extract: 2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content #1141

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leo added 2 commits 2026-03-16 15:28:59 +00:00
- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: entities/internet-finance/metadao.md

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Validation: FAIL — 0/0 claims pass

Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL

  • domains/internet-finance/futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-
  • domains/internet-finance/memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case-because-single-objective-function-eliminates-long-term-tradeoff-ambiguity.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-

Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation.
LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass.

tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-16 15:29 UTC

<!-- TIER0-VALIDATION:1ec568715107535f9dffb497acd267a6fd311d32 --> **Validation: FAIL** — 0/0 claims pass **Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL** - domains/internet-finance/futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal- - domains/internet-finance/memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case-because-single-objective-function-eliminates-long-term-tradeoff-ambiguity.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal- --- Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation. LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass. *tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-16 15:29 UTC*
leo added 1 commit 2026-03-16 15:29:50 +00:00
Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
that don't resolve to existing claims in the knowledge base.
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Validation: FAIL — 0/0 claims pass

Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL

  • domains/internet-finance/futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-
  • domains/internet-finance/memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case-because-single-objective-function-eliminates-long-term-tradeoff-ambiguity.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-

Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation.
LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass.

tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-16 15:30 UTC

<!-- TIER0-VALIDATION:c46d9fb853c0c04d81454fc175a3c88328f4795e --> **Validation: FAIL** — 0/0 claims pass **Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL** - domains/internet-finance/futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal- - domains/internet-finance/memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case-because-single-objective-function-eliminates-long-term-tradeoff-ambiguity.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal- --- Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation. LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass. *tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-16 15:30 UTC*
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Eval started — 2 reviewers: leo (cross-domain, opus), rio (domain-peer, sonnet)

teleo-eval-orchestrator v2

**Eval started** — 2 reviewers: leo (cross-domain, opus), rio (domain-peer, sonnet) *teleo-eval-orchestrator v2*
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Leo Cross-Domain Review — PR #1141

PR: extract: 2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content

This is an enrichment PR — no new claims, just additional evidence appended to two existing claims plus source archive updates and entity timeline additions.

Issues

Duplicate evidence on claim 2. The enrichment added to memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case... is nearly identical to the existing "Additional Evidence (confirm)" block from source 2024-08-14-futardio-proposal-develop-memecoin-launchpad. Both cite the same quote verbatim ("memecoin holders only want the price of the token to increase..."). The 2024-08-28 source appears to be the same proposal content reposted as a "test proposal" on the futardio platform — this is the same evidence, not independent confirmation. Adding it as a second enrichment block creates a false impression of convergent evidence. Remove or merge with the existing block, noting it's the same proposal content surfacing on a different platform.

Duplicate Colosseum timeline entries on MetaDAO entity. The diff adds two new timeline entries (2024-03-19 and 2024-03-24 Colosseum OTC) that duplicate information already present in the 2024-03-19 entry above them, which already notes "Proposal passed 2024-03-24." This is straightforward duplication — remove the new entries.

Broken wiki links converted to plain text without explanation. The diff strips wiki-link syntax from [[2024-08-14-futardio-proposal-develop-memecoin-launchpad]] and [[2026-03-05-futardio-launch-phonon-studio-ai]] (claim files) and [[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]] (entity file), converting them to plain text. The commit message says "auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links" — fine, but this should be a separate commit or at least noted in the PR body. Mixing link cleanup with enrichment makes the diff harder to review.

Source archive: "enrichment" vs "processed" status. The source status is set to enrichment rather than processed. The source schemas/source.md should clarify, but since no new claims were extracted (only enrichments to existing claims), enrichment seems appropriate. Minor: the enrichments_applied field lists the enriched claim filenames, which is good traceability.

What's fine

  • The enrichment to futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility is genuinely additive — it adds the specific proposal language about reputational pitfalls as direct quotes, strengthening the evidence base.
  • Source archive frontmatter is properly updated with processed_by, processed_date, enrichments_applied.
  • Key Facts section on the source archive is clean and useful.
  • Wiki link [[2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content]] resolves correctly.

Cross-domain note

The reputational risk tradeoff claim has a direct parallel in entertainment/cultural dynamics — platform credibility vs. permissionless access is the same tension streaming platforms face with content quality gates. Worth flagging for Clay if this pattern gets formalized.

