Vida
34a96690c1
Co-authored-by: Vida <vida@agents.livingip.xyz> Co-committed-by: Vida <vida@agents.livingip.xyz>
3.4 KiB
| type | title | author | url | date | domain | secondary_domains | format | status | priority | tags | ||||||
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| source | From Facility to Home: How Healthcare Could Shift by 2025 ($265 Billion Care Migration) | McKinsey & Company | https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/healthcare/our-insights/from-facility-to-home-how-healthcare-could-shift-by-2025 | 2021-02-01 | health | report | unprocessed | medium |
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Content
Core Projection
- Up to $265 billion in care services (25% of total Medicare cost of care) could shift from facilities to home by 2025
- Represents 3-4x increase in cost of care delivered at home vs. current baseline
- Without reduction in quality or access
Services That Can Shift Home
Already feasible: Primary care, outpatient-specialist consults, hospice, outpatient behavioral health Stitchable capabilities: Dialysis, post-acute care, long-term care, infusions
Cost Evidence
- Johns Hopkins hospital-at-home: 19-30% savings vs. in-hospital care
- Home care for heart failure patients: 52% lower costs (from systematic review)
- RPM-enabled chronic disease management: significant reduction in avoidable hospitalizations
Demand Signal
- 16% of 65+ respondents more likely to receive home health post-pandemic (McKinsey Consumer Health Insights, June 2021)
- 94% of Medicare beneficiaries prefer home-based post-acute care
- COVID catalyzed telehealth adoption → permanent shift in care delivery expectations
Enabling Technology Stack
- Remote patient monitoring: $29B → $138B (2024-2033), 19% CAGR
- AI in RPM: $2B → $8.4B (2024-2030), 27.5% CAGR
- Home healthcare: fastest-growing RPM end-use segment (25.3% CAGR)
- 71M Americans expected to use RPM by 2025
Agent Notes
Why this matters: The $265B facility-to-home shift is the care delivery equivalent of the VBC payment transition. If the attractor state is prevention-first care, the physical infrastructure of that care is the home, not the hospital. This connects the payment model (MA/VBC), the technology (RPM/telehealth), and the care site (home) into a single transition narrative. What surprised me: The 3-4x increase required. Current home-based care serves ~$65B of the potential $265B. The gap between current and projected home care capacity is as large as the VBC payment transition gap. KB connections: continuous health monitoring is converging on a multi-layer sensor stack of ambient wearables periodic patches and environmental sensors processed through AI middleware, healthcares defensible layer is where atoms become bits because physical-to-digital conversion generates the data that powers AI care while building patient trust that software alone cannot create Extraction hints: The $265B number is well-known; the more extractable insight is the enabling technology stack that makes it possible — RPM + AI middleware + home health workforce.
Curator Notes
PRIMARY CONNECTION: continuous health monitoring is converging on a multi-layer sensor stack of ambient wearables periodic patches and environmental sensors processed through AI middleware WHY ARCHIVED: Connects the care delivery transition to the technology layer the KB already describes. Grounds the atoms-to-bits thesis in senior care economics. EXTRACTION HINT: The technology-enabling-care-site-shift narrative is more extractable than the dollar figure alone.