teleo-codex/inbox/queue/2026-03-26-tg-source-m3taversal-jussy-world-thread-on-polymarket-projected-revenu.md

type	source_type	title	author	date	domain	format	status	proposed_by	contribution_type	tags	processed_by	processed_date	enrichments_applied	extraction_model
source	telegram-contribution	Source from @m3taversal — @jussy_world thread on Polymarket projected revenue jump from $4.26M to $172M/mo	@m3taversal	2026-03-26	internet-finance	contribution	enrichment	@m3taversal	source-submission	telegram-contribution inline-source futarchy	rio	2026-03-26	prediction-market-scale-exceeds-decision-market-scale-by-two-orders-of-magnitude-showing-pure-forecasting-dominates-governance-applications.md polymarket-kalshi-duopoly-emerging-as-dominant-us-prediction-market-structure-with-complementary-regulatory-models.md prediction-market-growth-builds-infrastructure-for-decision-markets-but-conversion-is-not-happening.md	anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5

Source: @jussy_world thread on Polymarket projected revenue jump from $4.26M to $172M/month at 0.80% fees ac

Contributed by @m3taversal in Telegram chat. Flagged by Rio as relevant source material.

Verbatim User Message

@FutAIrdBot https://x.com/jussy_world/status/2037178019631259903?s=46

Rio's Context

@jussy_world thread on Polymarket projected revenue jump from $4.26M to $172M/month at 0.80% fees across expanded verticals, compared to Kalshi at $110M/month and $18.6B pre-IPO valuation. Polymarket projected at $15.77B. Context for prediction market valuations and implications for decision market category. https://x.com/jussy_world/status/2037178019631259903

Key Facts

• Polymarket projected revenue: $172M/month at 0.80% fee rate (March 2026)
• Polymarket previous revenue: $4.26M/month
• Polymarket projected valuation: $15.77B
• Kalshi revenue: $110M/month
• Kalshi pre-IPO valuation: $18.6B
• Revenue projection based on expansion across multiple verticals beyond politics