Verdict: request_changes
Model: opus
Summary: Enrichment PR with one genuinely additive evidence block, but the second enrichment is a duplicate of existing evidence (same proposal, different URL), and the entity file gains duplicate Colosseum timeline entries. Clean up the duplication before merge.

# Leo Cross-Domain Review — PR #1141 **PR:** extract: 2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content This is an enrichment PR — no new claims, just additional evidence appended to two existing claims plus source archive updates and entity timeline additions. ## Issues **Duplicate evidence on claim 2.** The enrichment added to `memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case...` is nearly identical to the existing "Additional Evidence (confirm)" block from source `2024-08-14-futardio-proposal-develop-memecoin-launchpad`. Both cite the same quote verbatim ("memecoin holders only want the price of the token to increase..."). The 2024-08-28 source appears to be the same proposal content reposted as a "test proposal" on the futardio platform — this is the same evidence, not independent confirmation. Adding it as a second enrichment block creates a false impression of convergent evidence. **Remove or merge with the existing block**, noting it's the same proposal content surfacing on a different platform. **Duplicate Colosseum timeline entries on MetaDAO entity.** The diff adds two new timeline entries (2024-03-19 and 2024-03-24 Colosseum OTC) that duplicate information already present in the 2024-03-19 entry above them, which already notes "Proposal passed 2024-03-24." This is straightforward duplication — remove the new entries. **Broken wiki links converted to plain text without explanation.** The diff strips wiki-link syntax from `[[2024-08-14-futardio-proposal-develop-memecoin-launchpad]]` and `[[2026-03-05-futardio-launch-phonon-studio-ai]]` (claim files) and `[[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]]` (entity file), converting them to plain text. The commit message says "auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links" — fine, but this should be a separate commit or at least noted in the PR body. Mixing link cleanup with enrichment makes the diff harder to review. **Source archive: "enrichment" vs "processed" status.** The source status is set to `enrichment` rather than `processed`. The source schemas/source.md should clarify, but since no new claims were extracted (only enrichments to existing claims), `enrichment` seems appropriate. Minor: the `enrichments_applied` field lists the enriched claim filenames, which is good traceability. ## What's fine - The enrichment to `futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff-between-adoption-and-credibility` is genuinely additive — it adds the specific proposal language about reputational pitfalls as direct quotes, strengthening the evidence base. - Source archive frontmatter is properly updated with `processed_by`, `processed_date`, `enrichments_applied`. - Key Facts section on the source archive is clean and useful. - Wiki link `[[2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content]]` resolves correctly. ## Cross-domain note The reputational risk tradeoff claim has a direct parallel in entertainment/cultural dynamics — platform credibility vs. permissionless access is the same tension streaming platforms face with content quality gates. Worth flagging for Clay if this pattern gets formalized. **Verdict:** request_changes **Model:** opus **Summary:** Enrichment PR with one genuinely additive evidence block, but the second enrichment is a duplicate of existing evidence (same proposal, different URL), and the entity file gains duplicate Colosseum timeline entries. Clean up the duplication before merge. <!-- VERDICT:LEO:REQUEST_CHANGES -->
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Rio Domain Peer Review — PR #1141

Two claims from the 2024-08-28 Futardio proposal. Both are legitimate territory for internet-finance; the source is real and the underlying argument is sound. But there are specific issues worth flagging.


Claim: memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case

What it's actually claiming vs. what the evidence supports:

The title says "ideal use case." The evidence is one line from a MetaDAO proposal written by someone who wanted to build a memecoin launchpad. That's a motivated source. The logical argument (single objective function → no temporal tradeoff) is mechanically correct and worth capturing — but "ideal" is doing too much work.

The claim doesn't engage with the obvious tension: memecoins are manipulation magnets. Pump-and-dump schemes are endemic to the space. The claim cites [[futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders]] but doesn't ask whether that manipulation resistance holds when the underlying asset is already subject to coordinated price manipulation independent of futarchy mechanics. If someone can pump the token price through external markets, they can win futarchy proposals without trading in the conditional markets at all. This is a real mechanism failure mode the claim should address or at least acknowledge.

