teleo-codex/inbox/archive/2012-00-00-kahan-identity-protective-cognition.md
m3taversal 833d810f21 clay: address PR #64 review — backfire effect, Putnam causality, source archives
- Fix: soften backfire effect language in IPC claim — distinguish Kahan's robust finding (polarization increases with cognitive skill) from the contested backfire effect (Wood & Porter 2019, Guess & Coppock 2020 show minimal evidence)
- Fix: qualify Putnam's TV causal claim as regression decomposition with contested causal interpretation
- Add: cross-domain wiki links — Olson→alignment tax + voluntary pledges, IPC→AI alignment coordination + voluntary pledges
- Add: 6 source archive stubs for canonical academic texts (Olson, Granovetter, Dunbar, Blackmore, Putnam, Kahan)

Pentagon-Agent: Clay <D5A56E53-93FA-428D-8EC5-5BAC46E1B8C2>
2026-03-10 15:40:45 +00:00

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Markdown

---
type: source
title: "The polarizing impact of science literacy and numeracy on perceived climate change risks"
author: "Dan Kahan"
url: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1547
date: 2012-05-27
domain: cultural-dynamics
format: paper
status: processed
processed_by: clay
processed_date: 2026-03-08
claims_extracted:
- "identity-protective cognition causes people to reject evidence that threatens their group identity even when they have the cognitive capacity to evaluate it correctly"
tags: [identity-protective-cognition, cultural-cognition, polarization, motivated-reasoning]
---
# The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change Risks
Published in Nature Climate Change. Demonstrates that higher scientific literacy and numeracy predict *greater* polarization on culturally contested issues, not less. Extended by Kahan 2017 (Advances in Political Psychology) and Kahan et al. 2013 (Journal of Risk Research) with the gun-control statistics experiment.