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Teleo Agents
418d722e1a auto-fix: strip 5 broken wiki links
Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links
that don't resolve to existing claims in the knowledge base.
2026-03-16 14:21:42 +00:00
Teleo Agents
78ccd8b233 extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:21:42 +00:00
Leo
ccb0d9cba1 Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet' (#1119) from extract/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet into main
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2026-03-16 14:21:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
348bccb727 extract: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:21:00 +00:00
Leo
b64789b12a extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-futardio-boat (#1124) 2026-03-16 14:20:58 +00:00
6 changed files with 65 additions and 8 deletions

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@ -12,6 +12,12 @@ created: 2026-03-04
Rock Game raised $272 against a $10 target (27.2x oversubscription) on futardio, demonstrating continued ability of futarchy-governed launches to attract speculative capital even for trivial projects with minimal substance.
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
XorraBet raised N/A (effectively $0) against a $410K target despite positioning as a futarchy-governed betting platform with a $166B addressable market narrative. This suggests futarchy governance alone does not guarantee capital attraction when the underlying product lacks market validation or credibility.
---
# Futarchy-governed meme coins attract speculative capital at scale

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@ -31,13 +31,19 @@ The variance pattern also interacts with the prediction accuracy failure: market
- Grants Council unique selections: Extra Finance, Gyroscope, Reservoir
- Prediction overconfidence at tails: Rocket Pool $59.4M predicted vs $0 actual, Balancer & Beets -$13.7M actual despite $47.9M predicted
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
BlockRock's charter claims futarchy solves the asset management problem through 'performance-optimized decisions' where 'decisions are priced by participants with capital at stake to maximize risk-adjusted returns.' However, their launch immediately failed with only $100 raised against $500K target, suggesting futarchy may filter out projects before they can demonstrate variance. The mechanism may prevent launches rather than create portfolio variance.
---
Relevant Notes:
- [[Living Capital vehicles pair Living Agent domain expertise with futarchy-governed investment to direct capital toward crucial innovations.md]]
- [[optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles.md]]
- [[futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md]]
- Living Capital vehicles pair Living Agent domain expertise with futarchy-governed investment to direct capital toward crucial innovations.md
- optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles.md
- futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md
Topics:
- [[domains/internet-finance/_map]]
- [[core/living-capital/_map]]
- domains/internet-finance/_map
- core/living-capital/_map

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@ -47,6 +47,12 @@ This structure is untested in practice. Key risks:
MycoRealms allocates 3M tokens (18.9% of supply) to team with zero circulating at launch, unlocking only at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP after 18-month cliff. Physical infrastructure project demonstrates mechanism applies beyond pure digital contexts.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
XorraBet structured 4M team tokens (20% of supply) with five tranches unlocking at 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, and 32x price multiples, with an 18-month cliff and 3-month TWAP evaluation. At launch, 0 team tokens circulate, and if the token never reaches 2x, the team receives nothing.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY"
date: 2026-03-04
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md", "performance-unlocked-team-tokens-with-price-multiple-triggers-and-twap-settlement-create-long-term-alignment-without-initial-dilution.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Launch Details
@ -414,3 +418,13 @@ This aligns **protocol decisions with token holder incentives**.
- Token mint: `FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-05
## Key Facts
- XorraBet targeted $410,000 USDC fundraise on Futardio
- Global online gambling projected to exceed $166B by 2030
- XorraBet planned $29,000 monthly burn rate over 12 months
- 20% of raised funds ($82K) allocated to liquidity provision
- First post-raise proposal planned for $60K development spending
- Token: Fom (FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta)
- Launch address: 24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/J7CmLqfMLVq67swRQa6xCWn7VcyfpyhFSiQdJYNwkP8k"
date: 2026-03-05
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-variance-creates-portfolio-problem-because-mechanism-selects-both-top-performers-and-worst-performers-simultaneously.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Launch Details
@ -193,3 +197,12 @@ BlockRock is designed to scale to trillions in assets under management. The toke
- Token mint: `D9o2F3Pu7gowtZr1PjPFiQr4DwVPkNJhqPjpVRwjmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-06
## Key Facts
- BlockRock raised $100 against $500K target on futard.io (0.02% of goal)
- BlockRock entered refunding status within 24 hours of launch
- BlackRock earns ~73% revenue from management fees, ~5% from performance fees
- BlackRock has 20,000+ employees, 70+ global offices, 1,700+ ETFs
- Asset management industry is $120T+
- MtnCapital was an early-stage VC fund on MetaDAO that wound down, returning treasury to holders

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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/rFdgjcZYHgcsGy44iyvN95JRjB3Yr8APps437cd2HEL"
date: 2026-03-05
domain: internet-finance
format: data
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
---
## Launch Details
@ -202,3 +206,11 @@ Campaign live on futard.io — support the FUTARDIO Boat.
- Token mint: `6AuEKXSe1yesLW4zFU8hqaevutQ87ow7meftr8Pbmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-06
## Key Facts
- FUTARDIO Boat targeted €150,000 raise for 24-month canal boat operations
- Proposed monthly burn rate of €5,000 for lease, crew, and maintenance
- Amsterdam canals require electric vessels for central canal access
- Campaign closed March 6, 2026 in refunding status
- Project planned May 2026 public launch if funded