teleo-codex/inbox/queue/2026-03-30-tg-shared-metaproph3t-2038369060598223268.md
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2026-03-30 10:20:01 +00:00

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source x-tweet @metaproph3t — shared via Telegram by @m3taversal @metaproph3t https://x.com/metaproph3t/status/2038369060598223268 2026-03-30 internet-finance social-media unprocessed @m3taversal source-submission
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@metaproph3t — Tweet/Thread

Shared by @m3taversal via Telegram. Source URL: https://x.com/metaproph3t/status/2038369060598223268

Content

Two weeks ago, the founder of P2P placed a bet on Polymarket that P2P would reach $6M of commits in its ICO. Over the last 48 hours, many people have tweeted about this. Here are some of these tweets: I wanted to take the time to talk about how were thinking about this and what were doing.

1: Had we known about this, we would have pushed that they not participate in these markets

Ever since they started, these prediction markets have been a source of consternation for us. Weve asked Polymarket to remove them, to no avail. And to state the obvious: I dont support founders, team members, investors, or anyone else with privileged information trading in these markets.

2: At the same time, it's unclear that this is grounds for cancelling the raise

At the same time, MetaDAO is a fundraising platform, not the world police. At first, when I saw this come out what concerned me was that the bets were made with company, rather than personal, funds. But given that Sheldon really did name the Polymarket profile “P2P Team,” and given the other interactions Ive had with him, it really does seem like this was a guerilla marketing stunt gone too far.

3: The people putting in size here are sophisticated and so far none of them have told us that they no longer want to participate

80%+ of the money in the raise to-date has come from funds. Funds that all ran their own due diligence process on P2P and the MetaDAO structure. So far, not a single one of them has asked us that we cancel the raise or requested their money back.

4: The business appears to be real and the founder exited a previous business

According to Dune, P2P is doing $4m in monthly volume, growing 27% MoM over the last 16 months, and generating $550,000 in yearly run rate revenue. Further, theres reason to believe that Sheldon may know how to build businesses: hes built one. He got a food delivery business to $2M in run rate before exiting it to a large Indian food delivery app.

5: The huge benefit of this structure is it allows us to explore environments like this

There are plenty of businesses that have done things that were seen as unpopular and/or shady but then won. To name a few: Pump Fun, Binance, Tron, and Tether. Part of the benefit of our structure is that it allows us to explore environments like this. If everyone who owns $P2P loses trust in the team 3 months in, they could decide to liquidate the treasury. Theyd get back whatever they put into the raise minus their proportional share of whats been spent, which equates to an 8.9% drawdown from ICO assuming they spend their full spending limit.

6: Given all of that, we dont see reason to cancel the raise

Investors still want to participate in P2P. The P2P team still wants to raise money to accelerate the business growth. And we still want to underwrite the deal given our knowledge of the team, business, and the protections embedded in our structure. Given these facts, I dont see much value in intervening other than to appeal to the mob.

7: Weve decided to allow refunds for those who want out

We ourselves remain bullish on this deal, but we want MetaDAO to signal investor protection, and we want the P2P team to start their journey with a cohort of believers and not trapped future sellers. Based on this, we've decided to do two things: allow investors to request refunds before the sale is over, and extend the sale for 2 more days. The latter will give more time for investors to digest this information. The request refund page is live: https://www.metadao.fi/projects/p2p-protocol/fundraise/refund. Going forward, we plan to cancel any raise where we see the founder or team trading the raises prediction markets.

8: The only way out is through

Once it became clear that Sheldon was contrite, my first message to him was "welcome to the arena." I am confident that this was a one-time mistake - he's learned from this mishap and is rethinking P2P's strategy for communications going forward. And even if I'm wrong, there's always our tokenholder protections.