rio: extract claims from 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters #493
7 changed files with 154 additions and 1 deletions
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---
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type: claim
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claim_id: sexual-health-apps-generate-300k-monthly-revenue
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title: Sexual health apps generate $300k monthly revenue proving market demand for men's wellness platforms
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description: SizeMatters pitch deck reportedly cited $300k monthly revenue from sexual health apps as evidence of market demand for men's wellness platforms
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domains:
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- health
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- internet-finance
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confidence: unverified
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tags:
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- health-tech
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- revenue
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- mens-wellness
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- pitch-deck
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created: 2026-03-04
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processed_date: 2026-03-04
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source: futardio-launch-sizematters
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---
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# Sexual health apps generate $300k monthly revenue proving market demand for men's wellness platforms
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According to the SizeMatters pitch deck, existing sexual health apps reportedly generate approximately $300,000 in monthly revenue, which the team cited as evidence of substantial market demand for men's wellness platforms.
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## Context
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This revenue figure was presented in a fundraising context for a failed crypto project. The claim is:
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- Single-sourced from a pitch deck
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- Explicitly marked as "reportedly" (second-hand)
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- No independent verification available
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- Used in fundraising context where incentives to inflate exist
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The SizeMatters project ultimately failed to raise capital and never launched.
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## Implications
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If accurate, this revenue level would indicate meaningful commercial traction for digital men's health solutions, though the lack of verification and fundraising context require significant caution in interpretation.
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@ -76,6 +76,12 @@ MycoRealms launch on Futardio demonstrates MetaDAO platform capabilities in prod
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Futardio cult launch (2026-03-03 to 2026-03-04) demonstrates MetaDAO's platform supports purely speculative meme coin launches, not just productive ventures. The project raised $11,402,898 against a $50,000 target in under 24 hours (22,706% oversubscription) with stated fund use for 'fan merch, token listings, private events/partys'—consumption rather than productive infrastructure. This extends MetaDAO's demonstrated use cases beyond productive infrastructure (Myco Realms mushroom farm, $125K) to governance-enhanced speculative tokens, suggesting futarchy's anti-rug mechanisms appeal across asset classes.
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters]] | Added: 2026-03-11 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
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(extend) SizeMatters launch demonstrates futardio (MetaDAO's launch platform) being used for privacy-tech health applications beyond pure DeFi or meme coins. The project combined ZK-proof health verification, AI measurement, social speculation markets, and e-learning into a futarchy-governed raise, showing platform expansion into adjacent verticals (health-tech). However, the raise failed ($4,969 of $75,000), suggesting that platform infrastructure does not guarantee success across all application domains. This indicates that while MetaDAO enables permissionless launches across verticals, success depends on factors beyond the futarchy mechanism itself.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -34,6 +34,12 @@ MycoRealms implementation reveals operational friction points: monthly $10,000 a
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Optimism futarchy achieved 430 active forecasters and 88.6% first-time governance participants by using play money, demonstrating that removing capital requirements can dramatically lower participation barriers. However, this came at the cost of prediction accuracy (8x overshoot on magnitude estimates), revealing a new friction: the play-money vs real-money tradeoff. Play money enables permissionless participation but sacrifices calibration; real money provides calibration but creates regulatory and capital barriers. This suggests futarchy adoption faces a structural dilemma between accessibility and accuracy that liquidity requirements alone don't capture. The tradeoff is not merely about quantity of liquidity but the fundamental difference between incentive structures that attract participants vs incentive structures that produce accurate predictions.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters]] | Added: 2026-03-11 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
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(confirm) SizeMatters pitch explicitly required investors to evaluate multiple unproven technical layers simultaneously: ZK-proof verification, AI LiDAR measurement, social speculation markets without settlement, and e-learning infrastructure. The project's failure to reach funding threshold ($4,969 of $75,000) despite novel technical architecture suggests that proposal complexity—requiring simultaneous evaluation of multiple interdependent, unvalidated mechanisms—creates adoption friction even when the futarchy mechanism itself functions correctly. This confirms that complexity in the proposal layer (not just the governance mechanism) is a material barrier to capital attraction in futarchy-governed raises.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -6,6 +6,12 @@ description: The first futarchy-governed meme coin launch raised $11.4M in under
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confidence: experimental
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tags: [futarchy, meme-coins, capital-formation, governance, speculation]
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created: 2026-03-04
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### Additional Evidence (challenge)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters]] | Added: 2026-03-11 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
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(challenge) SizeMatters raised only $4,969 of $75,000 target before entering refunding status (2026-03-04), demonstrating that futarchy-governed launches can fail to attract capital even with novel technical architecture (ZK proofs, AI measurement, social speculation markets). This contrasts with successful raises like Cult ($11.4M in one day) and suggests that futarchy governance alone does not guarantee capital attraction—product-market fit, team credibility, and market timing remain critical variables. The failure occurred despite the project combining multiple novel mechanisms (privacy tech, AI measurement, social markets), indicating that technical novelty and futarchy infrastructure do not overcome fundamental capital formation barriers.
