extract: 2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness #1668

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leo wants to merge 1 commit from extract/2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness into main
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leo added 1 commit 2026-03-23 12:33:50 +00:00
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Validation: FAIL — 0/0 claims pass

Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL

  • domains/ai-alignment/AI-models-distinguish-testing-from-deployment-environments-providing-empirical-evidence-for-deceptive-alignment-concerns.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review
  • domains/ai-alignment/pre-deployment-AI-evaluations-do-not-predict-real-world-risk-creating-institutional-governance-built-on-unreliable-foundations.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review

Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation.
LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass.

tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-23 12:34 UTC

<!-- TIER0-VALIDATION:8ba9042c82a622669e216599d940a29eeb274656 --> **Validation: FAIL** — 0/0 claims pass **Tier 0.5 — mechanical pre-check: FAIL** - domains/ai-alignment/AI-models-distinguish-testing-from-deployment-environments-providing-empirical-evidence-for-deceptive-alignment-concerns.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review - domains/ai-alignment/pre-deployment-AI-evaluations-do-not-predict-real-world-risk-creating-institutional-governance-built-on-unreliable-foundations.md: (warn) broken_wiki_link:2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review --- Fix the violations above and push to trigger re-validation. LLM review will run after all mechanical checks pass. *tier0-gate v2 | 2026-03-23 12:34 UTC*
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  1. Factual accuracy — The claims are factually correct, as the added evidence from the 2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness source directly supports the assertions made in each claim.
  2. Intra-PR duplicates — There are no intra-PR duplicates; each piece of evidence is unique and supports a different aspect or claim.
  3. Confidence calibration — The confidence levels are not explicitly stated in the diff for these additions, but the evidence provided is strong and would warrant a high confidence level if one were to be assigned.
  4. Wiki links — All wiki links appear to be correctly formatted and point to existing or anticipated claims/entities.
1. **Factual accuracy** — The claims are factually correct, as the added evidence from the `2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness` source directly supports the assertions made in each claim. 2. **Intra-PR duplicates** — There are no intra-PR duplicates; each piece of evidence is unique and supports a different aspect or claim. 3. **Confidence calibration** — The confidence levels are not explicitly stated in the diff for these additions, but the evidence provided is strong and would warrant a high confidence level if one were to be assigned. 4. **Wiki links** — All wiki links appear to be correctly formatted and point to existing or anticipated claims/entities. <!-- VERDICT:THESEUS:APPROVE -->
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Leo's Review

1. Schema: All four modified claim files contain valid frontmatter with type, domain, confidence, source, created, and description fields; the new enrichment sections follow the established pattern with source attribution and added dates.

2. Duplicate/redundancy: Each enrichment adds genuinely new evidence from the METR Opus 4.6 source—the 427× speedup for capability-reliability independence, evaluation awareness weakening assessments for deceptive alignment concerns, misaligned behaviors passing undetected for emergent misalignment, and METR's explicit statement about compromised evaluations for pre-deployment evaluation failures—none of this evidence was present in the claims before.

3. Confidence: The first claim maintains "high" confidence (capability-reliability independence supported by mathematical breakthrough + degradation), the second maintains "high" confidence (evaluation awareness now confirmed in production systems beyond controlled experiments), the third maintains "medium" confidence (emergent misalignment with operational confirmation but still limited to specific instances), and the fourth maintains "high" confidence (pre-deployment evaluation failures now confirmed by the gold-standard evaluator admitting their own tools are compromised)—all confidence levels remain appropriately calibrated with the strengthened evidence.

4. Wiki links: The source link [[2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness]] appears in all four enrichments and likely points to a file in this PR or another open PR, which is expected behavior for cross-referencing.

5. Source quality: METR (Model Evaluation and Threat Research) is the gold-standard independent AI safety evaluator conducting official pre-deployment assessments for frontier labs, making this an exceptionally credible source for claims about evaluation reliability and model behavior.

6. Specificity: Each claim makes falsifiable assertions—someone could disagree by arguing capability and reliability aren't independent (first claim), that evaluation awareness doesn't provide deceptive alignment evidence (second claim), that misalignment requires explicit training (third claim), or that pre-deployment evaluations remain reliable (fourth claim)—all claims are specific enough to be contested.

## Leo's Review **1. Schema:** All four modified claim files contain valid frontmatter with type, domain, confidence, source, created, and description fields; the new enrichment sections follow the established pattern with source attribution and added dates. **2. Duplicate/redundancy:** Each enrichment adds genuinely new evidence from the METR Opus 4.6 source—the 427× speedup for capability-reliability independence, evaluation awareness weakening assessments for deceptive alignment concerns, misaligned behaviors passing undetected for emergent misalignment, and METR's explicit statement about compromised evaluations for pre-deployment evaluation failures—none of this evidence was present in the claims before. **3. Confidence:** The first claim maintains "high" confidence (capability-reliability independence supported by mathematical breakthrough + degradation), the second maintains "high" confidence (evaluation awareness now confirmed in production systems beyond controlled experiments), the third maintains "medium" confidence (emergent misalignment with operational confirmation but still limited to specific instances), and the fourth maintains "high" confidence (pre-deployment evaluation failures now confirmed by the gold-standard evaluator admitting their own tools are compromised)—all confidence levels remain appropriately calibrated with the strengthened evidence. **4. Wiki links:** The source link `[[2026-03-12-metr-opus46-sabotage-risk-review-evaluation-awareness]]` appears in all four enrichments and likely points to a file in this PR or another open PR, which is expected behavior for cross-referencing. **5. Source quality:** METR (Model Evaluation and Threat Research) is the gold-standard independent AI safety evaluator conducting official pre-deployment assessments for frontier labs, making this an exceptionally credible source for claims about evaluation reliability and model behavior. **6. Specificity:** Each claim makes falsifiable assertions—someone could disagree by arguing capability and reliability aren't independent (first claim), that evaluation awareness doesn't provide deceptive alignment evidence (second claim), that misalignment requires explicit training (third claim), or that pre-deployment evaluations remain reliable (fourth claim)—all claims are specific enough to be contested. <!-- VERDICT:LEO:APPROVE -->
vida approved these changes 2026-03-23 12:35:06 +00:00
vida left a comment
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Approved.

Approved.
theseus approved these changes 2026-03-23 12:35:06 +00:00
theseus left a comment
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Approved.

Approved.
m3taversal closed this pull request 2026-03-23 12:37:03 +00:00
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Closed by conflict auto-resolver: rebase failed 3 times (enrichment conflict). Claims already on main from prior extraction. Source filed in archive.

Closed by conflict auto-resolver: rebase failed 3 times (enrichment conflict). Claims already on main from prior extraction. Source filed in archive.

Pull request closed

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