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Author SHA1 Message Date
Teleo Agents
9d086a2690 extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-bitfutard
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:21:45 +00:00
Leo
6cc7e456f9 Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-04-theiaresearch-permissionless-metadao-launches' (#1120) from extract/2026-03-04-theiaresearch-permissionless-metadao-launches into main 2026-03-16 14:21:43 +00:00
Teleo Agents
7d65af7fc0 extract: 2026-03-04-theiaresearch-permissionless-metadao-launches
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:21:41 +00:00
Leo
ccb0d9cba1 Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet' (#1119) from extract/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet into main
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Sync Graph Data to teleo-app / sync (push) Waiting to run
2026-03-16 14:21:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
348bccb727 extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:21:00 +00:00
Leo
b64789b12a extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-futardio-boat (#1124) 2026-03-16 14:20:58 +00:00
Leo
2c1c42557b Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters' (#1118) from extract/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters into main 2026-03-16 14:19:55 +00:00
Teleo Agents
4467c89038 extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-sizematters
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:19:54 +00:00
Leo
8bb502e6cb extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-send-arcade (#1117) 2026-03-16 14:18:16 +00:00
10 changed files with 134 additions and 6 deletions

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@ -12,6 +12,12 @@ created: 2026-03-04
Rock Game raised $272 against a $10 target (27.2x oversubscription) on futardio, demonstrating continued ability of futarchy-governed launches to attract speculative capital even for trivial projects with minimal substance.
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
XorraBet raised N/A (effectively $0) against a $410K target despite positioning as a futarchy-governed betting platform with a $166B addressable market narrative. This suggests futarchy governance alone does not guarantee capital attraction when the underlying product lacks market validation or credibility.
---
# Futarchy-governed meme coins attract speculative capital at scale

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@ -47,6 +47,12 @@ This structure is untested in practice. Key risks:
MycoRealms allocates 3M tokens (18.9% of supply) to team with zero circulating at launch, unlocking only at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP after 18-month cliff. Physical infrastructure project demonstrates mechanism applies beyond pure digital contexts.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
XorraBet structured 4M team tokens (20% of supply) with five tranches unlocking at 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, and 32x price multiples, with an 18-month cliff and 3-month TWAP evaluation. At launch, 0 team tokens circulate, and if the token never reaches 2x, the team receives nothing.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ Creator-owned streaming platform focused on comedy content. Reached 1M+ subscrib
- **2024-08-01** — Profiled by Variety as part of emerging indie streaming category alongside Nebula and Critical Role
- **2025-10-XX** — Reached 1M+ subscribers milestone
- **2026-03-01** — CVL Economics analysis reveals 1M+ subscribers generating $80-90M revenue with 40-45% EBITDA margins and 40 full-time employees, achieving $3.0-3.3M revenue per employee. Platform maintains stable pricing for 3+ years, grandfathers legacy subscriber rates, encourages password sharing, and distributes profits to all contributors including unsuccessful auditionees. Estimated to have reached 50-67% penetration of total addressable market.
## Relationship to KB
- [[creator-owned-streaming-infrastructure-has-reached-commercial-scale-with-430M-annual-creator-revenue-across-13M-subscribers]]

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@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
{
"rejected_claims": [
{
"filename": "permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
{
"filename": "futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
{
"filename": "futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
}
],
"validation_stats": {
"total": 3,
"kept": 0,
"fixed": 6,
"rejected": 3,
"fixes_applied": [
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:stripped_wiki_link:internet-capital-markets-compress-fundraising-from-months-to",
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:stripped_wiki_link:futarchy-governed-liquidation-is-the-enforcement-mechanism-t",
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:stripped_wiki_link:cryptos-primary-use-case-is-capital-formation-not-payments-o"
],
"rejections": [
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
"date": "2026-03-16"
}

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/ActRESLUCdMzU4BnEE5VtMM2JG5ghZuKWkjXfiB5GdS7"
date: 2026-03-04
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Launch Details
@ -198,3 +202,12 @@ Secondary Market : Solana Degens
- Token mint: `AaEYgXdHpzS9bBgAvDriVMvKDQUnqtVYAtLZJGjometa`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-05
## Key Facts
- Send Arcade raised $114,933 against $288,000 minimum target on Futard.io, resulting in refund
- Send Arcade had 9M+ on-chain plays and $200k+ ARR before independence
- Send token was sunset 2 months before March 2026 fundraise
- Send Arcade games achieved 20k+ plays across 3k+ unique users on Farcaster
- Fundraise included 10% performance package configuration
- Monthly team budget target was $20,000 USD for 11-month runway

