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Teleo Agents
7a48669c3a extract: 2025-01-01-sage-algorithmic-content-creation-systematic-review
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 11:30:17 +00:00
Leo
4576cbbe76 Merge pull request 'extract: 2024-11-21-futardio-proposal-proposal-13' (#1023) from extract/2024-11-21-futardio-proposal-proposal-13 into main 2026-03-16 11:28:35 +00:00
Teleo Agents
70b0bfdcbd extract: 2024-11-21-futardio-proposal-proposal-13
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 11:27:31 +00:00
Leo
62ba67469a Merge pull request 'extract: 2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy' (#1015) from extract/2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy into main
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2026-03-16 11:23:57 +00:00
Teleo Agents
6638bb9c60 extract: 2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 11:22:29 +00:00
fac8dfe39b Merge pull request 'leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs #971, #979, #1004, #1007' (#1021) from leo/consolidate-enrichments-mar16 into main
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2026-03-16 11:01:31 +00:00
63b403a888 leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:05 +00:00
0c5ac9ee7c leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:04 +00:00
e0e344e243 leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:03 +00:00
8b229c1165 leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:02 +00:00
2f2120936d leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:01 +00:00
fbfccc6773 leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:01:00 +00:00
1e345f2ed9 leo: consolidate enrichments from PRs 971,979,1004,1007 2026-03-16 11:00:59 +00:00
70eb5ba367 Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-11-07-futardio-proposal-meta-pow-the-ore-treasury-protocol' (#1013) from extract/2025-11-07-futardio-proposal-meta-pow-the-ore-treasury-protocol into main
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2026-03-16 10:59:25 +00:00
4cb32277ec fix: restore wiki link brackets 2026-03-16 10:59:06 +00:00
Leo
6661df5c40 Merge pull request 'extract: 2024-08-30-futardio-proposal-approve-budget-for-pre-governance-hackathon-development' (#1019) from extract/2024-08-30-futardio-proposal-approve-budget-for-pre-governance-hackathon-development into main 2026-03-16 10:44:30 +00:00
Teleo Agents
ebb6193c0d extract: 2024-08-30-futardio-proposal-approve-budget-for-pre-governance-hackathon-development 2026-03-16 10:43:12 +00:00
Leo
8139841a10 Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update' (#999) from extract/2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update into main
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2026-03-16 10:22:51 +00:00
Teleo Agents
92d5c2a2cd extract: 2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:22:49 +00:00
Leo
1903674f1f Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million' (#998) from extract/2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million into main
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2026-03-16 10:22:17 +00:00
Teleo Agents
e9b4f959b8 extract: 2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:22:15 +00:00
Leo
33d724f5d3 Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-06-02-kidscreen-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series' (#996) from extract/2025-06-02-kidscreen-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series into main
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2026-03-16 10:21:41 +00:00
Teleo Agents
5f2d55533b extract: 2025-06-02-kidscreen-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:21:39 +00:00
Leo
ab1231a618 Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-06-01-variety-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series' (#995) from extract/2025-06-01-variety-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series into main
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2026-03-16 10:21:37 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d30301fc7f extract: 2025-06-01-variety-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:21:36 +00:00
Leo
d043ed1c9c Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-06-00-li-scaling-human-judgment-community-notes-llms' (#992) from extract/2025-06-00-li-scaling-human-judgment-community-notes-llms into main
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2026-03-16 10:20:30 +00:00
Teleo Agents
7514323608 extract: 2025-06-00-li-scaling-human-judgment-community-notes-llms
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:20:28 +00:00
Leo
2bb83c5fed Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-03-10-bloomberg-mrbeast-feastables-more-money-than-youtube' (#987) from extract/2025-03-10-bloomberg-mrbeast-feastables-more-money-than-youtube into main
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2026-03-16 10:19:55 +00:00
Teleo Agents
f7ee54fa50 extract: 2025-03-10-bloomberg-mrbeast-feastables-more-money-than-youtube
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:19:53 +00:00
Leo
3a18a31fd8 Merge pull request 'extract: 2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding' (#975) from extract/2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding into main
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2026-03-16 10:18:14 +00:00
Teleo Agents
e3d5ba3f32 extract: 2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:18:13 +00:00
Teleo Agents
734f59321b auto-fix: strip 1 broken wiki links
Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
that don't resolve to existing claims in the knowledge base.
2026-03-15 19:41:54 +00:00
Teleo Agents
e974a71032 extract: 2025-11-07-futardio-proposal-meta-pow-the-ore-treasury-protocol
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-15 19:40:22 +00:00
50 changed files with 725 additions and 12 deletions

