domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md

@@ -29,6 +29,12 @@ Contributing factors to prediction failure: play-money environment created no do
 ## Challenges
 This was a play-money experiment, which is the primary confound. Real-money futarchy may produce different calibration through actual downside risk. The 84-day measurement window may have been too short for TVL impact to materialize. ETH price volatility during the measurement period confounded project-specific performance attribution.
 
+
+### Additional Evidence (extend)
+*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
+
+ORE's HNT-ORE boost proposal demonstrates futarchy's strength in relative selection: the market validated HNT as the next liquidity pair to boost relative to other candidates (ISC already had a boost at equivalent multiplier), but the proposal does not require absolute prediction of HNT's future price or utility—only that HNT is a better strategic choice than alternatives. The proposal passed by market consensus on relative positioning (HNT as flagship DePIN project post-HIP-138), not by predicting absolute HNT performance metrics.
+
 ---
 
 Relevant Notes:

entities/internet-finance/helium.md

@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: "Helium"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: active
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+---
+
+# Helium
+
+## Overview
+Helium is a decentralized wireless networking protocol and flagship DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network) project on Solana. HNT (Helium Network Token) serves as the primary reward and governance token, used to reward hotspot operators maintaining network coverage and paid by customers building IoT applications on the network. Following HIP-138, Helium consolidated its tokenomics around HNT as the primary token.
+
+## Timeline
+- **2024-11-25** — Integrated into ORE liquidity network through [[ore-launch-hnt-boost]] proposal for HNT-ORE liquidity boost
+- **2024-11-28** — [[ore-launch-hnt-boost]] passed, establishing HNT-ORE as Tier 3 liquidity pair in ORE's boost system
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[ore]] — liquidity integration partner
+- Referenced as "flagship DePIN project" in ORE's strategic positioning for real-world asset liquidity

entities/internet-finance/ore-launch-hnt-boost.md

@@ -0,0 +1,47 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: decision_market
+name: "ORE: Launch a boost for HNT-ORE?"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: passed
+parent_entity: "[[ore]]"
+platform: "futardio"
+proposal_url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1A"
+proposal_date: 2024-11-25
+resolution_date: 2024-11-28
+category: "strategy"
+summary: "Proposal to launch liquidity boost for HNT-ORE pair and formalize three-tier boost multiplier system"
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+---
+
+# ORE: Launch a boost for HNT-ORE?
+
+## Summary
+Proposal to integrate Helium Network Token (HNT) into ORE's liquidity network by launching a boost for the HNT-ORE pair and formalizing a three-tier boost multiplier system. The proposal positions ORE as a liquidity hub for real-world assets on Solana, with HNT as a flagship DePIN integration following Helium's HIP-138 tokenomics consolidation.
+
+## Market Data
+- **Outcome:** Passed
+- **Proposal Account:** 2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1A
+- **Proposal Number:** 1
+- **DAO Account:** EttCec7x4r227dbQ8BYUVtqizDdD6T3WQHGHWKdzJrCc
+- **Proposer:** proPaC9tVZEsmgDtNhx15e7nSpoojtPD3H9h4GqSqB2
+- **Autocrat Version:** 0.3
+- **Created:** 2024-11-25
+- **Completed:** 2024-11-28
+
+## Proposal Details
+The proposal introduces HNT-ORE boost at the same multiplier as ISC-ORE (Tier 3) and formalizes a three-tier boost system:
+- **Tier 1:** Vanilla ORE stake
+- **Tier 2:** Critical liquidity pairs (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE)
+- **Tier 3:** Extended liquidity pairs (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE, future additions)
+
+Boosts apply to kTokens representing Kamino vault shares managing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca. Future proposals can adjust multipliers by tier rather than individual pairs.
+
+## Significance
+This proposal demonstrates futarchy pricing strategic partnerships and network positioning. The market validated ORE's narrative of becoming "the central hub" for real-world asset liquidity on Solana by approving integration with Helium, a flagship DePIN project. The three-tier system represents governance simplification through abstraction — future proposals can target tiers rather than individual pairs, reducing complexity while maintaining control.
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[ore]] — parent entity
+- [[MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window]] — governance mechanism
+- [[futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs]] — strategic evaluation through conditional markets

entities/internet-finance/ore.md

@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: "ORE"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: active
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+---
+
+# ORE
+
+## Overview
+ORE is a DeFi protocol on Solana positioning itself as a liquidity hub for real-world assets (RWAs) and DePIN tokens. The protocol uses a three-tier boost multiplier system to incentivize liquidity provision, with concentrated liquidity positions managed through Kamino vaults on Orca. ORE's strategic goal is to become the central unit of account for tokenized commodities and DePIN credits in the Solana ecosystem.
+
+## Timeline
+- **2024-11-25** — [[ore-launch-hnt-boost]] proposed: Launch HNT-ORE liquidity boost to integrate Helium into ORE liquidity network
+- **2024-11-28** — [[ore-launch-hnt-boost]] passed: Approved three-tier boost system (vanilla stake / critical pairs / extended pairs) and HNT-ORE boost at Tier 3 multiplier
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window]] — governance mechanism
+- [[futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs]] — strategic partnership evaluation through futarchy

inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md

@@ -6,9 +6,14 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1
 date: 2024-11-25
 domain: internet-finance
 format: data
-status: unprocessed
+status: processed
 tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
 event_type: proposal
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-11
+enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md"]
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "Futardio proposal for ORE-HNT liquidity boost. Primary extraction: three new entities (ORE protocol, decision_market for the proposal, Helium). Two enrichments showing futarchy governance patterns: three-tier boost system as governance simplification mechanism, and strategic partnership evaluation through conditional markets. No novel claims — the proposal demonstrates existing futarchy mechanisms in practice rather than introducing new theoretical insights."
 ---
 
 ## Proposal Details
@@ -59,3 +64,10 @@ With the passing of this proposal, we would introduce a new boost with the same
 - Autocrat version: 0.3
 - Completed: 2024-11-28
 - Ended: 2024-11-28
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- ORE proposal 2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1A passed 2024-11-28
+- HNT-ORE boost uses Kamino kTokens representing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca
+- ORE three-tier boost system: Tier 1 (vanilla stake), Tier 2 (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE), Tier 3 (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE)
+- Helium HIP-138 consolidated network tokenomics around HNT as primary token