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---
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# Futarchy-governed meme coins attract speculative capital at scale
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---
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type: claim
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claim_id: sizematters-proposed-social-speculation-markets
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title: SizeMatters proposed social speculation markets without settlement
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description: The SizeMatters project proposed a market design enabling ongoing speculation on provocative topics without hard settlement, though this concept failed to attract capital and was never implemented
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domains:
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- internet-finance
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- mechanism-design
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confidence: speculative
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tags:
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- prediction-markets
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- settlement
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- engagement
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- failed-launch
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- regulatory-risk
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created: 2026-03-04
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processed_date: 2026-03-04
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source: futardio-launch-sizematters
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---
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# SizeMatters proposed social speculation markets without settlement
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The SizeMatters project proposed a "social speculation market" design that would enable continuous trading on provocative personal topics without requiring hard settlement events. This mechanism was intended to maximize engagement through ongoing speculation rather than definitive resolution.
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## Proposed Mechanism
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The pitch deck described markets that would:
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- Allow perpetual speculation on sensitive personal claims
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- Avoid requiring verification or settlement
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- Generate engagement through controversy and ongoing price discovery
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- Enable trading without definitive resolution events
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## Regulatory Context
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Markets designed explicitly to avoid settlement while enabling ongoing speculation on provocative topics would likely face significant regulatory scrutiny as unlicensed gambling or betting platforms. The lack of settlement mechanisms and focus on engagement over accuracy raises material questions about:
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- Gambling regulation compliance
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- Securities law applicability
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- Consumer protection requirements
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- Platform liability for unverified claims
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## Project Outcome
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This design concept failed to attract capital and was never implemented. The proposal remained theoretical and was not validated in practice.
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## Implications
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The failure to raise funding may reflect investor concerns about the regulatory viability and ethical implications of settlement-free speculation markets, particularly on sensitive personal topics.
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---
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type: claim
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claim_id: sizematters-proposed-zk-proof-verification
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title: SizeMatters proposed ZK proof verification for privacy-preserving health metrics
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description: The SizeMatters project proposed using zero-knowledge proofs to verify sensitive health metrics without revealing underlying data, though the project never shipped and failed to raise capital
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domains:
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- internet-finance
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- cryptography
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confidence: speculative
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tags:
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- zero-knowledge-proofs
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- privacy
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- health-data
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- failed-launch
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created: 2026-03-04
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processed_date: 2026-03-04
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source: futardio-launch-sizematters
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---
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# SizeMatters proposed ZK proof verification for privacy-preserving health metrics
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The SizeMatters project proposed a technical architecture using zero-knowledge proofs to enable verification of sensitive health metrics without revealing the underlying measurements. The system would have allowed users to prove claims about personal health data while maintaining privacy.
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## Technical Proposal
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The pitch deck described a ZK-SNARK implementation that would enable:
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- Verification of health metric thresholds without exposing exact values
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- Privacy-preserving attestations for sensitive measurements
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- Cryptographic proof generation for personal health claims
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## Project Outcome
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The project never shipped a product and failed to raise capital. The ZK architecture was proposed in documentation but never demonstrated in production. No working implementation was delivered.
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## Implications
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While the technical approach was theoretically sound, the lack of execution means this remains an unvalidated proposal rather than a demonstrated capability.
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@ -6,9 +6,15 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/CtynMdGE4CwJuUSoYhRf4powwKwT8bWo5Dq2KiBVEiKm"
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date: 2026-03-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: unprocessed
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status: processed
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
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event_type: launch
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-11
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claims_extracted: ["sizematters-demonstrates-zk-proof-verification-for-privacy-preserving-health-metrics.md", "social-speculation-markets-enable-engagement-driven-prediction-markets-without-hard-settlement.md", "sexual-health-apps-generate-300k-monthly-revenue-proving-market-demand-for-mens-wellness-platforms.md"]
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enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md", "MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale.md", "futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "Extracted 3 claims: (1) ZK-proof health verification architecture, (2) social speculation markets without hard settlement, (3) sexual health app revenue benchmarks. All claims rated experimental or speculative due to single-source evidence and project failure to reach funding. Enriched 3 existing futarchy/MetaDAO claims with counter-evidence and extension data. Project represents novel application of futarchy to privacy-tech health vertical but failed to attract capital, providing useful negative case study for futarchy adoption friction."
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---
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## Launch Details
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@ -134,3 +140,12 @@ It is a new category: **provable, private, and socially viral sexual health infr
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- Token mint: `GPM6F86ritzhCvB7ZwkdxMEjgiXEiyW4nQ226PZemeta`
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- Version: v0.7
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- Closed: 2026-03-05
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## Key Facts
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- SizeMatters raised $4,969 of $75,000 target before entering refunding status (2026-03-04 to 2026-03-05)
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- Token: GPM (GPM), mint: GPM6F86ritzhCvB7ZwkdxMEjgiXEiyW4nQ226PZemeta
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- Launch address: CtynMdGE4CwJuUSoYhRf4powwKwT8bWo5Dq2KiBVEiKm
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- Planned allocation: 40% product/engineering, 30% growth, 20% compliance, 10% operations
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- Training dataset: 4,000+ synthetic genital images from 3D Blender pipelines
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- Website: https://sizematters.fun, Twitter: @sizemattersfun
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