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calibrate: 5 confidence downgrades based on evidence strength
- punctuated-equilibrium: experimental → speculative (Bak-Sneppen as
  THE mechanism is actively debated in biology)
- recursive-improvement: likely → experimental (broad meta-claim)
- riding-waves: likely → experimental (strategic framework, limited
  empirical testing)
- value-flows-to-scarcity: likely → experimental (framework)
- independent-judgment: likely → experimental (behavioral claim)

Kept proven: hill-climbing, simulated-annealing, mechanism-design,
Vickrey, path-dependence, product-space (all textbook/Nobel-level).
Kept likely: EMH, cascades, Hayek, Rumelt strategy claims, Markov
blankets, existential risk (all well-cited with broad acceptance).

Pentagon-Agent: Leo <D35C9237-A739-432E-A3DB-20D52D1577A9>
2026-04-21 16:02:16 +00:00
..
ai-governance-discourse-capture-by-competitiveness-framing-inverts-china-us-participation-patterns.md reweave: merge 252 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-18 11:05:59 +00:00
ai-weapons-governance-tractability-stratifies-by-strategic-utility-creating-ottawa-treaty-path-for-medium-utility-categories.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
ai-weapons-stigmatization-campaign-has-normative-infrastructure-without-triggering-event-creating-icbl-phase-equivalent-waiting-for-activation.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
anti-gain-of-function-framing-creates-structural-decoupling-between-ai-governance-and-biosecurity-governance-communities.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-penn-ehrs-durc-pepp-governance-vacuum 2026-04-21 08:23:40 +00:00
arms-control-governance-requires-stigmatization-plus-compliance-demonstrability-or-strategic-utility-reduction.md reweave: merge 72 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-20 01:13:58 +00:00
arms-control-three-condition-framework-requires-stigmatization-as-necessary-condition-plus-at-least-one-substitutable-enabler.md
attractor-agentic-taylorism.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
attractor-authoritarian-lock-in.md reweave: 42 cross-domain links across 5 structural bridges 2026-04-21 13:38:51 +00:00
attractor-civilizational-basins-are-real.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
attractor-comfortable-stagnation.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
attractor-coordination-enabled-abundance.md reweave: 42 cross-domain links across 5 structural bridges 2026-04-21 13:38:51 +00:00
attractor-digital-feudalism.md
attractor-epistemic-collapse.md reweave: 42 cross-domain links across 5 structural bridges 2026-04-21 13:38:51 +00:00
attractor-molochian-exhaustion.md reweave: 42 cross-domain links across 5 structural bridges 2026-04-21 13:38:51 +00:00
attractor-post-scarcity-multiplanetary.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
aviation-governance-succeeded-through-five-enabling-conditions-all-absent-for-ai.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
basel-iii-international-governance-succeeded-through-commercial-network-effects-and-verifiable-compliance-creating-self-enforcing-coordination-without-binding-treaty-enforcement.md
benchmark-reality-gap-creates-epistemic-coordination-failure-in-ai-governance-because-algorithmic-scoring-systematically-overstates-operational-capability.md reweave: merge 309 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-17 01:19:40 +00:00
binding-international-ai-governance-achieves-legal-form-through-scope-stratification-excluding-high-stakes-applications.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
binding-international-governance-requires-commercial-migration-path-at-signing-not-low-competitive-stakes-at-inception.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
clockwork-worldview-built-institutions-for-world-that-no-longer-exists.md fix: add type/description fields to 9 manuscript claims + integrate Minsky into SOC 2026-04-21 15:59:52 +00:00
commercial-interests-blocking-condition-operates-continuously-through-ratification-not-just-at-governance-inception-as-proven-by-pabs-annex-dispute.md reweave: merge 279 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-19 01:28:57 +00:00
competitive-advantage-must-be-actively-deepened-through-isolating-mechanisms-because-advantage-that-is-not-reinforced-erodes.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
definitional-ambiguity-in-autonomous-weapons-governance-is-strategic-interest-not-bureaucratic-failure-because-major-powers-preserve-programs-through-vague-thresholds.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
durc-pepp-rescission-created-indefinite-biosecurity-governance-vacuum-through-missed-replacement-deadline.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-penn-ehrs-durc-pepp-governance-vacuum 2026-04-21 08:23:40 +00:00
economic-path-dependence-means-early-technological-choices-compound-irreversibly-through-dominant-designs-and-industrial-structures.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
efficiency optimization converts resilience into fragility across five independent infrastructure domains through the same Molochian mechanism.md
efficiency optimization systematically converts resilience into fragility across supply chains energy infrastructure financial markets and healthcare.md reweave: merge 252 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-18 11:05:59 +00:00
eu-ai-act-article-2-3-national-security-exclusion-confirms-legislative-ceiling-is-cross-jurisdictional.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
eu-ai-governance-reveals-form-substance-divergence-at-domestic-regulatory-level-through-simultaneous-treaty-ratification-and-compliance-delay.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