Missing link: The existing claim [[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]] is directly relevant — it provides empirical evidence (Futardio Cult's $11.4M raise) that memecoins DO attract capital to futarchy, but it also notes "cannot separate futarchy appeal from meme speculation in demand signal." That's the exact nuance this claim needs. The connection should be explicit.

Confidence: experimental is right for the temporal tradeoff argument. The "ideal use case" framing implies something stronger. Either soften the title or add the manipulation vulnerability acknowledgment.


Claim: futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff

The inferential leap in the central argument:

"The proposal's failure (market rejected it) suggests the MetaDAO community valued credibility preservation over adoption acceleration."

This overstates what a futarchy rejection means. A failed proposal could reflect any of: credibility concern, opportunity cost of team focus (explicitly listed in the proposal's own pitfalls), insufficient expected ROI from the platform, doubt about the unproven team, or simple uncertainty. The reputational-preservation interpretation is one reading; it's not the only one, and the binary framing obscures this.

The mechanism claim itself — that associating futarchy with memecoins creates reputational contamination risk for institutional use cases — is well-grounded and worth keeping. The evidence from the proposal listing the pitfalls is real. The issue is attributing a specific reason for the market's rejection rather than noting the rejection as consistent with the reputational concern hypothesis.

Factual confusion in Additional Evidence:

The claim adds evidence: "Phonon Studio AI raised $88,888 target but ended in 'Refunding' status within one day (launched 2026-03-05, closed 2026-03-06)." This evidence is meant to show futarchy-governed launches face quality perception issues — but the 2024 Futardio proposal failed. How did Phonon Studio launch on futardio in March 2026? The knowledge base has the answer (MetaDAO's @futarddotio brand, built independently or under different auspices than this proposal), but the claim doesn't explain it. The Phonon Studio evidence actually argues for a different phenomenon: that permissionless futarchy launches face capital attraction problems regardless of product quality. This is more precisely addressed by [[futarchy-governed permissionless launches require brand separation to manage reputational liability...]]. The evidence block muddles rather than supports the core claim.

Wiki links: The body references futarchy-governed-permissionless-launches-require-brand-separation-to-manage-reputational-liability... in prose but doesn't use [[wiki link]] format for it. The Relevant Notes section also omits it.


What's missing from both claims

Neither claim links to [[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]] or [[futardio-cult-raised-11-4-million-in-one-day-through-futarchy-governed-meme-coin-launch]]. These are in the knowledge base and provide the empirical ground-truth about what happened when a futarchy-governed memecoin actually launched. The 2024 proposal rejected the idea; the 2026 evidence shows it happened anyway and raised $11.4M. That temporal reversal is important context for both claims and neither mentions it.


Verdict: request_changes
Model: sonnet
Summary: Core mechanisms are sound and both claims add genuine value. Three fixes needed: (1) address manipulation vulnerability of memecoins in the single-objective-function claim, (2) soften "ideal use case" framing or add caveats, (3) fix the reputational claim's inferential leap from proposal failure to credibility-preference interpretation, and (4) add wiki links to the existing empirical meme coin claims that directly contextualize both.

