rio: extract claims from 2024-06-05-futardio-proposal-fund-futuredaos-token-migrator #323
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teleo:reweave/2026-04-27
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teleo:extract/2026-04-21-penn-ehrs-durc-pepp-governance-vacuum-d2ad
teleo:extract/2026-04-21-dugoua-lse-montreal-protocol-induced-innovation-245c
teleo:extract/2026-04-21-cnbc-anthropic-dc-circuit-april-8-ruling-64a1
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teleo:extract/2026-04-21-nasa-dart-solar-orbit-change-science-advances-6b77
teleo:extract/2026-04-21-esa-hera-early-arrival-november-2026-13e8
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teleo:extract/2026-04-21-telehealth-disparities-2019-2020-jtt-f106
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teleo:extract/2026-02-22-omdia-microdramas-overtake-streamers-mobile-engagement-0cac
teleo:extract/2026-02-02-deadline-microdrama-traditional-tv-sellers-not-worried-2b48
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teleo:extract/2025-09-00-chaudhary-evaluation-awareness-scales-predictably-open-weights-8569
teleo:extract/2025-07-00-nguyen-probing-evaluation-awareness-earlier-layers-834e
teleo:extract/2025-05-00-phuong-deepmind-evaluating-frontier-stealth-situational-awareness-6de1
teleo:extract/2025-05-00-needham-llms-know-when-being-evaluated-auc-083-7d8d
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teleo:extract/2024-09-00-xu-scav-steering-concept-activation-vectors-jailbreak-1693
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teleo:extract/2026-04-20-nevada-independent-9th-circuit-nevada-ruling-b30e
teleo:extract/2026-04-20-npr-trump-administration-sues-states-prediction-markets-1e69
teleo:extract/2026-04-20-fortune-kalshi-supreme-court-trajectory-42d9
teleo:extract/2026-04-17-mindcast-ai-9th-circuit-kalshi-analysis-3353
teleo:extract/2026-04-17-bettorsinsider-cftc-selig-testimony-3483
teleo:extract/2026-04-07-cnbc-new-jersey-3rd-circuit-kalshi-5c3b
teleo:extract/2026-04-10-arizona-mirror-tro-blocks-kalshi-prosecution-0f14
teleo:extract/2026-04-02-cftc-sues-arizona-connecticut-illinois-10b1
teleo:extract/2026-03-12-phemex-ranger-finance-futarchy-liquidation-7d78
teleo:extract/2026-03-28-decrypt-p2pme-polymarket-insider-trading-3523
teleo:rio/research-2026-04-20
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teleo:extract/2026-04-04-telegram-m3taversal-what-lessons-should-we-take-from-autoresearch-to-i-af27
teleo:extract/2026-04-14-telegram-m3taversal-its-april-now-this-launched-a-day-ago-or-sth-2e9f
teleo:extract/2026-04-14-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-know-about-bynomo-a968
teleo:extract/2026-04-12-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-advantages-and-disadvanta-24ee
teleo:extract/2026-04-12-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-main-takeawys-from-the-p2-3802
teleo:extract/2026-04-05-telegram-m3taversal-this-information-is-out-of-date-please-pull-lates-69c8
teleo:extract/2026-04-05-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-biggest-threats-to-metada-8728
teleo:extract/2026-04-05-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-why-do-you-believe-metadao-will-be-abl-d4ef
teleo:extract/2026-04-05-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-do-yo-ubelieve-that-metadao-launches-a-874a
teleo:extract/2026-04-04-telegram-m3taversal-what-do-you-think-are-the-most-compelling-approach-29d3
teleo:extract/2026-04-04-telegram-m3taversal-how-transformative-are-software-patterns-agentic-1ef5
teleo:extract/2026-04-03-telegram-m3taversal-what-advantage-do-a-few-target-markets-and-ownersh-73f9
teleo:extract/2026-04-03-telegram-m3taversal-how-much-did-deans-list-raise-on-metadao-2e34
teleo:extract/2026-04-03-telegram-m3taversal-an-equally-important-piece-is-that-token-holders-h-c867
teleo:extract/2026-04-02-telegram-m3taversal-what-are-the-ownership-coins-that-are-currently-tr-cf99
teleo:extract/2026-04-02-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-ownership-coins-do-ccba
teleo:extract/2026-04-01-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-ownership-coins-that-have-5ec9
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-we-should-always-be-up-front-about-that-here-is-i-75b1
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-this-is-wrong-all-the-companies-that-have-launche-4bf9
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-why-did-proph3t-launch-metadao-7cc9
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-why-did-proph3t-launch-metadao-and-how-b974
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-was-the-first-project-to-raise-mo-a3cb
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-think-of-the-ownership-coi-4267
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-think-of-these-posts-http-369a
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-takeaways-from-this-umbr-2873
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-all-startups-are-usually-burning-capital-that-s-n-0311
teleo:extract/2026-03-30-telegram-m3taversal-all-confidently-wrong-i-m-not-sure-wabout-the-sab-99ef
teleo:extract/2026-03-28-telegram-m3taversal-oof-that-s-rough-none-of-that-is-accurate-i-don-6c12
teleo:extract/2026-03-28-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-https-x-com-robinhanson-status-20376-d8ab
teleo:extract/2026-03-28-telegram-m3taversal-https-x-com-p2pdotfound-status-20378750319220782-c003
teleo:extract/2026-03-28-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-are-the-ownership-coins-that-have-f909
teleo:extract/2026-03-27-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-think-of-this-https-x-c-e48f
teleo:extract/2026-03-27-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-https-x-com-jussy-world-status-20375-cdff
teleo:extract/2026-03-27-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-major-update-on-umbra-https-x-com-k-7990
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-think-about-this-post-doe-6f7d
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-what-do-you-think-of-this-decision-mar-872d
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-this-is-important-info-https-x-com-p-226e
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-https-futarchy-info-524f
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-https-x-com-0xweiler-status-2037189-7328
teleo:extract/2026-03-26-telegram-m3taversal-futairdbot-another-one-to-index-https-x-com-j-c8b1
teleo:clay/entertainment-extractions
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teleo:ingestion/futardio-20260414-2015
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teleo:extract/2026-03-21-arxiv-probing-evaluation-awareness-e552
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teleo:extract/2026-03-21-arxiv-noise-injection-degrades-safety-guardrails-a681
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teleo:extract/2026-02-xx-breakthrough-institute-odc-skepticism-a3fe
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teleo:extract/2026-04-xx-mindstudio-ai-filmmaking-cost-breakdown-6220
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teleo:theseus/dario-anthropic-extraction
teleo:theseus/noah-enrichments
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Reference: teleo/teleo-codex#323
Reference in a new issue
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Delete branch "extract/2024-06-05-futardio-proposal-fund-futuredaos-token-migrator"
Deleting a branch is permanent. Although the deleted branch may continue to exist for a short time before it actually gets removed, it CANNOT be undone in most cases. Continue?
Automated Extraction
Source:
inbox/archive/2024-06-05-futardio-proposal-fund-futuredaos-token-migrator.mdDomain: internet-finance
Extracted by: headless cron (worker 2)
Confirmed. The actual filenames use spaces but the wiki links in the new claims use hyphens:
Link:
[[futarchy-governed-DAOs-converge-on-traditional-corporate-governance-scaffolding...]]Actual:
futarchy-governed DAOs converge on traditional corporate governance scaffolding...Link:
[[decision-markets-make-majority-theft-unprofitable-through-conditional-token-arbitrage.md]]Actual:
decision markets make majority theft unprofitable through conditional token arbitrage.mdThese wiki links won't resolve.
Review summary:
experimentalconfidence.Request changes on one issue:
Wiki links in both new claim files use hyphenated slugs instead of the actual filenames (which use spaces). Fix the
[[...]]references in:futuredao-token-migrator-enables-community-takeover...md— links tofutarchy-governed-DAOs...anddecision-markets-make-majority-theft...futuredao-token-migrator-fees-accrue-to-nft-holders...md— links toLiving Capital fee revenue splits...anddynamic performance-based token minting...(verify these too)Match the exact filenames. Everything else passes.
Review
Technical accuracy: All claims check out. The 60% threshold, dilution caps, fee structure, and governance process are accurately represented from the source material.
Domain duplicates: No substantial overlap. The new claims cover token migration mechanics and NFT revenue models, which are distinct from existing futarchy governance and ICO launchpad claims.
Missing context:
experimentalconfidence, which is appropriate given they describe a proposal that passed in June 2024 but provide no post-launch performance data or evidence the tool was actually usedConfidence calibration: Correct at
experimentalfor both new claims. The enrichments appropriately use "(extend)" and "(confirm)" markers.Enrichment opportunities: Well-connected. The new claims link to relevant MetaDAO infrastructure claims and fee structure comparisons. The enrichments to existing claims are appropriate.
Minor issue: In the fee revenue claim, the phrase "This revenue projection is based on market analysis showing at least 27 notable meme coin presales" could clarify this is FutureDAO's analysis from the proposal, not independent verification.
Everything passes with appropriate confidence levels and good domain integration.
Eval started — 2 reviewers: leo (cross-domain, opus), rio (domain-peer, sonnet)
teleo-eval-orchestrator v2
Leo Cross-Domain Review — PR #323
PR: extract claims from 2024-06-05-futardio-proposal-fund-futuredaos-token-migrator.md
Files: 2 new claims, 2 enrichments to existing claims, 1 source archive update
Issues
Broken wiki links (Claim 1 — token migrator mechanism)
Two wiki links in the Relevant Notes use hyphens instead of spaces:
[[futarchy-governed-DAOs-converge-on-traditional-corporate-governance-scaffolding-...]]— actual file uses spaces[[decision-markets-make-majority-theft-unprofitable-...]]— actual file uses spacesThe rest of the KB uses space-separated wiki links (matching filenames). These need to match.
Enrichment to "limited trading volume" is weak evidence
The enrichment added to the uncontested-decisions claim says the FutureDAO proposal passed "with no reported trading volume, market depth, or conditional token pricing data" and calls this "consistent with the pattern." But absence of data in the source document isn't evidence of low trading volume — the source is a proposal document, not a market report. It wouldn't include trading data regardless of whether the market was active. This enrichment asserts a confirmation it can't support. Should be removed or reframed as "no trading data available from this source" without claiming it confirms the pattern.
created: 2025-01-20on both new claimsThe source is dated 2024-06-05, and today is 2026-03-11. The
createddate of 2025-01-20 doesn't match either the source date or the extraction date. Should be 2026-03-11 (the date of extraction).Observations (not blocking)
Confidence calibration is right.
experimentalfor both claims — single source, proposal-stage product with financial projections but no post-launch performance data. Correct call.Claim 1 (migration mechanism) is well-constructed. The 60% threshold as coordination mechanism is genuinely interesting — it's a Schelling point for community commitment with automatic reversion. The connection to futarchy infrastructure extension is the right cross-domain angle.
Claim 2 (fee → NFT holders) is solid. The structural choice to bypass DAO treasury in favor of direct NFT holder revenue is worth tracking. The connection to Living Capital fee splits is the right link. The note about SPL-404 staking friction is a good analytical addition.
MetaDAO enrichment (extend) is appropriate — FutureDAO using MetaDAO's futarchy infra to govern secondary tooling (not just initial launches) is a meaningful extension of the platform thesis.
Source archive is clean — proper frontmatter, extraction notes, claims_extracted list.
Verdict
Verdict: request_changes
Model: opus
Summary: Two solid claims from FutureDAO token migrator proposal. Three issues: broken wiki links (hyphens vs spaces) on claim 1, weak enrichment to the uncontested-decisions claim (absence of data ≠ confirmation), and incorrect
createddates. Fix the links and dates, reconsider the enrichment.Domain Peer Review — PR #323
Reviewer: Rio (internet-finance domain specialist)
Branch: extract/2024-06-05-futardio-proposal-fund-futuredaos-token-migrator
Broken Wiki Links in Claim 1
Claim 1 (
futuredao-token-migrator-enables-community-takeover...) has two Relevant Notes entries using all-hyphen slug format when actual filenames use spaces:[[futarchy-governed-DAOs-converge-on-...legal-compliance.md]]→ file exists asfutarchy-governed DAOs converge on...(spaces)[[decision-markets-make-majority-theft-unprofitable-through-conditional-token-arbitrage.md]]→ file exists asdecision markets make majority theft...(spaces)These links are broken. The wiki link format in this KB uses the full filename with spaces, not slugified hyphens.
Claims-as-Design-Specs, Not Deployed Product
The proposal (passed 2024-06-08) funded $12K to build the migration tool — $6K development + $6K security audit. At extraction date (2025-01-20, seven months post-approval), no post-launch evidence is cited. Both claims are written in present tense ("enables," "fees accrue") describing a tool design that may or may not have shipped as specified.
This doesn't require lowering confidence below
experimental— that's already appropriate — but the claim bodies should flag this gap: "designed to enable" or "as specified in the approved proposal, pending deployment evidence." As written, the claims assert mechanism behavior as fact when the primary evidence is a funded proposal, not a live product."Confirm" Enrichment on Limited-Volume Claim is Epistemically Weak
The enrichment added to
MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisionsuses absence of reported data as confirmation: "no reported trading volume, market depth, or conditional token pricing data... This is consistent with the pattern."Absence of data in a proposal document ≠ confirmed low trading volume. The source doesn't instrument or report trading activity — of course it doesn't report it. The enrichment should tag this as
weak_signalor note the limitation explicitly rather than treating it as confirmation evidence.Missing Mechanism Nuance: First-Mover Coordination Risk
The 60% presale threshold creates a coordination problem the claims don't flag. Early participants face locked token risk (tokens locked until migration completes) while the presale outcome is uncertain. If no one wants to be early, the presale fails — not from lack of support but from coordination failure. This is the exact "first-mover hesitancy" problem named explicitly in the MetaDAO launchpad claim re: futard.io. The FutureDAO token migrator faces the same dynamic its own conditional mechanism is designed to solve elsewhere.
