teleo-codex/core/mechanisms/decision markets make majority theft unprofitable through conditional token arbitrage.md
m3taversal e830fe4c5f Initial commit: Teleo Codex v1
Three-agent knowledge base (Leo, Rio, Clay) with:
- 177 claim files across core/ and foundations/
- 38 domain claims in internet-finance/
- 22 domain claims in entertainment/
- Agent soul documents (identity, beliefs, reasoning, skills)
- 14 positions across 3 agents
- Claim/belief/position schemas
- 6 shared skills
- Agent-facing CLAUDE.md operating manual

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-03-05 20:30:34 +00:00

3.1 KiB

description type domain created source confidence tradition
The futarchy mechanism forces would-be attackers to either buy worthless pass tokens above fair value or sell fail tokens below fair value framework livingip 2026-02-16 Heavey, Futarchy as Trustless Joint Ownership (2024) proven futarchy, mechanism design, DAO governance

Decision markets create a mechanism where attempting to steal from minority holders becomes a losing trade. The four conditional tokens (fABC, pABC, pUSD, fUSD) establish a constraint: for a treasury-raiding proposal to pass, pABC/pUSD must trade higher than fABC/fUSD. But from any rational perspective, 1 fABC is worth 1 ABC (DAO continues normally) while 1 pABC is worth 0 (DAO becomes empty after raid).

This creates an impossible situation for attackers. To pass the proposal, they must buy worthless pABC above spot price and sell fABC below fair value. If they try to manipulate with small positions, defenders keep selling pABC at a premium until running out of tokens—the attacker ends up buying all defender tokens above fair value. If they focus on pushing down fABC price, any defender with capital buys discounted fABC until the proposal fails AND the attacker loses money selling ABC below its worth.

The mechanism works at any ownership threshold, not just above 50%. MetaDAO proposal 6 provided empirical validation: Ben Hawkins failed to make the DAO sell him tokens at a discount despite spending significant capital to manipulate the market. As he noted, "the potential gains from the proposal's passage were outweighed by the sheer cost of acquiring the necessary META."

This mechanism proof connects to optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles—the arbitrage protection is strongest for clear-cut value transfers, making futarchy ideal for treasury decisions even when other mechanisms suit different decision types.


Relevant Notes:

Topics: