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- Source: inbox/queue/2026-01-xx-rasmont-futarchy-is-parasitic-lesswrong.md - Domain: internet-finance - Claims: 2, Entities: 1 - Enrichments: 2 - Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5) Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
25 lines
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1,021 B
Markdown
25 lines
No EOL
1,021 B
Markdown
---
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type: entity
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entity_type: person
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name: Nicolas Rasmont
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status: active
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domains: [internet-finance, ai-alignment]
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---
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# Nicolas Rasmont
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LessWrong contributor known for formal critiques of futarchy mechanism design.
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## Timeline
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- **2025-12-01** — Published "Futarchy is Parasitic on What It Tries to Govern" on LessWrong, arguing conditional decision markets are structurally incapable of estimating causal policy effects due to selection vs causation bias
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## Contributions
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**Futarchy Critique:** Developed the most formally stated structural impossibility argument against futarchy, claiming the mechanism is systematically biased toward selection correlations rather than causal effects even when perfectly implemented with rational traders.
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## Related Work
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- Builds on Dynomight's 2022-2025 series on conditional markets
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- Part of active LessWrong debate on futarchy's epistemic foundations
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- Distinct from implementation critiques (manipulation, fraud, illiquidity) - focuses on structural mechanism design |