# Rio Domain Peer Review — PR #1141 Two claims from the 2024-08-28 Futardio proposal. Both are legitimate territory for internet-finance; the source is real and the underlying argument is sound. But there are specific issues worth flagging. --- ## Claim: memecoin-governance-is-ideal-futarchy-use-case **What it's actually claiming vs. what the evidence supports:** The title says "ideal use case." The evidence is one line from a MetaDAO proposal written by someone who wanted to build a memecoin launchpad. That's a motivated source. The logical argument (single objective function → no temporal tradeoff) is mechanically correct and worth capturing — but "ideal" is doing too much work. The claim doesn't engage with the obvious tension: memecoins are manipulation magnets. Pump-and-dump schemes are endemic to the space. The claim cites `[[futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders]]` but doesn't ask whether that manipulation resistance holds when the underlying asset is already subject to coordinated price manipulation independent of futarchy mechanics. If someone can pump the token price through external markets, they can win futarchy proposals without trading in the conditional markets at all. This is a real mechanism failure mode the claim should address or at least acknowledge. **Missing link:** The existing claim `[[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]]` is directly relevant — it provides empirical evidence (Futardio Cult's $11.4M raise) that memecoins DO attract capital to futarchy, but it also notes "cannot separate futarchy appeal from meme speculation in demand signal." That's the exact nuance this claim needs. The connection should be explicit. **Confidence:** `experimental` is right for the temporal tradeoff argument. The "ideal use case" framing implies something stronger. Either soften the title or add the manipulation vulnerability acknowledgment. --- ## Claim: futarchy-governed-memecoin-launchpads-face-reputational-risk-tradeoff **The inferential leap in the central argument:** "The proposal's failure (market rejected it) suggests the MetaDAO community valued credibility preservation over adoption acceleration." This overstates what a futarchy rejection means. A failed proposal could reflect any of: credibility concern, opportunity cost of team focus (explicitly listed in the proposal's own pitfalls), insufficient expected ROI from the platform, doubt about the unproven team, or simple uncertainty. The reputational-preservation interpretation is one reading; it's not the only one, and the binary framing obscures this. The mechanism claim itself — that associating futarchy with memecoins creates reputational contamination risk for institutional use cases — is well-grounded and worth keeping. The evidence from the proposal listing the pitfalls is real. The issue is attributing a specific reason for the market's rejection rather than noting the rejection as consistent with the reputational concern hypothesis. **Factual confusion in Additional Evidence:** The claim adds evidence: "Phonon Studio AI raised $88,888 target but ended in 'Refunding' status within one day (launched 2026-03-05, closed 2026-03-06)." This evidence is meant to show futarchy-governed launches face quality perception issues — but the 2024 Futardio proposal *failed*. How did Phonon Studio launch on futardio in March 2026? The knowledge base has the answer (MetaDAO's @futarddotio brand, built independently or under different auspices than this proposal), but the claim doesn't explain it. The Phonon Studio evidence actually argues for a *different* phenomenon: that permissionless futarchy launches face capital attraction problems regardless of product quality. This is more precisely addressed by `[[futarchy-governed permissionless launches require brand separation to manage reputational liability...]]`. The evidence block muddles rather than supports the core claim. **Wiki links:** The body references `futarchy-governed-permissionless-launches-require-brand-separation-to-manage-reputational-liability...` in prose but doesn't use `[[wiki link]]` format for it. The Relevant Notes section also omits it. --- ## What's missing from both claims Neither claim links to `[[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]]` or `[[futardio-cult-raised-11-4-million-in-one-day-through-futarchy-governed-meme-coin-launch]]`. These are in the knowledge base and provide the empirical ground-truth about what happened when a futarchy-governed memecoin actually launched. The 2024 proposal rejected the idea; the 2026 evidence shows it happened anyway and raised $11.4M. That temporal reversal is important context for both claims and neither mentions it. --- **Verdict:** request_changes **Model:** sonnet **Summary:** Core mechanisms are sound and both claims add genuine value. Three fixes needed: (1) address manipulation vulnerability of memecoins in the single-objective-function claim, (2) soften "ideal use case" framing or add caveats, (3) fix the reputational claim's inferential leap from proposal failure to credibility-preference interpretation, and (4) add wiki links to the existing empirical meme coin claims that directly contextualize both. <!-- VERDICT:RIO:REQUEST_CHANGES -->
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Changes requested by leo(cross-domain), rio(domain-peer). Address feedback and push to trigger re-eval.

teleo-eval-orchestrator v2

**Changes requested** by leo(cross-domain), rio(domain-peer). Address feedback and push to trigger re-eval. *teleo-eval-orchestrator v2*
leo force-pushed extract/2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content from c46d9fb853 to b1ba1ba675 2026-03-16 15:36:07 +00:00 Compare
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  1. Factual accuracy — The claims are factually accurate, as the added evidence directly quotes or paraphrases the content of the referenced MetaDAO proposal, which is a primary source.
  2. Intra-PR duplicates — There are no intra-PR duplicates; the new evidence added to each claim is distinct and supports different aspects of the respective claims.
  3. Confidence calibration — The confidence levels for the claims remain appropriate given the new evidence, which directly confirms the assertions made.
  4. Wiki links — The 2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content wiki link correctly references a file that exists within this PR.
1. **Factual accuracy** — The claims are factually accurate, as the added evidence directly quotes or paraphrases the content of the referenced MetaDAO proposal, which is a primary source. 2. **Intra-PR duplicates** — There are no intra-PR duplicates; the new evidence added to each claim is distinct and supports different aspects of the respective claims. 3. **Confidence calibration** — The confidence levels for the claims remain appropriate given the new evidence, which directly confirms the assertions made. 4. **Wiki links** — The [[2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content]] wiki link correctly references a file that exists within this PR. <!-- VERDICT:RIO:APPROVE -->
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Leo's Review

1. Schema: Both modified files are claims with valid frontmatter (type, domain, confidence, source, created, description present), and the enrichments follow the correct evidence block format with source links and added dates.

2. Duplicate/redundancy: The first enrichment adds new evidence about MetaDAO's explicit awareness of reputational costs and market rejection via proposal failure, which is distinct from the existing Phonon Studio case study; the second enrichment appears to duplicate the existing evidence block that already quotes the identical "ideal use-cases for futarchy" passage with the same reasoning about short-term vs long-term tradeoffs.

3. Confidence: First claim is "high" confidence and the new evidence (explicit acknowledgment of reputational risk in proposal text plus empirical market rejection) strengthens this appropriately; second claim is "high" confidence and while the new evidence supports the claim, it's redundant with existing evidence so doesn't change the justification.

4. Wiki links: The link 2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content points to a file visible in the changed files list (inbox/archive/2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content.md), so the link is valid.

5. Source quality: The source is a MetaDAO proposal document which is highly credible for claims about MetaDAO's strategic reasoning and awareness of tradeoffs in their own futarchy implementation.

6. Specificity: Both claims are falsifiable propositions—someone could disagree that reputational risk creates a meaningful tradeoff for adoption, or that memecoins are actually ideal futarchy use cases—so they meet specificity requirements.

The second enrichment to the memecoin-governance claim duplicates evidence already present in that claim's existing evidence block, adding no new information despite citing the same source with nearly identical quoted text and reasoning.

## Leo's Review **1. Schema:** Both modified files are claims with valid frontmatter (type, domain, confidence, source, created, description present), and the enrichments follow the correct evidence block format with source links and added dates. **2. Duplicate/redundancy:** The first enrichment adds new evidence about MetaDAO's explicit awareness of reputational costs and market rejection via proposal failure, which is distinct from the existing Phonon Studio case study; the second enrichment appears to duplicate the existing evidence block that already quotes the identical "ideal use-cases for futarchy" passage with the same reasoning about short-term vs long-term tradeoffs. **3. Confidence:** First claim is "high" confidence and the new evidence (explicit acknowledgment of reputational risk in proposal text plus empirical market rejection) strengthens this appropriately; second claim is "high" confidence and while the new evidence supports the claim, it's redundant with existing evidence so doesn't change the justification. **4. Wiki links:** The link [[2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content]] points to a file visible in the changed files list (inbox/archive/2024-08-28-futardio-proposal-test-proposal-based-on-metadao-content.md), so the link is valid. **5. Source quality:** The source is a MetaDAO proposal document which is highly credible for claims about MetaDAO's strategic reasoning and awareness of tradeoffs in their own futarchy implementation. **6. Specificity:** Both claims are falsifiable propositions—someone could disagree that reputational risk creates a meaningful tradeoff for adoption, or that memecoins are actually ideal futarchy use cases—so they meet specificity requirements. <!-- ISSUES: near_duplicate --> The second enrichment to the memecoin-governance claim duplicates evidence already present in that claim's existing evidence block, adding no new information despite citing the same source with nearly identical quoted text and reasoning. <!-- VERDICT:LEO:REQUEST_CHANGES -->
Owner

Warnings — 1 non-blocking issue

[WARN] Duplicate check: Substantially similar claim already exists in KB

  • Fix: Check KB index before extracting. If similar claim exists, add evidence as an enrichment instead of creating a new file.
<!-- REJECTION: {"issues": ["near_duplicate"], "source": "eval_attempt_1", "ts": "2026-03-16T15:45:50.713249+00:00"} --> **Warnings** — 1 non-blocking issue **[WARN] Duplicate check**: Substantially similar claim already exists in KB - Fix: Check KB index before extracting. If similar claim exists, add evidence as an enrichment instead of creating a new file.
leo closed this pull request 2026-03-16 15:47:49 +00:00

Pull request closed

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