal refurbishment does not reduce launch costs as the Space Shuttle proved over 30 years.md"]
enrichments_applied: ["China is the only credible peer competitor in space with comprehensive capabilities and state-directed acceleration closing the reusability gap in 5-8 years.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "Primary extraction: timeline compression challenge to existing KB claim (5-8 years → 2 years actual). Secondary: novel recovery architecture as evidence of independent innovation trajectory. Tertiary: state-directed coordination advantages as mechanism explanation. Flagged for Leo: governance/coordination implications of state-directed acceleration compressing technology timelines faster than market-based projections."
extraction_notes: "Two claims extracted: (1) Timeline compression challenge to existing KB claim about 5-8 year gap closure — China achieved first-stage recovery in ~2 years from prediction; (2) Cable-net recovery as evidence of independent innovation trajectory. One enrichment to existing China space competitor claim with updated timeline evidence. One new entity created for Long March 10 program. Source flagged state-directed acceleration as faster than market-based predictions — governance/coordination implications noted for Leo review."
---
## Content
@ -46,7 +46,9 @@ EXTRACTION HINT: The claim needs timeline revision. Also extract the cable-net r
## Key Facts
- Long March 10 first stage: restartable engines, grid fins, tethered wire recovery system
- Long March 10B payload capacity: 11,000 kg to 900km altitude at 50° inclination
- Long March 10 first stage successfully completed controlled sea landing Feb 11, 2026
- LM-10B reusable variant scheduled for first test flight April 5, 2026 from Wenchang
- Recovery ship Ling Hang Zhe: 25,000 tons, 472 feet, cable and net recovery system
- Mengzhou crewed spaceship: maximum dynamic pressure abort test conducted simultaneously with Long March 10 recovery test
- LM-10B payload capacity: 11,000 kg to 900km altitude at 50° inclination
- Recovery method: tethered landing devices (hooks) caught by tensioned wire system
- Simultaneous test of Mengzhou crew vehicle max-Q abort system on Feb 11, 2026