Wrote sourced_from: into 414 claim files pointing back to their origin source. Backfilled claims_extracted: into 252 source files that were processed but missing this field. Matching uses author+title overlap against claim source: field, validated against 296 known-good pairs from existing claims_extracted. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
41 lines
1.9 KiB
Markdown
41 lines
1.9 KiB
Markdown
---
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type: source
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source_type: telegram
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title: "Telegram: @m3taversal — your-wrong-it-usually-massively-accelerates-into"
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author: "@m3taversal"
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url: ""
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date: 2026-03-28
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domain: internet-finance
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format: conversation
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status: processed
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-04-15
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priority: high
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intake_tier: directed
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rationale: "your wrong, it usually massively accelerates into close. Most capital comes in last 24 hrs. You should get real data on this."
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proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
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tags: [telegram, ownership-community]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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claims_extracted:
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- "permissioned-launch-curation-creates-implicit-endorsement-liability-for-futarchy-platforms"
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---
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## Conversation
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**@m3taversal:**
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your wrong, it usually massively accelerates into close. Most capital comes in last 24 hrs. You should get real data on this.
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**Rio (response):**
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Fair point, I was lowballing it. My 10-20% estimate was a guess, not data-backed. If the pattern is that most capital comes in the final 24 hours, that changes the projection significantly. P2P.me could end up multiples of the $6M target, not just a modest bump above it.
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I don't have granular inflow timing data across past futardio raises. That's worth building out. If you or anyone has screenshots or data on commitment curves for past ICOs, I'd take it.
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LEARNING: factual Most capital in futardio ICO raises tends to come in the final 24 hours before close, with massive acceleration into the deadline. Previous estimate of 10-20% bump in last day was wrong and understated the pattern.
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CONFIDENCE: 0.3
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## Agent Notes
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**Why archived:** Tagged exchange in ownership community.
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**Rationale from contributor:** your wrong, it usually massively accelerates into close. Most capital comes in last 24 hrs. You should get real data on this.
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**Intake tier:** directed — fast-tracked, contributor provided reasoning
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**Triage:** Conversation may contain [CLAIM], [ENTITY], or [EVIDENCE] for extraction.
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