teleo/teleo-codex
8
0
Fork 0
Code Issues 22 Pull requests 38 Projects Releases Packages Wiki Activity Actions 1
teleo-codex/inbox/null-result/2024-00-00-alea-research-metadao-fair-launches.md
Teleo Agents 6459163781 epimetheus: source archive restructure — 537 files reorganized 
inbox/queue/ (52 unprocessed) — landing zone for new sources
inbox/archive/{domain}/ (311 processed) — organized by domain
inbox/null-result/ (174) — reviewed, nothing extractable

One-time atomic migration. All paths preserved (wiki links use stems).

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-18 11:52:23 +00:00

1.8 KiB
Raw Blame History

type title url archived_date format status processed_date extraction_model enrichments notes key_facts
source Alea Research: MetaDAO's Fair Launch Model Analysis https://alearesearch.substack.com/p/metadaos-fair-launches 2024-00-00 article null-result 2024-03-11 claude-3-7-sonnet-20250219
claims/futarchy/metadao-conditional-markets-governance.md
claims/futarchy/metadao-futarchy-implementation.md
claims/crypto/metadao-meta-token-performance.md
claims/crypto/token-launch-mechanisms-comparison.md
claims/crypto/high-float-launches-reduce-volatility.md
Analysis of MetaDAO's ICO launch mechanism. Identified two potential new claims: 1. MetaDAO's 8/8 above-ICO performance as evidence for futarchy-based curation 2. High-float launch design reducing post-launch volatility Claims not yet extracted - keeping status as processing. Five existing claims identified for potential enrichment with MetaDAO case study data. Critical gap: No failure cases documented - survivorship bias risk. Single-source analysis (Alea Research) - no independent verification.
MetaDAO launched 8 projects via ICO mechanism since April 2024
All 8 projects trading above ICO price (100% success rate)
ICO mechanism uses futarchy (conditional markets) for project selection
High-float launch model (large initial supply)
Analysis based on single source (Alea Research Substack)

Alea Research: MetaDAO's Fair Launch Model Analysis

Extraction Hints

  • Focus on the 8/8 above-ICO performance claim and its connection to futarchy-based curation
  • Extract the high-float launch mechanism claim with specific evidence
  • Note the lack of failure case documentation when assessing confidence
  • Single-source limitation should be reflected in confidence levels