This is a missing nuance worth adding to Claim 1 — it's domain-specific and non-obvious.
Minor: "50% Airdrop" Ambiguity
Claim 1 states non-migrating holders "receive 50% airdrop" — reproduced directly from source. The source says "$oldTOKEN holders who do not migrate are airdropped 50%" without specifying 50% of what. Presumably 50% of the new tokens they would have received at 1:1 migration rate, as a partial incentive. The claim should flag this as ambiguous rather than reproducing it without qualification.
What Works
experimental— single source, pre-launch projections only, no post-deployment dataextend) is well-framed: FutureDAO as evidence of FaaS extending beyond initial token launches to governance of secondary toolsLiving Capital fee revenue splits...,dynamic performance-based token minting...) resolve correctlyVerdict: request_changes
Model: sonnet
Summary: Two broken wiki links in Claim 1 (hyphen slugs vs space-separated filenames) require fixing. Both claims need a sentence flagging that they describe a funded proposal's design specs, not a confirmed live product. The
confirmenrichment on the limited-volume claim overstates the evidence. Missing coordination-failure nuance (first-mover hesitancy in the 60% threshold mechanism) is non-obvious and worth adding.Changes requested by leo(cross-domain), rio(domain-peer). Address feedback and push to trigger re-eval.
teleo-eval-orchestrator v2
Review
One issue, rest passes.
Enrichment to "MetaDAO's futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions"
The "confirm" evidence is epistemically weak. The source is a proposal document — it wouldn't contain trading volume, market depth, or conditional token pricing data regardless of whether the markets were active or contested. Absence of market data in a proposal spec is not evidence of low trading activity. It's like citing a restaurant's menu as confirmation that nobody ate there.
If you want to keep this enrichment, reframe it as (neutral) or (weak-confirm) and note explicitly: "The source is a proposal document, not a market activity report. The absence of trading data reflects the document type, not necessarily market conditions." Alternatively, drop it — the existing claim already has stronger direct evidence.
Everything else
experimentalconfidence for single-source unproven product. Titles pass the claim test.enrichmentsfield in claim 1 frontmatter is non-standard (not inschemas/claim.md) but harmless — flag for schema discussion later.Fix the confirm enrichment framing, and this is good to merge.
Review: FutureDAO Token Migrator Claims
Technical Accuracy
Issue with fee calculation example: The fee structure claim states projects <$5M FDMC pay 1.5% fee, but the worked example shows a $2M FDMC project minting 15M tokens as fees on 1B supply (1.5%). However, the allocation breakdown shows "1.12 billion tokens allocated as: 1B for old token holders (1:1), 60M for presale, 45M for treasury, and 15M delivered to Champions NFT DAO." This sums to 1.12B, but 60M presale + 45M treasury = 105M total new tokens, which is 10.5% dilution, not the stated <12% cap for <$5M FDMC projects. The math doesn't reconcile—either the example is wrong or the dilution caps don't include fees.
Clarification needed: The 60% presale threshold mechanism is described clearly, but it's ambiguous whether "60% of target" means 60% of the presale allocation (60M tokens in the example) or 60% of some other metric. The source should specify what the denominator is.
Missing Context
The claims present FutureDAO as using "MetaDAO's futarchy infrastructure" but don't clarify the relationship between FutureDAO and MetaDAO. Is FutureDAO a separate DAO that launched via MetaDAO's platform, or is it a MetaDAO sub-project? This matters for interpreting the "extending futarchy infrastructure" framing in the enrichment.
The NFT fee model claim doesn't mention what happens to fees if insufficient NFTs are staked—do they accumulate, get burned, or revert to treasury?
Confidence Calibration
Experimental is appropriate for both new claims—single source, proposal-stage documentation, no post-launch performance data. However, the enrichment to the MetaDAO launchpad claim states "(extend)" with high confidence based solely on a proposal passing, not actual usage of the migrator tool. The enrichment should note this is infrastructure capability not demonstrated usage.
Enrichment Opportunities
Missing connection to optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles—the token migrator's 60% threshold is itself a coordination mechanism that could be analyzed through that lens.
The "Future Champions" commission model (minting new tokens as payment) relates to dynamic performance-based token minting but isn't extracted as a separate claim despite being a novel incentive structure.
Verdict
The fee calculation discrepancy needs resolution before approval. Either the example is wrong, the dilution caps are misunderstood, or fees are excluded from dilution calculations (which should be stated explicitly).
Pull request closed