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@ -27,6 +27,12 @@ This claim directly addresses the mechanism gap identified in [[RLHF and DPO bot
The paper's proposed solution—RLCHF with explicit social welfare functions—connects to [[collective intelligence requires diversity as a structural precondition not a moral preference]] by formalizing how diverse evaluator input should be preserved rather than collapsed.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-06-00-li-scaling-human-judgment-community-notes-llms]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
RLCF makes the social choice mechanism explicit through the bridging algorithm (matrix factorization with intercept scores). Unlike standard RLHF which aggregates preferences opaquely through reward model training, RLCF's use of intercepts as the training signal is a deliberate choice to optimize for cross-partisan agreement—a specific social welfare function.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -25,6 +25,12 @@ Investors are explicitly pricing the integrated system (content → audience →
- Feastables in 30,000+ retail locations with zero marginal cost customer acquisition vs traditional CPG 10-15% ad spend
- Five verticals: software (Viewstats), CPG (Feastables, Lunchly), health/wellness, media, video games
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-03-10-bloomberg-mrbeast-feastables-more-money-than-youtube]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
2024 actual financials confirm the model: media lost $80M, Feastables generated $250M revenue with $20M+ profit. 2025-2029 projections show revenue growing from $899M to $4.78B, with media becoming only 1/5 of total sales by 2026. The $5B valuation is pricing a proven model, not a speculative one.
---
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@ -33,6 +33,12 @@ The production team explicitly frames this as "involving community at every stag
No data yet on whether community involvement actually changes creative decisions versus cosmetic inclusion of collectibles. The source describes the mechanisms but not their impact on final content. Also unclear what percentage of community participates versus passive observation. Confidence is experimental because this is a single implementation example.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-06-01-variety-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Claynosaurz describes community as 'co-conspirators who have a real impact on Claynosaurz's future' and states community input helps shape narrative and content direction. However, the source does not specify the mechanisms (storyboard sharing, script collaboration, etc.) — only that community influence exists. This extends the claim by adding another case but doesn't confirm the specific mechanisms.
---
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@ -29,6 +29,12 @@ This challenges the assumption that commercial optimization necessarily degrades
- Academic framing of tour as "cultural touchstone" where "audiences see themselves reflected in Swift's evolution"
- 3-hour concert functioning as "the soundtrack of millions of lives" (simultaneous coordination at scale)
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-01-01-sage-algorithmic-content-creation-systematic-review]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
LinkedIn's algorithm redesign to 'emphasize authentic professional storytelling over promotional content' and actively demote 'engagement baiting tactics' demonstrates that platform-level intervention can realign commercial incentives with meaning functions. This confirms that revenue model architecture determines whether commercial and meaning functions align or conflict.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -29,6 +29,12 @@ This decision follows Claynosaurz's demonstrated 450M+ views, 200M+ impressions,
This is one data point from one studio. The claim is experimental because it's based on a single co-production decision. Broader pattern confirmation would require multiple independent studios making similar choices. Also unclear whether YouTube-first is driven by community validation specifically or by other factors (budget, Mediawan's strategic positioning, YouTube's kids content strategy).
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-06-02-kidscreen-mediawan-claynosaurz-animated-series]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The Claynosaurz-Mediawan co-production will launch on YouTube first, then sell to TV and streaming buyers. This inverts the traditional risk model: YouTube launch proves audience metrics before traditional buyers commit, using the community's existing social reach (~1B views) as a guaranteed launch audience. Mediawan brings professional production quality while the community provides distribution validation, creating a new risk-sharing structure where platform distribution precedes rather than follows traditional media deals.
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@ -23,6 +23,12 @@ Devoted was built from scratch on the Orinoco platform — a unified AI-native o
Since [[proxy inertia is the most reliable predictor of incumbent failure because current profitability rationally discourages pursuit of viable futures]], UnitedHealth's $9 billion annual technology spend directed at optimizing existing infrastructure (consolidating 18 EMRs, AI scribing within legacy workflows) rather than rebuilding around prevention is textbook proxy inertia. The margin from coding arbitrage rationally prevents pursuit of the purpose-built alternative.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Market concentration data shows UHG gained 505K members while Humana lost 297K in 2025, suggesting the oligopoly is consolidating further toward the largest player. This creates the competitive environment where purpose-built entrants like Devoted can differentiate through technology rather than scale.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -27,6 +27,12 @@ The facility closures in 43 states indicate the crisis has moved beyond "shortag
None identified. This is a descriptive claim about measured workforce conditions across all 50 states.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
AARP 2025 data confirms: 92% of nursing homes report significant/severe shortages, ~70% of assisted living facilities report similar shortages, all 50 states face home care worker shortages, and 43 states have seen HCBS provider closures due to worker shortages. Median paid caregiver wage is only $15.43/hour, yet facilities still cannot attract workers.
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@ -28,6 +28,12 @@ The mechanism is structural: the healthcare system's inability or unwillingness
The causal direction could be questioned — do financially struggling individuals become caregivers, or does caregiving cause financial struggle? However, the AARP data shows these impacts occurring *during* caregiving, and the mechanism (lost work hours, stopped savings, added expenses) is direct and observable.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
AARP 2025 documents that nearly half of caregivers experienced at least one major financial impact: taking on debt, stopping savings, or being unable to afford food. With 63 million Americans in caregiving roles averaging 18 hours/week, this represents a massive wealth transfer from working-age families to cover elder care that the formal system doesn't provide.
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@ -57,6 +57,12 @@ Gatekeeping is not inherently good or bad — it's a design choice with predicta
The NHS demonstrates that you cannot have universal gatekeeping, excellent primary care, AND fast specialty access without funding specialty capacity to match primary care demand generation.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
NHS data shows that while the system ranks 3rd overall in Commonwealth Fund rankings due to strong primary care and GP gatekeeping, only 58.9% of specialty patients are seen within 18 weeks versus a 92% target, with 22% waiting over 6 weeks for diagnostic tests. The GP referral requirement that strengthens primary care creates a structural bottleneck where specialty demand exceeds capacity by a factor requiring the waiting list to be halved just to reach minimum standards.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -35,6 +35,12 @@ This has structural implications for how healthcare should be organized. Since [
The Commonwealth Fund's 2024 Mirror Mirror international comparison provides the strongest real-world proof of this claim. The US ranks **second in care process quality** (clinical excellence when care is accessed) but **last in health outcomes** (life expectancy, avoidable deaths) among 10 peer nations. This paradox proves that clinical quality alone cannot produce population health — the US has near-best clinical care AND worst outcomes, demonstrating that non-clinical factors (access, equity, social determinants) dominate outcome determination. The care process vs. outcomes decoupling across 70 measures and nearly 75% patient/physician-reported data is the international benchmark showing medical care's limited contribution to population health outcomes.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The NHS paradox—ranking 3rd overall while having catastrophic specialty access—provides supporting evidence that medical care's contribution to health outcomes is limited. A system can have multi-year waits for specialty procedures yet still rank highly in overall health system performance because primary care, equity, and universal coverage (which address behavioral and social factors) matter more than specialty delivery speed for population health outcomes.
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@ -29,6 +29,12 @@ Politicians face a choice between:
The political economy strongly favors Option A. The fiscal pressure builds continuously through the 2030s as the exhaustion date approaches, creating windows for reform regardless of partisan control.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The spending gap grew from $18B (2015) to $84B (2025), a 4.7x increase while enrollment only doubled. At 64% penetration by 2034 (CBO projection) with 20% per-person premium, annual overpayment will exceed $150B. The arithmetic forces reform regardless of political preferences.
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@ -31,6 +31,12 @@ Progress should mean happier, healthier populations, not merely more material po
Japan's LTCI system explicitly shifted the burden of long-term care from family caregiving to social solidarity through mandatory insurance. Implemented in 2000, the system covers 5+ million elderly (17% of 65+ population) and integrates medical care with welfare services. This represents a deliberate policy choice to replace family-based care obligations with state-organized insurance, improving access and reducing financial burden on families while operating under extreme demographic pressure (28.4% of population 65+, rising to 40% by 2040-2050). The system's 25-year track record demonstrates that this transition from family to state/market structures is both viable and durable at national scale.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The caregiving crisis reveals a paradox in modernization: as family structures weaken and geographic mobility increases, the healthcare system becomes MORE dependent on family labor, not less. The 45% increase in family caregivers (53M to 63M over a decade) shows that when market and state alternatives fail, the burden returns to families—but now those families lack the multi-generational co-residence and community support structures that historically made caregiving sustainable. The result: 13 million caregivers unable to maintain their own health, nearly half experiencing financial crisis, and caregivers themselves becoming socially isolated.
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Relevant Notes:

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@ -23,6 +23,12 @@ Loneliness exists at the intersection of clinical medicine and social infrastruc
Japan's LTCI system addresses the care infrastructure gap that the US relies on unpaid family labor ($870B annually) to fill. The system provides both facility-based and home-based care chosen by beneficiaries, integrating medical care with welfare services. This infrastructure directly addresses the social isolation problem by providing professional care delivery rather than relying on family members who may be geographically distant or unable to provide adequate care. Japan's solution demonstrates that treating long-term care as a social insurance problem rather than a family responsibility creates the infrastructure needed to address isolation at scale.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Caregivers themselves become socially isolated as a direct consequence of caregiving responsibilities. With 63 million Americans providing an average 18 hours/week of unpaid care, and more than 13 million struggling to care for their own health, the caregiving role creates a structural pathway to social isolation. This compounds the $7B Medicare cost: not only are isolated elderly people costly, but the caregiving system creates new isolated individuals from the working-age population.
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@ -291,6 +291,12 @@ PACE provides the most comprehensive real-world test of the prevention-first att
The Commonwealth Fund's 2024 international comparison provides evidence that the prevention-first attractor state is not theoretical — peer nations demonstrate it empirically. The top performers (Australia, Netherlands) achieve better health outcomes with lower spending as percentage of GDP, suggesting their systems have structural features that prevent rather than treat. The US paradox (2nd in care process, last in outcomes, highest spending, lowest efficiency) reveals a system optimized for treating sickness rather than producing health. The efficiency domain rankings (US among worst — highest spending, lowest return) quantify the cost of a sick-care attractor state. The international benchmark shows that systems with better access, equity, and prevention orientation achieve superior outcomes at lower cost, suggesting the prevention-first attractor state is achievable and economically superior to the current US sick-care model.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-kff-medicare-advantage-2025-enrollment-update]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
C-SNP growth of 71% in one year shows MA plans are rapidly building chronic disease management infrastructure. With 21% of MA enrollment now in SNPs (up from 14% in 2020), the market is structurally shifting toward continuous care management models that align with prevention-first economics.
---
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@ -26,6 +26,12 @@ This unpaid labor masks the true cost of elder care in the United States. If eve
None identified. This is a measurement claim based on AARP's comprehensive national survey data.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-07-24-aarp-caregiving-crisis-63-million]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The 45% increase in family caregivers over a decade (from 53M to 63M) demonstrates this isn't a stable hidden subsidy—it's a growing one. The caregiver count is rising faster than demographics alone would predict, indicating the formal care system's capacity gap is widening. With caregiver-to-elderly ratios declining and all 50 states experiencing paid workforce shortages, the invisible subsidy is becoming structurally unsustainable.
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@ -36,6 +36,12 @@ The top two overall performers (Australia, Netherlands) have the **lowest** heal
This is the definitive international benchmark showing that the US healthcare system's failure is **structural** (access, equity, system design), not clinical. The care process vs. outcomes paradox directly supports the claim that medical care explains only 10-20% of health outcomes — the US has world-class clinical quality but worst population health because the non-clinical determinants dominate.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-00-00-nhs-england-waiting-times-underfunding]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
The NHS provides the inverse comparison: ranking 3rd overall in Commonwealth Fund Mirror Mirror 2024 despite having the worst specialty access and longest waiting times among peer nations. This reveals that the Commonwealth Fund methodology weights universal coverage, primary care access, and equity more heavily than specialty delivery outcomes. The US ranks last due to access/equity failures; the NHS ranks high despite specialty failures. Both demonstrate that no system optimizes all dimensions simultaneously—tradeoffs are structural.
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@ -103,6 +103,12 @@ MetaDAO Q3 2024 roadmap prioritized launching a market-based grants product as t
Ranger Finance ICO completed in April 2025, adding ~$9.1M to total Assets Under Futarchy, bringing the total to $57.3M across 10 launched projects. This represents continued momentum in futarchy-governed capital formation, with Ranger being a leveraged trading platform on Solana. The article also notes MetaDAO was 'considering strategic changes to its platform model' around this time, though details were not specified.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-10-06-futardio-launch-umbra]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Umbra raised $3M through MetaDAO's futard.io platform (Oct 6-10, 2025) with $154.9M total committed against $750K target, demonstrating 206x oversubscription. This is concrete evidence of MetaDAO's operational capacity to facilitate large-scale futarchy-governed capital raises.
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@ -83,6 +83,12 @@ Proposal #3 on MetaDAO (account EXehk1u3qUJZSxJ4X3nHsiTocRhzwq3eQAa6WKxeJ8Xs) ra
Production deployment data from futard.io shows Proposal #1 on DAO account De8YzDKudqgeJXqq6i7q82AgxxrQ1JXXfMgouQuPyhY using Autocrat version 0.3, with proposal created, ended, and completed all on 2025-03-05. This confirms operational use of the Autocrat v0.3 implementation in live governance.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2024-12-02-futardio-proposal-approve-deans-list-treasury-management]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Dean's List DAO treasury proposal required TWAP > 3% for passage, with the proposal arguing potential 5-20% FDV increase from de-risking would exceed this threshold. Proposal completed December 5, 2024 after 3-day duration.
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@ -34,6 +34,12 @@ Rated experimental because this is a proposed design not yet deployed. The liqui
Coal's v0.6 migration sets minimum liquidity requirements of 1500 USDC and 2000 coal for proposals, with OTC buyer lined up to purchase dev fund tokens and seed the futarchy AMM. This shows the liquidity bootstrapping pattern extends beyond initial launch to governance upgrades, where projects must arrange capital to meet minimum depth requirements before migration.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
The proposal describes the bootstrapping mechanism: 'These types of proposals would also require that the proposer lock-up some initial liquidity, and set the starting price for the pass/fail markets. With this setup, liquidity would start low when the proposal is launched, someone would swap and move the AMM price to their preferred price, and then provide liquidity at that price since the fee incentives are high. Liquidity would increase over the duration of the proposal.'
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@ -21,6 +21,12 @@ This cost differential becomes material at scale: a DAO running 50 proposals ann
- AMM state requirements described as "almost nothing"
- State rent recovery requires autocrat program migration (feedback section)
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
MetaDAO proposal CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1PG quantifies the cost reduction: CLOB market pairs cost 3.75 SOL in state rent per proposal (135-225 SOL annually at 3-5 proposals/month), while AMMs cost 'almost nothing' in state rent. At January 2024 SOL prices ($85), this represents $11,475-$19,125 annual savings.
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@ -23,6 +23,12 @@ This connects to [[MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume
- Expected pattern: liquidity increases as proposal duration progresses
- CLOB minimum order size (1 META) acts as spam filter but fragments liquidity further
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
The proposal identifies that 'estimating a fair price for the future value of MetaDao under pass/fail conditions is difficult, and most reasonable estimates will have a wide range. This uncertainty discourages people from risking their funds with limit orders near the midpoint price, and has the effect of reducing liquidity (and trading).' This is cited as 'the main reason for switching to AMMs.'
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@ -6,6 +6,12 @@ description: MetaDAO's Futardio platform demonstrates that futarchy governance c
confidence: likely
tags: [futarchy, token-design, governance, ownership, liquidation-rights]
created: 2026-02-15
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-11-07-futardio-proposal-meta-pow-the-ore-treasury-protocol]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
COAL's Meta-PoW demonstrates ownership coin mechanics applied to in-game economies: the proposal passed futarchy governance (proposal G33HJH2J2zRqqcHZKMggkQurvqe1cmaDtfBz3hgmuuAg, completed 2025-11-10) and establishes a treasury accumulation mechanism where ORE flows are proportional to active player engagement, creating a direct link between usage and treasury value.
---
# Futarchy enables conditional ownership coins with liquidation rights

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@ -26,6 +26,12 @@ The risk is that cultural proposals introduce systematic bias: participants who
The single data point is limited. One passed proposal doesn't establish a reliable pattern. Cultural proposals that fail futarchy governance (and thus go unobserved in public records) would provide the necessary counter-evidence to calibrate how often futarchy actually validates cultural versus financial spending.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-01-14-futardio-proposal-should-deans-list-dao-update-the-liquidity-fee-structure]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Dean's List DAO's fee increase proposal included switching quote token from mSOL back to SOL, a decision with no direct revenue impact but potential effects on user experience and composability. The futarchy market approved this alongside the fee changes, suggesting it priced the operational simplification and ecosystem alignment as net positive for token value despite being a 'cultural' rather than purely financial decision.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -49,6 +49,18 @@ However, this case provides concrete evidence that [[futarchy adoption faces fri
Drift's $8,250 creator competition proposal failed despite having clear upside potential (community engagement, content generation, B.E.T awareness) and minimal downside risk. The proposal offered a structured prize pool across multiple tracks (video, Twitter threads, trade ideas) with established evaluation criteria, yet still failed to generate sufficient market participation. This is a canonical example of participation friction killing an economically sensible proposal.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2024-12-02-futardio-proposal-approve-deans-list-treasury-management]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Dean's List treasury proposal passed despite requiring active market participation to price a 40 percentage point survival probability improvement. The proposal explicitly calculated that potential FDV increase (5-20%) exceeded the 3% TWAP threshold, suggesting the economics were clearly favorable yet still required formal market validation.
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2025-01-14-futardio-proposal-should-deans-list-dao-update-the-liquidity-fee-structure]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Dean's List DAO fee structure proposal passed despite requiring traders to actively migrate to new pools and accept 20x higher fees (0.25% to 5%). The proposal explicitly acknowledged potential 20-30% volume decrease but passed anyway, suggesting the market priced the net treasury benefit (~$19k-25k annual growth) as worth the migration friction. This demonstrates that futarchy can approve proposals with significant user friction when the economic benefit is clear.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -36,6 +36,12 @@ The mechanism depends on futarchy-specific conditions (short duration, governanc
- May reduce legitimate trading volume
- LP attraction depends on base trading activity
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
MetaDAO's AMM proposal sets fees at 3-5% explicitly to 'both: encourage LPs, and aggressively discourage wash-trading and manipulation.' The mechanism works because high fees make price manipulation through wash trading expensive while creating strong incentives for liquidity provision.
---
Relevant Notes:

View file

@ -54,6 +54,12 @@ Futardio cult raised $11.4M in under 24 hours through MetaDAO's futarchy platfor
MetaDAO ICO platform processed 8 project launches between April 2025 and January 2026, raising $25.6M total. Each ICO operated through defined subscription windows with pro-rata allocation, compressing capital formation to single-day events. $390M in committed demand across 8 launches demonstrates that permissionless futarchy-governed raises can aggregate capital at scale without traditional due diligence bottlenecks. Platform generated $300M in trading volume, indicating liquid secondary markets formed immediately post-launch.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-10-06-futardio-launch-umbra]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Umbra completed its raise in 4 days (Oct 6-10, 2025) through MetaDAO's futarchy platform, raising $3M final allocation from $154.9M committed. This provides empirical confirmation of sub-week fundraising timelines for futarchy-governed raises.
---
Relevant Notes:

View file

@ -6,6 +6,12 @@ description: Platforms like Futardio demonstrate that internet-native capital ma
confidence: likely
tags: [capital-markets, fundraising, speed, internet-finance]
created: 2026-02-20
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-10-18-futardio-launch-loyal]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Loyal completed a $2.5M raise in 4 days (October 18-22, 2025) through Futardio's futarchy-governed ICO platform, demonstrating the compression of fundraising from traditional months-long processes to sub-week execution.
---
# Internet capital markets compress fundraising timelines to hours

View file

@ -30,6 +30,12 @@ The proposal acknowledges CLOB manipulation is "a 1/n problem" addressable by de
- No empirical data on manipulation resistance
- High fees may reduce legitimate trading volume
### Additional Evidence (extend)
*Source: [[2024-01-24-futardio-proposal-develop-amm-program-for-futarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
The proposal specifies the implementation: 'liquidity-weighted price over time. The more liquidity that is on the books, the more weight the current price of the pass or fail market is given. Every time there is a swap, these metrics are updated/aggregated.' This creates a continuous aggregation mechanism rather than point-in-time measurement.
---
Relevant Notes:

View file

@ -36,6 +36,12 @@ The source presents no failure cases despite eight ICOs, which suggests either s
Avici achieved 17x oversubscription ($34.2M committed vs $2M target), exceeding the previously documented 15x benchmark and demonstrating continued strong market demand for futarchy-governed raises.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2025-10-18-futardio-launch-loyal]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
Loyal's fundraise achieved 151x oversubscription ($75.9M committed vs $500K target), far exceeding the previously documented 15x pattern. The final raise settled at $2.5M, suggesting the platform's conditional market mechanisms successfully filtered commitment from actual capital deployment.
---
Relevant Notes:

View file

@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
{
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View file

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View file

@ -0,0 +1,58 @@
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View file

@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
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View file

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View file

@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
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View file

@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
{
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View file

@ -0,0 +1,51 @@
{
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"rejections": [
"meta-pow-creates-ore-treasury-accumulation-through-ingot-smelting-fees-that-scale-with-coal-mining-demand.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"dynamic-license-costs-using-price-ratios-create-self-throttling-token-emission-systems-without-governance-intervention.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"evergreen-tool-design-with-repair-cheaper-than-replacement-creates-stable-demand-patterns-in-token-economies.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"halving-band-emissions-with-5-percent-supply-increments-create-predictable-long-tail-token-distribution.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
"date": "2026-03-15"
}

View file

@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1P
date: 2024-01-24
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
event_type: proposal
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["amm-futarchy-reduces-state-rent-costs-by-99-percent-versus-clob-by-eliminating-orderbook-storage-requirements.md", "futarchy-clob-liquidity-fragmentation-creates-wide-spreads-because-pricing-counterfactual-governance-outcomes-has-inherent-uncertainty.md", "high-fee-amms-create-lp-incentive-and-manipulation-deterrent-simultaneously-by-making-passive-provision-profitable-and-active-trading-expensive.md", "liquidity-weighted-price-over-time-solves-futarchy-manipulation-through-capital-commitment-not-vote-counting.md", "amm-futarchy-bootstraps-liquidity-through-high-fee-incentives-and-required-proposer-initial-liquidity-creating-self-reinforcing-depth.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Proposal Details
@ -128,3 +132,14 @@ Any important changes or feedback brought up during the proposal vote will be re
- Autocrat version: 0.1
- Completed: 2024-01-29
- Ended: 2024-01-29
## Key Facts
- MetaDAO Proposal #4 (CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1PG) passed on 2024-01-24
- Proposal completed on 2024-01-29
- Budget: 400 META on passing + 800 META on completion
- CLOB minimum order size was 1 META as spam filter
- AMM implementation timeline: 3 weeks development + 1 week review
- Proposer: XXXvLz1B89UtcTsg2hT3cL9qUJi5PqEEBTHg57MfNkZ
- DAO account: 7J5yieabpMoiN3LrdfJnRjQiXHgi7f47UuMnyMyR78yy
- Autocrat version: 0.1