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/CtynMdGE4CwJuUSoYhRf4powwKwT8bWo5Dq2KiBVEiKm"
date: 2026-03-04
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Launch Details
@ -134,3 +138,11 @@ It is a new category: **provable, private, and socially viral sexual health infr
- Token mint: `GPM6F86ritzhCvB7ZwkdxMEjgiXEiyW4nQ226PZemeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-05
## Key Facts
- SizeMatters raised $4,969 against $75,000 target on futardio (6.6% success rate)
- Launch used futardio v0.7 platform
- Project claimed to train models on 4,000+ synthetic genital images generated from 3D Blender pipelines
- Competitor Dr. Kegel reportedly generates ~$300k/month revenue
- Planned capital allocation: 40% product/engineering, 30% growth, 20% compliance, 10% operations

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY"
date: 2026-03-04
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md", "performance-unlocked-team-tokens-with-price-multiple-triggers-and-twap-settlement-create-long-term-alignment-without-initial-dilution.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Launch Details
@ -414,3 +418,13 @@ This aligns **protocol decisions with token holder incentives**.
- Token mint: `FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-05
## Key Facts
- XorraBet targeted $410,000 USDC fundraise on Futardio
- Global online gambling projected to exceed $166B by 2030
- XorraBet planned $29,000 monthly burn rate over 12 months
- 20% of raised funds ($82K) allocated to liquidity provision
- First post-raise proposal planned for $60K development spending
- Token: Fom (FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta)
- Launch address: 24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY

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@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ url: https://x.com/TheiaResearch/status/2029231349425684521
date: 2026-03-04
domain: internet-finance
format: tweet
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
priority: high
tags: [metadao, futardio, fundraising, permissionless-launch, capital-formation]
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 3 claims, 3 rejected by validator"
---
## Content
@ -37,3 +41,9 @@ Futardio is a paradigm shift for capital markets. We will fund you - quickly and
**Extraction hints:** At least 2-3 claims here: (1) permissionless launches create new fundraising cultural norms, (2) the 10x upside gap in traditional VC is a market failure that futarchy-governed launches solve, (3) public accountability from day 1 is a feature not a bug.
**Context:** Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem. He's been one of the most articulate proponents of the futarchy-governed capital formation thesis. This tweet got 118 likes — high engagement for crypto-finance X.
## Key Facts
- Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem
- This tweet received 118 likes, indicating high engagement for crypto-finance content on X
- Montealegre identifies 'Public on Day 1' as a core founder skillset in futarchy-governed launches: 'Communicating with markets and liquid investors is a core founder skillset'

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/3jDrz2B6aDgjKSArkJPkqQPnYXqtihjAtGHf7tRohjj2"
date: 2026-03-05
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Launch Details
@ -42,3 +46,10 @@ Let's build generational wealth with a plan.
- Token mint: `6DDex5uLd1Swj28fMnCFctXWCT2XAyzyQSMDxDh9meta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-06
## Key Facts
- BitFuTard raised $100 against $100,000 target (0.1% success rate)
- Launch closed on 2026-03-06, one day after opening
- Project used Futardio v0.7 platform
- Token symbol was 6DD

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/rFdgjcZYHgcsGy44iyvN95JRjB3Yr8APps437cd2HEL"
date: 2026-03-05
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Launch Details
@ -202,3 +206,11 @@ Campaign live on futard.io — support the FUTARDIO Boat.
- Token mint: `6AuEKXSe1yesLW4zFU8hqaevutQ87ow7meftr8Pbmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-06
## Key Facts
- FUTARDIO Boat targeted €150,000 raise for 24-month canal boat operations
- Proposed monthly burn rate of €5,000 for lease, crew, and maintenance
- Amsterdam canals require electric vessels for central canal access
- Campaign closed March 6, 2026 in refunding status
- Project planned May 2026 public launch if funded