teleo-codex/inbox/queue/2026-03-26-tg-shared-0xweiler-2037189643037200456-s-46.md
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Shared by @m3taversal via Telegram. Source URL: https://x.com/0xweiler/status/2037189643037200456?s=46

Content

1/ A Valuation of Polymarket (POLY)

March 7: @Polymarket was reportedly seeking a $20 billion valuation March 19: @Kalshi raised at $22 billion valuation

A $POLY token and airdrop are confirmed. The central question is whether the $20 billion reflects reasonable expectations for future fee generation, or whether the market is mispricing the opportunity.

My latest @MessariCrypto report builds a ground-up valuation to find out. Let's break it down 🧵