View file

@ -6,9 +6,12 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/2LKqzegdHrcrrRCHSuTS2fMjjJuZDfzuRKMnzPhzeD4
date: 2024-08-30
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
event_type: proposal
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Proposal Details
@ -161,3 +164,12 @@ Future is building a comprehensive pre-governance platform for DAOs and crypto p
- Autocrat version: 0.3
- Completed: 2024-09-02
- Ended: 2024-09-02
## Key Facts
- FutureDAO proposal 2LKqzegdHrcrrRCHSuTS2fMjjJuZDfzuRKMnzPhzeD42 approved $25,000 for Pre-Governance Mandates tool
- Pre-Governance Mandates tool targets Solana-based DAOs and professional proposal builders
- Tool features include multi-criteria decision-making engine, customizable surveys, Web3 integration, AI-powered analysis, and mandates dashboard
- Budget breakdown: Decision-Making Engine & API ($5k), Mandates Wizard ($3k), dApp Frontend ($7k), dApp Backend ($5k), Documentation & Graphics ($5k)
- FutureDAO positions Pre-Governance Mandates as complementary to MetaDAO, Realms, Squads, and Align
- Potential monetization models include $FUTURE staking, monthly payments, pay-as-you-go, and consultancy services

View file

@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/ApywwMrE9vkWiatZwQVU6wdvNsHrYZkhegNCV5XDZ8y
date: 2024-11-21
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
event_type: proposal
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Proposal Details
@ -27,3 +31,10 @@ event_type: proposal
- Autocrat version: 0.3
- Completed: 2024-11-25
- Ended: 2024-11-25
## Key Facts
- MetaDAO Proposal #13 was created on 2024-11-21 and failed on 2024-11-25
- Proposal used Autocrat version 0.3
- Proposal duration was 4 days
- Proposal account: ApywwMrE9vkWiatZwQVU6wdvNsHrYZkhegNCV5XDZ8yV

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-01-01
domain: health
secondary_domains: []
format: report
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: medium
tags: [nhs, universal-coverage, waiting-times, underfunding, international-comparison, uk-healthcare]
processed_by: vida
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["gatekeeping-systems-optimize-primary-care-at-the-expense-of-specialty-access-creating-structural-bottlenecks.md", "us-healthcare-ranks-last-among-peer-nations-despite-highest-spending-because-access-and-equity-failures-override-clinical-quality.md", "medical care explains only 10-20 percent of health outcomes because behavioral social and genetic factors dominate as four independent methodologies confirm.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -60,3 +64,16 @@ tags: [nhs, universal-coverage, waiting-times, underfunding, international-compa
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[medical care explains only 10-20 percent of health outcomes because behavioral social and genetic factors dominate as four independent methodologies confirm]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Cautionary international comparison — shows what universal coverage does and doesn't solve.
EXTRACTION HINT: The paradox of ranking 3rd overall while having worst specialty access is the extractable insight. Different metrics tell different stories about the same system.
## Key Facts
- NHS has 7.5 million patients on waiting lists as of 2024-2025
- Only 58.9% of NHS waiting patients seen within 18-week target (standard: 92%)
- 22% of NHS patients wait over 6 weeks for diagnostic tests (standard: 1%)
- NHS waiting list must be halved to 3.4 million to reach 92% standard
- NHS target of 65% within 18 weeks by March 2026 unlikely to be met
- NHS respiratory medicine waiting lists increased 263% over past decade
- NHS gynaecology waiting lists increased 223% over past decade
- NHS has shortfall of 3.6 million diagnostic tests
- NHS ranks 3rd overall in Commonwealth Fund Mirror Mirror 2024
- Trauma/orthopaedics and ENT have largest NHS waiting times

View file

@ -7,10 +7,14 @@ date: 2025-01-01
domain: entertainment
secondary_domains: [ai-alignment]
format: academic-article
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: medium
tags: [algorithmic-pressure, content-creation, creative-freedom, platform-dependency, storytelling-quality]
flagged_for_theseus: ["Algorithmic shaping of creative expression — parallels with AI alignment concerns about optimization pressure distorting human values"]
processed_by: clay
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["content-serving-commercial-functions-can-simultaneously-serve-meaning-functions-when-revenue-model-rewards-relationship-depth.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -42,3 +46,11 @@ Counterpoint evidence:
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[meme propagation selects for simplicity novelty and conformity pressure rather than truth or utility]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Academic evidence that algorithmic pressure degrades creative expression, BUT the pressure is mediated by revenue model — creators who escape ad-supported dependency escape the pressure
EXTRACTION HINT: The key variable is REVENUE MODEL, not ALGORITHM. Algorithms are the mechanism, but the revenue model determines whether the algorithm controls creative decisions. Content-as-loss-leader, subscription, and owned-platform models all insulate creators from algorithmic creative pressure.
## Key Facts
- Systematic review published in Work, Employment and Society (SAGE Journals), January 2025
- Authors: Yin Liang, Jiaming Li, Jeremy Aroles, Edward Granter
- Review covers full academic literature on algorithmic impacts on creative work
- LinkedIn algorithm now emphasizes authentic professional storytelling over promotional content
- LinkedIn algorithm actively demotes content with excessive hashtags, external links in post text, and engagement baiting

