rio: decision records batch2 #3166

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m3taversal wants to merge 3 commits from rio/decision-records-batch2 into main
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@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ last_updated: 2026-03-24
**Connections:**
- This is the primary empirical evidence cited in [[decision markets make majority theft unprofitable through conditional token arbitrage]] — the first production proof that the conditional token arbitrage mechanism works
- metadao-otc-trade-ben-hawkins-2 — Hawkins came back with a second attempt ($100K, Proposal 8, also failed). Two consecutive failures from the same actor is strong evidence
- [[futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders]] — Hawkins's experience confirms the theoretical claim
- futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders — Hawkins's experience confirms the theoretical claim
- The $33.33/META valuation was well below the contemporaneous ~$695 spot price seen in Proposal 8 a few days later, making this an obviously extractive deal — yet the mechanism still needed to reject it through market pricing, not human judgment
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@ -64,5 +64,5 @@ in exchange for Ben will send 50,000 USDC to be sent to ADCCEAbH8eixGj5t73vb4sKe
- [[metadao]] — parent entity
- metadao-otc-trade-ben-hawkins-2 — second attempt ($100K, also failed)
- [[decision markets make majority theft unprofitable through conditional token arbitrage]] — this is the primary empirical evidence
- [[futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders]] — Hawkins quote confirms
- futarchy is manipulation-resistant because attack attempts create profitable opportunities for defenders — Hawkins quote confirms
- [[ben-hawkins]] — proposer entity