existential-risk-breaks-trial-and-error-because-the-first-failure-is-the-last-event.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
for a change to equal progress it must systematically identify and internalize its externalities because immature progress that ignores cascading harms is the most dangerous ideology in the world.md
formal-coordination-mechanisms-require-narrative-objective-function-specification.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
global capitalism functions as a misaligned autopoietic superintelligence running on human general intelligence as substrate with convert everything into capital as its objective function.md reweave: merge 252 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-18 11:05:59 +00:00
global capitalism functions as a misaligned optimizer that produces outcomes no participant would choose because individual rationality aggregates into collective irrationality without coordination mechanisms.md reweave: merge 309 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-17 01:19:40 +00:00
good-strategy-requires-independent-judgment-that-resists-social-consensus-because-when-everyone-calibrates-off-each-other-nobody-anchors-to-fundamentals.md calibrate: 5 confidence downgrades based on evidence strength 2026-04-21 16:02:16 +00:00
governance-coordination-speed-scales-with-number-of-enabling-conditions-present-creating-predictable-timeline-variation-from-5-years-with-three-conditions-to-56-years-with-one-condition.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
governance-scope-can-bootstrap-narrow-and-scale-with-deepening-commercial-migration-paths.md reweave: merge 309 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-17 01:19:40 +00:00
governance-speed-scales-with-number-of-enabling-conditions-present.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
industry-support-for-technology-governance-achievable-when-leading-firms-hold-patent-protected-substitutes-and-governance-creates-mandatory-migration.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-maxwell-1997-dupont-cfc-ban-regulatory-strategy 2026-04-21 08:21:18 +00:00
international-ai-governance-form-substance-divergence-enables-simultaneous-treaty-ratification-and-domestic-implementation-weakening.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
international-ai-governance-stepping-stone-theory-fails-because-strategic-actors-opt-out-at-non-binding-stage.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-barrett-environment-statecraft-montreal-pd-mechanism 2026-04-21 08:18:34 +00:00
internet-social-governance-failed-because-harms-are-abstract-and-non-attributable-commercial-stakes-were-peak-at-governance-attempt-and-sovereignty-conflicts-prevent-consensus.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
internet-technical-governance-succeeded-through-network-effects-and-low-commercial-stakes-at-inception-creating-self-enforcing-coordination-impossible-to-replicate-for-ai.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
judicial-framing-of-voluntary-ai-safety-constraints-as-financial-harm-removes-constitutional-floor-enabling-administrative-dismantling.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-cnbc-anthropic-dc-circuit-april-8-ruling 2026-04-21 08:19:54 +00:00
legislative-ceiling-replicates-strategic-interest-inversion-at-statutory-scope-definition-level.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
mandatory-legislative-governance-closes-technology-coordination-gap-while-voluntary-governance-widens-it.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-barrett-environment-statecraft-montreal-pd-mechanism 2026-04-21 08:18:34 +00:00
montreal-protocol-converted-prisoner-dilemma-to-coordination-game-through-trade-sanctions.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-barrett-environment-statecraft-montreal-pd-mechanism 2026-04-21 08:18:34 +00:00
nasa-authorization-act-2026-overlap-mandate-creates-first-policy-engineered-mandatory-gate-2-mechanism.md
nuclear-governance-succeeded-through-security-architecture-as-fifth-enabling-condition-where-extended-deterrence-substituted-for-proliferation-incentives.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
nuclear-governance-succeeded-through-security-architecture-not-commercial-incentives-revealing-fifth-enabling-condition.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
nuclear-near-miss-frequency-qualifies-npt-coordination-success-as-luck-dependent-because-80-years-of-non-use-with-0-5-1-percent-annual-risk-represents-improbable-survival-not-stable-governance.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
nuclear-non-proliferation-is-partial-coordination-success-not-governance-failure-because-technical-capability-proliferation-gap-was-maintained-at-9-vs-30-plus.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
pandemic-agreement-confirms-maximum-triggering-event-produces-broad-adoption-without-powerful-actor-participation-because-strategic-interests-override-catastrophic-death-toll.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
pharmaceutical-governance-advances-required-triggering-events-not-incremental-advocacy-because-kefauver-three-year-blockage-preceded-thalidomide-breakthrough.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
pharmaceutical-governance-advances-required-triggering-events-not-incremental-advocacy-because-kefauver-three-year-blockage-proves-technical-expertise-insufficient.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
product-liability-doctrine-creates-mandatory-architectural-safety-constraints-through-design-defect-framing-when-behavioral-patches-fail-to-prevent-foreseeable-professional-domain-harms.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-stanford-codex-nippon-life-openai-architectural-negligence 2026-04-21 08:25:33 +00:00