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-03-10
domain: entertainment
secondary_domains: [internet-finance]
format: article
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
tags: [content-as-loss-leader, mrbeast, feastables, creator-economy, distribution, value-capture]
processed_by: clay
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["beast-industries-5b-valuation-prices-content-as-loss-leader-model-at-enterprise-scale.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -43,3 +47,15 @@ tags: [content-as-loss-leader, mrbeast, feastables, creator-economy, distributio
PRIMARY CONNECTION: when profits disappear at one layer of a value chain they emerge at an adjacent layer through the conservation of attractive profits
WHY ARCHIVED: Strongest real-world evidence of conservation of attractive profits in entertainment — content profits disappeared ($-80M), emerged at adjacent layer (Feastables $+20M), but the AGGREGATE system is profitable because content creates audience at zero marginal cost
EXTRACTION HINT: The key insight isn't "MrBeast is rich" — it's that content-as-loss-leader at this scale proves the attractor state mechanism. Focus on the structural economics, not the personality.
## Key Facts
- Beast Industries media business (YouTube + Amazon Prime) lost $80M in 2024
- Feastables generated $250M revenue and $20M+ profit in 2024
- Feastables projected $520M revenue in 2025 vs $288M from YouTube
- Media projected to be only 1/5 of total Beast Industries sales by 2026
- Beast Industries raising at $5B valuation
- Beast Industries revenue projections: $899M (2025), $1.6B (2026), $4.78B (2029)
- Feastables distributed through 30,000+ retail locations across US, Canada, Mexico
- Traditional CPG brands (Hershey's, Mars) spend 10-15% of revenue on advertising
- Beast Industries operates five verticals: software (Viewstats), CPG (Feastables, Lunchly), health/wellness, media, video games

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-06-30
domain: ai-alignment
secondary_domains: [collective-intelligence]
format: paper
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
tags: [RLCF, community-notes, bridging-algorithm, pluralistic-alignment, human-AI-collaboration, LLM-alignment]
processed_by: theseus
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["rlhf-is-implicit-social-choice-without-normative-scrutiny.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -51,3 +55,11 @@ Proposes a hybrid model for Community Notes where both humans and LLMs write not
PRIMARY CONNECTION: democratic alignment assemblies produce constitutions as effective as expert-designed ones while better representing diverse populations
WHY ARCHIVED: First concrete specification of RLCF — transitions from design principle to implementable mechanism
EXTRACTION HINT: Focus on the architecture (who generates, who rates, what selects) and the homogenization risk — the "optimally inoffensive" failure mode is a key tension with our bridging-based alignment thesis
## Key Facts
- Community Notes uses a hybrid model where both humans and LLMs write notes, but humans alone rate them
- The bridging algorithm uses matrix factorization: y_ij = w_i * x_j + b_i + c_j where c_j is the bridging score
- Notes must receive support from raters with diverse viewpoints to surface
- The paper was published in the Journal of Online Trust and Safety in June 2025
- Key risks identified: helpfulness hacking, declining human engagement, homogenization, rater capacity overwhelm

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-06-01
domain: entertainment
secondary_domains: []
format: article
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
tags: [claynosaurz, mediawan, animated-series, community-ip, web3-entertainment, narrative-ambition]
processed_by: clay
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["community-co-creation-in-animation-production-includes-storyboard-sharing-script-collaboration-and-collectible-integration-as-specific-mechanisms.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -39,3 +43,14 @@ Key details:
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[progressive validation through community building reduces development risk by proving audience demand before production investment]]
WHY ARCHIVED: First community-owned IP animated series in production — test case for whether community IP produces meaningful storytelling or brand content
EXTRACTION HINT: The quality signal is the creative team caliber and Mediawan partnership. Community IP attracting studio-quality talent suggests the model doesn't sacrifice narrative ambition.
## Key Facts
- Claynosaurz animated series: 39 episodes x 7 minutes each
- Production by Method Animation
- Distribution strategy: YouTube first, then TV and streaming sales
- Creative team includes artists from Illumination, DreamWorks, Sony, Disney, and Ubisoft
- Claynosaurz has nearly 1B social views pre-production
- IMDB listing created: tt37155700
- Story follows four dinosaur friends on a mysterious island
- Described as 'first time a digital collectible brand is expanded into a TV series'

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-06-02
domain: entertainment
secondary_domains: []
format: article
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: medium
tags: [claynosaurz, mediawan, animated-series, youtube-distribution, community-ip, co-production]
processed_by: clay
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["youtube-first-distribution-for-major-studio-coproductions-signals-platform-primacy-over-traditional-broadcast-windowing.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -48,3 +52,11 @@ tags: [claynosaurz, mediawan, animated-series, youtube-distribution, community-i
PRIMARY CONNECTION: traditional media buyers now seek content with pre-existing community engagement data as risk mitigation
WHY ARCHIVED: The co-production structure (not licensing) represents a new relationship between community IP and traditional production infrastructure that preserves community control
EXTRACTION HINT: Two distinct claims: (1) co-production vs licensing as structural innovation for community IP, (2) YouTube-first launch as risk-reduction through audience proof before traditional distribution commitment
## Key Facts
- Claynosaurz-Mediawan deal is for 39 episodes of 7 minutes each
- Claynosaurz community has generated ~1 billion views across social platforms
- Deal was presented at Annecy International Animation Festival in June 2025
- Paw Patrol creator visited to understand the community-first production model
- Mediawan and Gameloft CEOs engaged directly with Claynosaurz community token holders

