- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-salmon-wallet.md - Domain: internet-finance - Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 6) Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>
2.7 KiB
| type | entity_type | name | domain | status | parent_entity | platform | proposal_url | proposal_date | resolution_date | category | summary | key_metrics | tracked_by | created | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| entity | decision_market | Salmon Wallet: Futardio Fundraise | internet-finance | failed | salmon-wallet | futardio | https://www.futard.io/launch/Aakx1gdDoNQYqiv5uoqdXx56mGr6AbZh73SWpxHrk2qF | 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-04 | fundraise | Open-source wallet seeking $375K for 12-month operational runway through futarchy-governed raise |
|
rio | 2026-03-11 |
Salmon Wallet: Futardio Fundraise
Summary
Salmon Wallet, an established open-source self-custodial wallet active since 2022, attempted to raise $375,000 through MetaDAO's futarchy platform for a 12-month operational runway. Despite legitimate project history ($122.5K prior funding, listed on Solana wallet adapter, operates own validator), the raise attracted only $97,535 (26% of target) before entering refunding status after one day.
Market Data
- Outcome: Failed (refunding)
- Raise Target: $375,000
- Total Committed: $97,535
- Duration: 2026-03-03 to 2026-03-04 (1 day)
- Token: SAL (Salmon Token)
- Planned Use: 73% team ($18,300/mo), 17% infrastructure ($4,200/mo), 8% growth ($2,000/mo), 2% governance/legal ($500/mo)
Significance
First observed futarchy-governed fundraise for operational wallet infrastructure on MetaDAO platform. The failed raise provides empirical evidence of futarchy adoption friction extending beyond pure capital allocation vehicles to operational software projects. Despite credible team history and detailed operational planning (12-month roadmap with quarterly milestones, structured budget breakdown, existing product with users), the project failed to attract sufficient capital through the futarchy mechanism. This suggests prediction market pricing may not effectively translate traditional VC evaluation criteria (team track record, product-market fit, technical execution capability) into funding decisions for operational software infrastructure.
Relationship to KB
- salmon-wallet — parent entity
- futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements — empirical confirmation
- MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale — demonstrates platform scope expansion attempt
- futardio — platform