c729eab628
- Applied 1 entity operations from queue - Files: entities/internet-finance/metadao.md Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
137 lines
12 KiB
Markdown
137 lines
12 KiB
Markdown
---
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type: entity
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entity_type: company
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name: "MetaDAO"
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domain: internet-finance
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handles: ["@MetaDAOProject"]
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website: https://metadao.fi
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status: active
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tracked_by: rio
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created: 2026-03-11
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last_updated: 2026-03-11
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founded: 2023-01-01
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founders: ["[[proph3t]]"]
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category: "Futarchy governance protocol + ownership coin launchpad (Solana)"
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stage: growth
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key_metrics:
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meta_price: "~$3.78 (March 2026)"
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market_cap: "~$85.7M"
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ecosystem_market_cap: "$219M total ($69M non-META)"
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total_revenue: "$3.1M+ (Q4 2025: $2.51M — 54% Futarchy AMM, 46% Meteora LP)"
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total_equity: "$16.5M (up from $4M in Q3 2025)"
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runway: "15+ quarters at ~$783K/quarter burn"
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icos_facilitated: "8 on MetaDAO proper (through Dec 2025), raising $25.6M total"
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ecosystem_launches: "45 (via Futardio)"
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futarchic_amm_lp_share: "~20% of each project's token supply"
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proposal_volume: "$3.6M Q4 2025 (up from $205K in Q3)"
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competitors: ["[[snapshot]]", "[[tally]]"]
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built_on: ["Solana"]
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tags: ["futarchy", "decision-markets", "ownership-coins", "governance", "launchpad"]
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---
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# MetaDAO
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## Overview
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The futarchy governance protocol on Solana. Implements decision markets through Autocrat — a system where proposals create parallel pass/fail token universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window. Also operates as a launchpad for ownership coins through Futardio (unruggable ICOs). The first platform for futarchy-governed organizations at scale.
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## Current State
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- **Autocrat**: Conditional token markets for governance decisions. Proposals create pass/fail universes; TWAP settlement over 3 days.
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- **Futardio**: Unruggable ICO launch platform. Projects raise capital through the MetaDAO ecosystem with futarchy-governed accountability. Replaced the original uncapped pro-rata mechanism that caused massive overbidding (Umbra: $155M committed for $3M raise = 50x oversubscription; Solomon: $103M committed for $8M = 13x).
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- **Futarchic AMM**: Custom-built AMM for decision market trading. No fees for external LPs — all fees go to the protocol. ~20% of each project's token supply is in the Futarchic AMM LP. LP cannot be withdrawn during active markets.
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- **Financial**: $85.7M market cap, $219M ecosystem market cap ($69M non-META). Total revenue $3.1M+ (Q4 2025 alone: $2.51M). Total equity $16.5M, 15+ quarters runway.
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- **Ecosystem**: 8 curated ICOs raising $25.6M total (through Dec 2025) + 45 permissionless Futardio launches
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- **Treasury**: Active management via subcommittee proposals (see Solomon DP-00001). Omnibus proposal migrated ~90% of META liquidity into Futarchy AMM and burned ~60K META.
