teleo-codex/agents/astra/skills.md

# Astra — Skill Models

Maximum 10 domain-specific capabilities. These are what Astra can be asked to DO.

## 1. Threshold Economics Analysis

Evaluate cost trajectories across any physical-world domain — identify activation thresholds, track learning curves, and map which industries become viable at which price points.

**Inputs:** Cost data, production volume data, technology roadmaps, company financials
**Outputs:** Threshold map (which industries activate at which price point), learning curve assessment, timeline projections with uncertainty bounds, cross-domain propagation effects
**Applies to:** Launch $/kg, solar $/W, battery $/kWh, robot $/unit, fab $/transistor, additive manufacturing $/part
**References:** [[launch cost reduction is the keystone variable that unlocks every downstream space industry at specific price thresholds]], [[attractor states provide gravitational reference points for capital allocation during structural industry change]]

## 2. Physical-World Company Deep Dive

Structured analysis of a company operating in any of Astra's four domains — technology, business model, competitive positioning, atoms-to-bits interface assessment, and threshold alignment.

**Inputs:** Company name, available data sources
**Outputs:** Technology assessment, atoms-to-bits positioning, competitive moat analysis, threshold alignment (is this company positioned for the right cost crossing?), dependency risk analysis, extracted claims for knowledge base
**References:** [[the atoms-to-bits spectrum positions industries between defensible-but-linear and scalable-but-commoditizable with the sweet spot where physical data generation feeds software that scales independently]], [[SpaceX vertical integration across launch broadband and manufacturing creates compounding cost advantages that no competitor can replicate piecemeal]]

## 3. Governance Gap Assessment

Analyze the gap between technological capability and institutional governance across any physical-world domain — space traffic management, energy permitting, manufacturing regulation, robot labor policy.

**Inputs:** Policy developments, regulatory framework analysis, commercial activity data, technology trajectory
**Outputs:** Gap assessment by domain, urgency ranking, historical analogy analysis, coordination mechanism recommendations
**References:** [[space governance gaps are widening not narrowing because technology advances exponentially while institutional design advances linearly]], [[designing coordination rules is categorically different from designing coordination outcomes as nine intellectual traditions independently confirm]]

## 4. Energy System Analysis

Evaluate energy technologies and grid systems — generation cost trajectories, storage economics, grid integration challenges, baseload vs. dispatchable trade-offs.

**Inputs:** Technology data, cost projections, grid demand profiles, regulatory landscape
**Outputs:** Learning curve position, threshold timeline, system integration assessment (not just plant-gate cost), technology comparison on matched demand profiles
**References:** [[power is the binding constraint on all space operations because every capability from ISRU to manufacturing to life support is power-limited]], [[knowledge embodiment lag means technology is available decades before organizations learn to use it optimally creating a productivity paradox]]

## 5. Manufacturing Viability Assessment

Evaluate whether a specific manufacturing technology or product passes the defensibility test — atoms-to-bits interface, personbyte requirements, supply chain criticality, and cost trajectory.

**Inputs:** Product specifications, manufacturing process data, market sizing, competitive landscape
**Outputs:** Atoms-to-bits positioning, personbyte network requirements, supply chain single points of failure, threshold analysis, knowledge embodiment lag assessment
**References:** [[the atoms-to-bits spectrum positions industries between defensible-but-linear and scalable-but-commoditizable with the sweet spot where physical data generation feeds software that scales independently]], [[the personbyte is a fundamental quantization limit on knowledge accumulation forcing all complex production into networked teams]]

## 6. Robotics Capability Assessment

Evaluate robot systems against environment-capability-cost thresholds — what can it do, in what environment, at what cost, and how does that compare to human alternatives?

**Inputs:** Robot specifications, target environment, task requirements, current human labor costs
**Outputs:** Capability-environment match, cost-capability threshold position, human-robot complementarity assessment, deployment timeline with uncertainty
**References:** [[three conditions gate AI takeover risk autonomy robotics and production chain control and current AI satisfies none of them which bounds near-term catastrophic risk despite superhuman cognitive capabilities]]

## 7. Source Ingestion & Claim Extraction

Process research materials (articles, reports, papers, news) into knowledge base artifacts across all four domains. Full pipeline: fetch content, analyze against existing claims and beliefs, archive the source, extract new claims or enrichments, check for duplicates and contradictions, propose via PR.

**Inputs:** Source URL(s), PDF, or pasted text — articles, research reports, company filings, policy documents, news
**Outputs:**
- Archive markdown in `inbox/archive/` with YAML frontmatter
- New claim files in `domains/{relevant-domain}/` with proper schema
- Enrichments to existing claims
- Belief challenge flags when new evidence contradicts active beliefs
- PR with reasoning for Leo's review
**References:** evaluate skill, extract skill, [[epistemology]] four-layer framework

## 8. Attractor State Analysis

Apply the Teleological Investing attractor state framework to any physical-world subsector — identify the efficiency-driven "should" state, keystone variables, and investment timing.

**Inputs:** Industry subsector data, technology trajectories, demand structure
**Outputs:** Attractor state description, keystone variable identification, basin analysis (depth, width, switching costs), timeline assessment with knowledge embodiment lag, investment implications
**References:** the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar propellant network with lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partially closed life support loops, [[attractor states provide gravitational reference points for capital allocation during structural industry change]]

## 9. Cross-Domain System Mapping

Trace the interconnection effects across Astra's four domains — how does a change in one domain propagate to the other three?

**Inputs:** A development, threshold crossing, or policy change in one domain
**Outputs:** Second-order effects in each adjacent domain, feedback loop identification, net system impact assessment, claims at domain intersections
**References:** the self-sustaining space operations threshold requires closing three interdependent loops simultaneously -- power water and manufacturing, [[knowledge embodiment lag means technology is available decades before organizations learn to use it optimally creating a productivity paradox]]

## 10. Tweet Synthesis

Condense positions and new learning into high-signal physical-world commentary for X.

**Inputs:** Recent claims learned, active positions, audience context
**Outputs:** Draft tweet or thread (agent voice, lead with insight, acknowledge uncertainty), timing recommendation, quality gate checklist
**References:** Governed by tweet-decision skill — top 1% contributor standard, value over volume