professional-practice-domain-violations-create-narrow-liability-pathway-for-architectural-negligence-because-regulated-domains-have-established-harm-thresholds-and-attribution-clarity.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-stanford-codex-nippon-life-openai-architectural-negligence 2026-04-21 08:25:33 +00:00
recursive-improvement-is-the-engine-of-human-progress-because-we-get-better-at-getting-better.md calibrate: 5 confidence downgrades based on evidence strength 2026-04-21 16:02:16 +00:00
riding-waves-of-change-requires-anticipating-the-attractor-state-and-positioning-before-incumbents-respond-through-their-predictable-inertia.md calibrate: 5 confidence downgrades based on evidence strength 2026-04-21 16:02:16 +00:00
semiconductor-export-controls-are-structural-analog-to-montreal-protocol-trade-sanctions.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-barrett-environment-statecraft-montreal-pd-mechanism 2026-04-21 08:18:34 +00:00
social media uniquely degrades democracy because it fractures the electorate itself rather than merely influencing policy making the regulatory body incapable of regulating its own degradation.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
soft-to-hard-law-transitions-succeed-in-non-strategic-domains-fail-in-capability-constraining-governance.md
split-jurisdiction-injunction-pattern-maps-boundary-of-judicial-protection-for-voluntary-ai-safety-policies-civil-protected-military-not.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-cnbc-anthropic-dc-circuit-april-8-ruling 2026-04-21 08:19:54 +00:00
strategic-interest-alignment-determines-whether-national-security-framing-enables-or-undermines-mandatory-governance.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-cnbc-anthropic-dc-circuit-april-8-ruling 2026-04-21 08:19:54 +00:00
strategy-is-a-design-problem-not-a-decision-problem-because-value-comes-from-constructing-a-coherent-configuration-where-parts-interact-and-reinforce-each-other.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
technology-governance-coordination-gaps-close-when-four-enabling-conditions-are-present-visible-triggering-events-commercial-network-effects-low-competitive-stakes-at-inception-or-physical-manifestation.md link: bidirectional source↔claim index — 414 claims + 252 sources connected 2026-04-21 11:55:18 +01:00
the clockwork worldview produced solutions that worked for a century then undermined their own foundations as the progress they enabled changed the environment they assumed was stable.md reweave: merge 252 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-18 11:05:59 +00:00
the price of anarchy quantifies the gap between cooperative optimum and competitive equilibrium and this gap is the most important metric for civilizational risk assessment.md leo: stress-test rewrites — 7 claims revised, 1 merged, 1 deleted, 3 new claims added 2026-04-14 19:15:29 +00:00
the-legislative-ceiling-on-military-ai-governance-is-conditional-not-absolute-cwc-proves-binding-governance-without-carveouts-is-achievable-but-requires-three-currently-absent-conditions.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
the-more-uncertain-the-environment-the-more-proximate-the-objective-must-be-because-you-cannot-plan-a-detailed-path-through-fog.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
the-product-space-constrains-diversification-to-adjacent-products-because-knowledge-and-knowhow-accumulate-only-incrementally-through-related-capabilities.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
three-track-corporate-safety-governance-stack-reveals-sequential-ceiling-architecture.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-stanford-codex-nippon-life-openai-architectural-negligence 2026-04-21 08:25:33 +00:00
three-types-of-organizational-inertia-routine-cultural-and-proxy-each-resist-adaptation-through-different-mechanisms-and-require-different-remedies.md 26 foundational claims: optimization, information, strategy, cultural dynamics 2026-04-21 16:02:15 +00:00
triggering-event-architecture-requires-three-components-infrastructure-disaster-champion-as-confirmed-by-pharmaceutical-and-arms-control-cases.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
triggering-event-architecture-requires-three-components-infrastructure-disaster-champion-confirmed-across-pharmaceutical-and-arms-control-domains.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
triggering-events-produce-domestic-regulatory-governance-but-cannot-produce-international-treaty-governance-when-commercial-network-effects-low-competitive-stakes-and-verifiability-are-absent.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
value-flows-to-whichever-resources-are-scarce-and-disruption-shifts-which-resources-are-scarce-making-resource-scarcity-analysis-the-core-strategic-framework.md calibrate: 5 confidence downgrades based on evidence strength 2026-04-21 16:02:16 +00:00
venue-bypass-procedural-innovation-enables-middle-power-norm-formation-outside-great-power-veto-machinery.md
verification-mechanism-is-the-critical-enabler-that-distinguishes-binding-in-practice-from-binding-in-text-arms-control-the-bwc-cwc-comparison-establishes-verification-feasibility-as-load-bearing.md fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files 2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
voluntary-ai-safety-constraints-lack-legal-enforcement-mechanism-when-primary-customer-demands-safety-unconstrained-alternatives.md leo: extract claims from 2026-04-21-stanford-codex-nippon-life-openai-architectural-negligence 2026-04-21 08:25:33 +00:00
weapons-stigmatization-campaigns-require-triggering-events-with-four-properties-attribution-clarity-visibility-emotional-resonance-and-victimhood-asymmetry.md