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- **Known limitation**: Limited trading volume in uncontested decisions — when community consensus is obvious, conditional markets add little information
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## Timeline
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- **2023** — MetaDAO founded by Proph3t
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- **2024** — Autocrat deployed; early governance proposals
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- **2025-10** — Futardio launches (Umbra is first launch, ~$155M committed)
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- **2025-11** — Solomon launches via Futardio ($103M committed for $8M raise)
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- **2026-02** — Futardio mechanism updated (unruggable ICO replacing pro-rata)
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- **2026-02/03** — Multiple new Futardio launches: Rock Game, Turtle Cove, VervePay, Open Music, SeekerVault, SuperClaw, LaunchPet, Seyf, Areal, Etnlio
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- **2026-03** — Ranger liquidation proposal; treasury subcommittee formation
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- **2026-03** — Pine Analytics Q4 2025 quarterly report published
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- **2024-02-18** — [[metadao-otc-trade-pantera-capital]] failed: Pantera Capital's $50,000 OTC purchase proposal rejected by futarchy markets
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- **2024-02-26** — [[metadao-increase-meta-liquidity-dutch-auction]] proposed: sell 1,000 META via manual Dutch auction on OpenBook to acquire USDC for Meteora liquidity pairing
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- **2024-03-02** — [[metadao-increase-meta-liquidity-dutch-auction]] passed: completed Dutch auction and liquidity provision, moving all protocol-owned liquidity to Meteora 1% fee pool
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- **2025-01-27** — [[metadao-otc-trade-theia-2]] proposed: Theia offers $500K for 370.370 META at 14% premium with 12-month vesting
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- **2025-01-30** — [[metadao-otc-trade-theia-2]] passed: Theia acquires 370.370 META tokens for $500,000 USDC
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- **2023-11-18** — [[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]] proposed: first product development proposal requesting 3,000 META to build Votium-style validator bribe platform for MNDE/mSOL holders
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- **2023-11-29** — [[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]] passed: approved LST Vote Market development with projected $10.5M enterprise value addition
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- **2023-12-03** — Proposed Autocrat v0.1 migration with configurable proposal slots and 3-day default duration
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- **2023-12-13** — Completed Autocrat v0.1 migration, moving 990,000 META, 10,025 USDC, and 5.5 SOL to new program despite unverifiable build
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- **2024-01-24** — Proposed AMM program to replace CLOB markets, addressing liquidity fragmentation and state rent costs (Proposal CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1PG)
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- **2024-01-29** — AMM proposal passed with 400 META on approval and 800 META on completion budget
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- **2024-08-31** — Passed proposal to enter services agreement with Organization Technology LLC, creating US entity vehicle for paying contributors with $1.378M annualized burn rate. Entity owns no IP (all owned by MetaDAO LLC) and cannot encumber MetaDAO LLC. Agreement cancellable with 30-day notice or immediately for material breach.
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- **2024-03-19** — Colosseum proposes $250,000 OTC acquisition of META with TWAP-based pricing (market price up to $850, voided above $1,200), 20% immediate unlock and 80% 12-month linear vest. Proposal passed 2024-03-24. Includes commitment to sponsor DAO track ($50-80K prize pool) in next Solana hackathon after Renaissance at no cost to MetaDAO.
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- **2024-03-19** — Colosseum proposed $250,000 OTC acquisition of META tokens with dynamic pricing (TWAP-based up to $850, void above $1,200) and 12-month vesting structure; proposal passed 2024-03-24
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- **2026-02-07** — [[metadao-hurupay-ico-failure]] First ICO failure: Hurupay failed to reach $3M minimum, full refunds issued
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- **2026-02** — Community rejected via futarchy a $6M OTC deal offering VCs 30% discount on META tokens; rejection triggered 16% price surge
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- **2026-03-26** — P2P.me ICO scheduled, targeting $6M raise
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- **2026-02-07** — [[metadao-hurupay-ico-failure]] Failed: First ICO failure, Hurupay did not reach $3M minimum despite $7.2M monthly volume
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- **2026-03-18** — [[metadao-ban-hawkins-proposals]] Failed: Community rejected Ban Hawkins' governance proposals through futarchy markets
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- **2026-03-18** — [[metadao-first-launchpad-proposal]] Failed: Initial launchpad proposal rejected through futarchy markets
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- **2026-02-07** — [[metadao-hurupay-ico]] Failed: First MetaDAO ICO failure - Hurupay failed to reach $3M minimum, full refunds issued
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- **2026-03** — [[metadao-vc-discount-rejection]] Passed: Community rejected $6M OTC deal offering 30% VC discount via futarchy vote, triggering 16% META price surge
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- **2026-03-17** — Revenue decline continues since mid-December 2025; platform generated ~$2.4M total revenue since Futarchy AMM launch (60% AMM, 40% Meteora LP)
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- **2026-01-15** — DeepWaters Capital analysis reveals $3.8M cumulative trading volume across 65 governance proposals ($58K average per proposal), with platform AMM processing $300M volume and generating $1.5M in fees
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- **2026-03-08** — Ownership Radio #1 community call covering MetaDAO ecosystem, Futardio, and futarchy governance mechanisms
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- **2026-03-15** — Ownership Radio community call on ownership coins and new Futardio launches
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- **2026-02-15** — Pine Analytics documents absence of MetaDAO protocol-level response to FairScale implicit put option problem two months after January 2026 failure, with P2P.me launching March 26 using same governance structure
