Some checks are pending
Sync Graph Data to teleo-app / sync (push) Waiting to run
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-11-rasmont-rebuttal-vacuum-lesswrong.md - Domain: internet-finance - Claims: 2, Entities: 2 - Enrichments: 2 - Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5) Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
24 lines
No EOL
851 B
Markdown
24 lines
No EOL
851 B
Markdown
---
|
|
type: entity
|
|
entity_type: person
|
|
name: Mikhail Samin
|
|
status: active
|
|
domains: [internet-finance]
|
|
---
|
|
|
|
# Mikhail Samin
|
|
|
|
LessWrong contributor who has written on futarchy's causal-inference properties.
|
|
|
|
## Timeline
|
|
|
|
- **2025-06-27** — Published "No, Futarchy Doesn't Have This EDT Flaw" on LessWrong, arguing that conditional markets can be structured to track causal effects
|
|
|
|
## Known Work
|
|
|
|
- Addressed earlier EDT (Evidential Decision Theory) framings of the futarchy critique, predating Rasmont's specific Bronze Bull/selection-correlation formulation
|
|
- Argued that conditional market structure can resolve the evidential-vs-causal problem
|
|
|
|
## Significance
|
|
|
|
Represents pre-Rasmont attempts to address the causal-inference problem in futarchy, though did not specifically address the selection-correlation mechanism that Rasmont later formalized. |