m3taversal be8ff41bfe link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected

Wrote sourced_from: into 414 claim files pointing back to their origin source.
Backfilled claims_extracted: into 252 source files that were processed but
missing this field. Matching uses author+title overlap against claim source:
field, validated against 296 known-good pairs from existing claims_extracted.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00

4.1 KiB

Raw Blame History

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internet-finance

Most capital in futarchy-governed token raises arrives in the last day before deadline, not gradually throughout the raise period

experimental

@m3taversal, observed pattern across futardio raises

2026-04-15

Futarchy ICO capital inflows concentrate in final 24 hours creating massive acceleration into close

rio

functional

@m3taversal

access-friction-functions-as-a-natural-conviction-filter-in-token-launches-because-process-difficulty-selects-for-genuine-believers-while-price-friction-selects-for-wealthy-speculators

pro-rata-ico-allocation-creates-capital-inefficiency-through-massive-oversubscription-refunds

futardio-cult-raised-11-4-million-in-one-day-through-futarchy-governed-meme-coin-launch

inbox/archive/2026-01-12-futardio-proposal-rngr-2m-buyback.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2024-11-21-futardio-proposal-should-metadao-create-futardio.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-git3.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2025-02-10-futardio-proposal-addy-dao-proposal.md

inbox/archive/2026-03-11-futardio-launch-git3.md

inbox/archive/2026-01-16-futardio-proposal-zkfg-200k-buyback.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2024-05-27-futardio-proposal-proposal-1.md

inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-git3.md

inbox/archive/2024-03-03-futardio-proposal-burn-993-of-meta-in-treasury.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-03-11-futardio-launch-git3.md

inbox/archive/2024-05-27-futardio-proposal-proposal-1.md

inbox/archive/2025-10-15-futardio-proposal-lets-get-futarded.md

inbox/archive/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-futardio-cult.md

inbox/archive/2024-11-13-futardio-proposal-cut-emissions-by-50.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2024-03-03-futardio-proposal-burn-993-of-meta-in-treasury.md

inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-seyf.md

inbox/archive/2024-10-30-futardio-proposal-swap-150000-into-isc.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2024-07-04-futardio-proposal-proposal-3.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-01-01-futardio-launch-git3.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2025-03-05-futardio-proposal-proposal-1.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-seyf.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2025-10-15-futardio-proposal-lets-get-futarded.md

inbox/archive/2024-11-21-futardio-proposal-should-metadao-create-futardio.md

inbox/archive/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-the-meme-is-real.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2024-10-30-futardio-proposal-swap-150000-into-isc.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-02-25-futardio-launch-rock-game.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2025-03-05-futardio-proposal-proposal-3.md

inbox/archive/internet-finance/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-the-meme-is-real.md

Futarchy ICO capital inflows concentrate in final 24 hours creating massive acceleration into close

@m3taversal corrects a previous underestimate of final-day capital inflows in futarchy ICOs, stating that 'it usually massively accelerates into close. Most capital comes in last 24 hrs.' This contradicts the earlier 10-20% estimate and suggests the majority of capital arrives in the final window. The pattern implies that futarchy ICO dynamics differ significantly from traditional fundraising curves, where early momentum typically predicts final totals. Instead, futarchy raises may exhibit extreme deadline effects where participants wait until the last moment to commit capital, possibly due to: (1) conditional market pricing providing real-time information that reduces early-commitment risk, (2) pro-rata allocation mechanics creating no advantage to early participation, or (3) speculative participants timing entry to minimize capital lockup duration. This has significant implications for projecting final raise amounts - projects that appear to be tracking toward modest targets may experience multiples of expected capital in the final hours. The mechanism requires empirical validation with granular timestamp data across multiple futardio raises to quantify the actual distribution curve.

4.1 KiB Raw Blame History

Futarchy ICO capital inflows concentrate in final 24 hours creating massive acceleration into close

4.1 KiB

Raw Blame History