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-07-24
domain: health
secondary_domains: []
format: report
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
tags: [caregiving, unpaid-care, workforce-crisis, aging, social-determinants, economic-value]
processed_by: vida
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["unpaid-family-caregiving-provides-870-billion-annually-representing-16-percent-of-total-us-health-economy-invisible-to-policy-models.md", "caregiver-workforce-crisis-shows-all-50-states-experiencing-shortages-with-43-states-reporting-facility-closures-signaling-care-infrastructure-collapse.md", "family-caregiving-functions-as-poverty-transmission-mechanism-forcing-debt-savings-depletion-and-food-insecurity-on-working-age-population.md", "modernization dismantles family and community structures replacing them with market and state relationships that increase individual freedom but erode psychosocial foundations of wellbeing.md", "social isolation costs Medicare 7 billion annually and carries mortality risk equivalent to smoking 15 cigarettes per day making loneliness a clinical condition not a personal problem.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -53,3 +57,16 @@ tags: [caregiving, unpaid-care, workforce-crisis, aging, social-determinants, ec
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[modernization dismantles family and community structures replacing them with market and state relationships that increase individual freedom but erode psychosocial foundations of wellbeing]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Fills the caregiver crisis gap in the KB — essential for understanding the senior care infrastructure that exists outside formal healthcare systems.
EXTRACTION HINT: The $870B figure compared to total US healthcare spending ($5.3T) — unpaid care is 16% of the total health economy, invisible to every policy model.
## Key Facts
- 63 million Americans provide unpaid care as of 2025 (up from 53 million, a 45% increase over past decade)
- Unpaid caregiving valued at $870 billion annually (previously estimated $600B based on 38M caregivers)
- Average caregiver provides 18 hours/week, totaling 36 billion hours annually
- More than 13 million caregivers struggle to care for their own health
- Paid caregivers earn median $15.43/hour
- 92% of nursing homes report significant/severe workforce shortages
- ~70% of assisted living facilities report significant/severe shortages
- All 50 states experiencing home care worker shortages
- 43 states report HCBS providers have closed due to worker shortages
- Nearly half of caregivers experienced at least one major financial impact (debt, stopped savings, or food insecurity)

View file

@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-07-24
domain: health
secondary_domains: []
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
tags: [medicare-advantage, enrollment, market-concentration, market-share, kff]
processed_by: vida
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["medicare-fiscal-pressure-forces-ma-reform-by-2030s-through-arithmetic-not-ideology.md", "Devoted is the fastest-growing MA plan at 121 percent growth because purpose-built technology outperforms acquisition-based vertical integration during CMS tightening.md", "the healthcare attractor state is a prevention-first system where aligned payment continuous monitoring and AI-augmented care delivery create a flywheel that profits from health rather than sickness.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -79,3 +83,18 @@ tags: [medicare-advantage, enrollment, market-concentration, market-share, kff]
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[the healthcare attractor state is a prevention-first system where aligned payment continuous monitoring and AI-augmented care delivery create a flywheel that profits from health rather than sickness]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Essential market structure data — the enrollment trajectory and concentration metrics ground claims about where the US healthcare system is actually heading vs. where theory says it should go.
EXTRACTION HINT: The spending gap growing 4.7x while enrollment only doubled is the key structural insight — scale is making the overpayment problem worse, not better.
## Key Facts
- MA enrollment: 7.6M (19%) in 2007, 10.8M (25%) in 2010, 16.2M (32%) in 2015, 23.8M (42%) in 2020, 30.8M (51%) in 2023, 32.8M (54%) in 2024, 34.1M (54%) in 2025
- CBO projects MA penetration will reach 64% by 2034
- MA growth rate 2024-2025: 4% (1.3M additional enrollees)
- 2025 MA market share: UnitedHealth 29%, Humana 17%, CVS/Aetna 12%, Elevance 7%, Kaiser 6%, all others 30%
- 815 counties (26% of all US counties) have 75%+ enrollment concentration in UHG and Humana
- Average beneficiary has 9 parent organization options; 36% have 10+ plan options
- MA plan type distribution 2025: Individual 62%, SNPs 21%, Employer/union 17%
- SNP breakdown 2025: D-SNPs 83%, C-SNPs 16%, I-SNPs 2%
- C-SNP enrollment: 1.2M in 2025, 71% growth year-over-year
- Total SNP enrollment: 7.3M (21% of MA) in 2025, up from 14% in 2020
- Federal MA spending premium: $84B in 2025 (20% per-person), $18B in 2015
- Employer/union group MA plans: first year of flat growth in ~10 years

View file

@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/G33HJH2J2zRqqcHZKMggkQurvqe1cmaDtfBz3hgmuuA
date: 2025-11-07
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
event_type: proposal
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-15
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-enables-conditional-ownership-coins.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Proposal Details
@ -265,3 +269,19 @@ Vote NO keep the current model unchanged.
- Autocrat version: 0.3
- Completed: 2025-11-10
- Ended: 2025-11-10
## Key Facts
- COAL Meta-PoW proposal account: G33HJH2J2zRqqcHZKMggkQurvqe1cmaDtfBz3hgmuuAg
- COAL proposal number: 4
- COAL DAO account: 3LGGRzLrgwhEbEsNYBSTZc5MLve1bw3nDaHzzfJMQ1PG
- Meta-PoW proposal created 2025-11-07, completed 2025-11-10
- COAL max supply: 25,000,000 tokens
- COAL initial daily emissions: 11,250 tokens/day
- COAL halving band size: 1,250,000 tokens (5% of max supply)
- INGOT smelting cost: 100 COAL + ~12.10 ORE
- Pickaxe crafting cost: 1 INGOT + 8 WOOD + c(y) COAL license
- Pickaxe daily repair cost: ~0.082643 INGOT + 0.3 WOOD
- Tool power decay rate: 4% per day if not repaired
- License cost formula: c(y) = c0 * (y / y_ref)^p, with c0=200, y_ref=50, p=3, c_min=1, c_max=300
- GUI planned for minechain.gg