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- **2026-03-26** — [[metadao-p2p-me-ico]] Active: P2P.me ICO vote scheduled, testing futarchy quality filter on stretched valuation (182x gross profit multiple)
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- **2026-02-01** — Kollan House explains 50% spot liquidity borrowing mechanism in Solana Compass interview, revealing governance market depth scales with token market cap
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- **2026-03-20** — GitHub repository shows v0.6.0 (November 2025) remains current release with 6 open PRs; 4+ month gap represents longest period without release; no protocol-level changes addressing FairScale vulnerability
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- **2026-03-26** — [[metadao-p2p-me-ico]] Active: P2P.me ICO vote scheduled, testing futarchy governance on stretched valuation (182x GP multiple)
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- **2026-02-01** — Kollan House explains 50% liquidity borrowing mechanism in Solana Compass interview, revealing governance market depth = 0.5 × spot liquidity and acknowledging mechanism 'operates at approximately 80 IQ' for catastrophic decision filtering
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## Key Decisions
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| Date | Proposal | Proposer | Category | Outcome |
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|------|----------|----------|----------|---------|
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| 2024-03-03 | [[metadao-burn-993-percent-meta]] | doctor.sol & rar3 | Treasury | Passed |
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| 2024-03-13 | [[metadao-develop-faas]] | 0xNallok | Strategy | Passed |
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| 2024-03-28 | [[metadao-migrate-autocrat-v02]] | HenryE & Proph3t | Mechanism | Passed |
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| 2024-05-27 | [[metadao-compensation-proph3t-nallok]] | Proph3t & Nallok | Hiring | Passed |
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| 2024-06-26 | [[metadao-fundraise-2]] | Proph3t | Fundraise | Passed |
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| 2024-11-21 | [[metadao-create-futardio]] | unknown | Strategy | Failed |
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| 2025-01-28 | [[metadao-token-split-elastic-supply]] | @aradtski | Mechanism | Failed |
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| 2025-02-10 | [[metadao-hire-robin-hanson]] | Proph3t | Hiring | Passed |
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| 2025-02-26 | [[metadao-release-launchpad]] | Proph3t & Kollan | Strategy | Passed |
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| 2025-08-07 | [[metadao-migrate-meta-token]] | Proph3t & Kollan | Mechanism | Passed |
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## Competitive Position
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- **First mover** in futarchy-governed organizations at scale
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- **No direct competitor** for conditional-market governance on Solana
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- **Indirect competitors**: Snapshot (token voting, free, widely adopted), Tally (onchain governance, Ethereum-focused)
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- **Structural advantage**: the Futarchic AMM is purpose-built; no existing AMM can replicate conditional token market settlement
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- **Key vulnerability**: depends on ecosystem project quality. Failed launches (Ranger liquidation) damage platform credibility. Brand separation between MetaDAO platform and Futardio-launched projects is an active design challenge.
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## Investment Thesis
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MetaDAO is the platform bet on futarchy as a governance mechanism. If decision markets prove superior to token voting (evidence: Stani Kulechov's DAO critique, convergence toward hybrid governance models), MetaDAO is the infrastructure layer that captures value from every futarchy-governed organization. Current risk: ecosystem quality varies widely, and limited trading volume in uncontested decisions raises questions about mechanism utility.
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**Thesis status:** ACTIVE
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## Key Metrics to Track
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- % of total futarchic market volume (market share of decision markets)
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- Number of active projects with meaningful governance activity
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- Futardio launch success rate (projects still active vs liquidated/abandoned)
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- Committed-to-raised ratio on new launches (improving from 50x overbidding?)
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- Ecosystem token aggregate market cap
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## Relationship to KB
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- [[MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale]] — core claim about MetaDAO
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- [[MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window]] — mechanism description
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- [[MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions]] — known limitation
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- [[futarchy-governed permissionless launches require brand separation to manage reputational liability because failed projects on a curated platform damage the platforms credibility]] — active design challenge
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- DAO governance degenerates into political capture because proposal processes select for coalition-building skill over operational competence and the resulting bureaucracy creates structural speed disadvantages against focused competitors — the problem MetaDAO solves
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---
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Relevant Entities:
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- [[omnipair]] — leverage infrastructure for ecosystem
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- [[proph3t]] — founder
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- [[solomon]] — ecosystem launch
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- [[futardio]] — launch platform
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Topics:
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- [[internet finance and decision markets]]
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