91 lines
6.1 KiB
Markdown
91 lines
6.1 KiB
Markdown
---
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type: entity
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entity_type: company
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name: "MetaDAO"
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domain: internet-finance
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handles: ["@MetaDAOProject"]
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website: https://metadao.fi
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status: active
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tracked_by: rio
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created: 2026-03-11
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last_updated: 2026-03-11
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founded: 2023-01-01
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founders: ["[[proph3t]]"]
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category: "Futarchy governance protocol + ownership coin launchpad (Solana)"
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stage: growth
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key_metrics:
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meta_price: "~$3.78 (March 2026)"
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market_cap: "~$85.7M"
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ecosystem_market_cap: "$219M total ($69M non-META)"
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total_revenue: "$3.1M+ (Q4 2025: $2.51M — 54% Futarchy AMM, 46% Meteora LP)"
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total_equity: "$16.5M (up from $4M in Q3 2025)"
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runway: "15+ quarters at ~$783K/quarter burn"
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icos_facilitated: "8 on MetaDAO proper (through Dec 2025), raising $25.6M total"
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ecosystem_launches: "45 (via Futardio)"
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futarchic_amm_lp_share: "~20% of each project's token supply"
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proposal_volume: "$3.6M Q4 2025 (up from $205K in Q3)"
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competitors: ["[[snapshot]]", "[[tally]]"]
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built_on: ["Solana"]
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tags: ["futarchy", "decision-markets", "ownership-coins", "governance", "launchpad"]
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---
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# MetaDAO
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## Overview
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The futarchy governance protocol on Solana. Implements decision markets through Autocrat — a system where proposals create parallel pass/fail token universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window. Also operates as a launchpad for ownership coins through Futardio (unruggable ICOs). The first platform for futarchy-governed organizations at scale.
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## Current State
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- **Autocrat**: Conditional token markets for governance decisions. Proposals create pass/fail universes; TWAP settlement over 3 days.
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- **Futardio**: Unruggable ICO launch platform. Projects raise capital through the MetaDAO ecosystem with futarchy-governed accountability. Replaced the original uncapped pro-rata mechanism that caused massive overbidding (Umbra: $155M committed for $3M raise = 50x oversubscription; Solomon: $103M committed for $8M = 13x).
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- **Futarchic AMM**: Custom-built AMM for decision market trading. No fees for external LPs — all fees go to the protocol. ~20% of each project's token supply is in the Futarchic AMM LP. LP cannot be withdrawn during active markets.
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- **Financial**: $85.7M market cap, $219M ecosystem market cap ($69M non-META). Total revenue $3.1M+ (Q4 2025 alone: $2.51M). Total equity $16.5M, 15+ quarters runway.
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- **Ecosystem**: 8 curated ICOs raising $25.6M total (through Dec 2025) + 45 permissionless Futardio launches
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- **Treasury**: Active management via subcommittee proposals (see Solomon DP-00001). Omnibus proposal migrated ~90% of META liquidity into Futarchy AMM and burned ~60K META.
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- **Known limitation**: Limited trading volume in uncontested decisions — when community consensus is obvious, conditional markets add little information
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## Timeline
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- **2023** — MetaDAO founded by Proph3t
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- **2024** — Autocrat deployed; early governance proposals
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- **2025-10** — Futardio launches (Umbra is first launch, ~$155M committed)
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- **2025-11** — Solomon launches via Futardio ($103M committed for $8M raise)
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- **2026-02** — Futardio mechanism updated (unruggable ICO replacing pro-rata)
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- **2026-02/03** — Multiple new Futardio launches: Rock Game, Turtle Cove, VervePay, Open Music, SeekerVault, SuperClaw, LaunchPet, Seyf, Areal, Etnlio
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- **2026-03** — Ranger liquidation proposal; treasury subcommittee formation
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- **2026-03** — Pine Analytics Q4 2025 quarterly report published
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## Competitive Position
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- **First mover** in futarchy-governed organizations at scale
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- **No direct competitor** for conditional-market governance on Solana
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- **Indirect competitors**: Snapshot (token voting, free, widely adopted), Tally (onchain governance, Ethereum-focused)
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- **Structural advantage**: the Futarchic AMM is purpose-built; no existing AMM can replicate conditional token market settlement
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- **Key vulnerability**: depends on ecosystem project quality. Failed launches (Ranger liquidation) damage platform credibility. Brand separation between MetaDAO platform and Futardio-launched projects is an active design challenge.
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## Investment Thesis
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MetaDAO is the platform bet on futarchy as a governance mechanism. If decision markets prove superior to token voting (evidence: Stani Kulechov's DAO critique, convergence toward hybrid governance models), MetaDAO is the infrastructure layer that captures value from every futarchy-governed organization. Current risk: ecosystem quality varies widely, and limited trading volume in uncontested decisions raises questions about mechanism utility.
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**Thesis status:** ACTIVE
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## Key Metrics to Track
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- % of total futarchic market volume (market share of decision markets)
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- Number of active projects with meaningful governance activity
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- Futardio launch success rate (projects still active vs liquidated/abandoned)
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- Committed-to-raised ratio on new launches (improving from 50x overbidding?)
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- Ecosystem token aggregate market cap
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## Relationship to KB
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- [[MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale]] — core claim about MetaDAO
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- [[MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window]] — mechanism description
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- [[MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions]] — known limitation
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- [[futarchy-governed permissionless launches require brand separation to manage reputational liability because failed projects on a curated platform damage the platforms credibility]] — active design challenge
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- [[DAO governance degenerates into political capture because proposal processes select for coalition-building skill over operational competence and the resulting bureaucracy creates structural speed disadvantages against focused competitors]] — the problem MetaDAO solves
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---
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Relevant Entities:
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- [[omnipair]] — leverage infrastructure for ecosystem
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- [[proph3t]] — founder
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- [[solomon]] — ecosystem launch
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- [[futardio]] — launch platform
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Topics:
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- [[internet finance and decision markets]]
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