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30 changed files with 321 additions and 14 deletions
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@ -42,6 +42,12 @@ SELECT trial exploratory analysis (N=17,604, median 41.8 months) shows semagluti
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Phase 3 trial shows semaglutide 2.4mg achieves 62.9% resolution of steatohepatitis without worsening fibrosis vs 34.3% placebo. Meta-analysis confirms GLP-1 RAs significantly increase histologic resolution of MASH, decrease liver fat deposition, improve hepatocellular ballooning, and reduce lobular inflammation. Some hepatoprotective benefits appear at least partly independent of weight loss, suggesting direct liver effects beyond metabolic improvement. This adds hepatic protection as a third major organ system (alongside cardiovascular and renal) where GLP-1s demonstrate protective effects.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-05-29-nejm-flow-trial-semaglutide-kidney-outcomes]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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FLOW trial demonstrated 29% reduction in cardiovascular death (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.89) and 18% lower risk of major cardiovascular events in a kidney-focused trial. The cardiovascular benefits emerged as secondary endpoints in a study designed for kidney outcomes, supporting the multi-organ protection thesis. Separate analysis in Nature Medicine showed additive benefits when combined with SGLT2 inhibitors.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -28,6 +28,12 @@ This is the first dedicated kidney outcomes trial with a GLP-1 receptor agonist,
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- FDA indication expansion to T2D patients with CKD (2024)
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- Dialysis cost benchmark: $90K+/year per patient
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-05-29-nejm-flow-trial-semaglutide-kidney-outcomes]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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FLOW trial (N=3,533, median 3.4 years follow-up) showed 24% reduction in major kidney disease events (HR 0.76, P=0.0003), with annual eGFR decline slowed by 1.16 mL/min/1.73m2 (P<0.001). Trial stopped early at prespecified interim analysis due to efficacy. FDA subsequently expanded semaglutide indications to include T2D patients with CKD. This is the first dedicated kidney outcomes trial with a GLP-1 receptor agonist, published in NEJM.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -12,6 +12,12 @@ created: 2026-03-04
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Rock Game raised $272 against a $10 target (27.2x oversubscription) on futardio, demonstrating continued ability of futarchy-governed launches to attract speculative capital even for trivial projects with minimal substance.
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### Additional Evidence (challenge)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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XorraBet raised N/A (effectively $0) against a $410K target despite positioning as a futarchy-governed betting platform with a $166B addressable market narrative. This suggests futarchy governance alone does not guarantee capital attraction when the underlying product lacks market validation or credibility.
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---
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# Futarchy-governed meme coins attract speculative capital at scale
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@ -17,6 +17,12 @@ The Drift proposal establishes a 2/3 multisig execution group (metaprophet, Suma
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The Drift proposal explicitly states 'All grant decisions are at the discretion of the decision council and any such decisions made by the decision council are final.' This creates a hybrid structure where futarchy approves the program budget but a committee controls individual allocations, demonstrating the pattern of discretionary override for operational decisions.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-05-30-futardio-proposal-drift-futarchy-proposal-welcome-the-futarchs]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Drift proposal uses 2/3 multisig execution group (metaprophet, Sumatt, Lmvdzande) with explicit discretion: 'exact criteria for this shall be finalized by the execution group' for activity filtering, and 'if successful proposals exceed two, executor group can decide top N proposals to split.' Multisig receives 3,000 DRIFT allocation and has authority to 'distribute their allocation as they see fit' or return excess funds.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -38,6 +38,12 @@ Dean's List DAO's fee increase proposal included switching quote token from mSOL
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The HNT-ORE boost proposal frames strategic partnership value through liquidity network effects and brand positioning ('flagship DePIN project', 'competitive unit of account for real world assets'). Markets must price whether Helium association increases ORE's perceived legitimacy and network depth, demonstrating futarchy's ability to evaluate partnership proposals with significant intangible components.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-12-02-futardio-proposal-approve-deans-list-treasury-management]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Dean's List DAO treasury de-risking proposal passed with market pricing showing 5-20% FDV increase ($500k to $525k-$600k) based on financial stability perception. The proposal explicitly modeled how converting volatile assets to stablecoins would impact market confidence and token valuation, demonstrating futarchy markets can price operational stability as a token price input.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -73,6 +73,18 @@ Dean's List DAO proposal passed with TWAP threshold requiring only 3% MCAP incre
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The Dean's List proposal passed futarchy governance despite requiring complex multi-step economic modeling (FDV projections, TWAP calculations, sell pressure estimates) that most token holders would not independently verify. The 5.33% projected FDV increase exceeded the 3% TWAP requirement, suggesting the proposal's passage reflected trust in the model rather than independent market validation of the buyback mechanics.
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2026-03-06-futardio-launch-lobsterfutarchy]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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LobsterFutarchy's failure ($1,183 of $500,000 target) occurred despite proposing infrastructure for a stated market need (agent financial sandboxing) and reasonable economics ($45k/month burn for 12 months). The 99.8% funding shortfall suggests participation friction or credibility gaps rather than market rejection of the concept itself.
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2024-12-02-futardio-proposal-approve-deans-list-treasury-management]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Dean's List treasury proposal required TWAP > 3% to pass and projected 5-20% FDV increase, well above the threshold. The proposal passed, suggesting that when economic benefits substantially exceed participation thresholds, friction becomes less determinative of outcomes.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -11,6 +11,12 @@ created: 2026-03-15
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The Drift proposal structures proposer rewards with a three-month delay between proposal passage and token claim. Passing proposals earn up to 5,000 DRIFT each, but tokens are only claimable after three months. This delay creates a quality filter: proposers must believe their proposals will create sustained value that survives the vesting period. Without this delay, rational actors could spam low-quality proposals to extract rewards, knowing they can exit before negative effects manifest. The proposal also includes an executor group discretion clause - if successful proposals exceed expectations, the group can decide which top N proposals split the allocation. This combines time-based filtering with human judgment to prevent gaming. The 20,000 DRIFT activity pool uses the same three-month delay, with criteria finalized by the execution group to 'filter for non organic activity.'
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-05-30-futardio-proposal-drift-futarchy-proposal-welcome-the-futarchs]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Drift proposal implements 3-month vesting for proposer rewards (up to 5,000 DRIFT per passing proposal) and activity pool rewards (20,000 DRIFT split), explicitly stating rewards are 'claimable after 3 months.' This prevents immediate extraction and forces alignment with longer-term outcomes.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -11,6 +11,12 @@ created: 2026-03-15
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The Drift Futarchy incentive program explicitly uses retroactive token distribution to MetaDAO participants as a mechanism to bootstrap engagement. The proposal cites the endowment effect - the behavioral economics finding that people value things more highly once they own them - as the theoretical basis. By distributing 9,600 DRIFT to 32 MetaDAO participants based on historical activity (5+ interactions over 30+ days), plus 2,400 DRIFT to AMM swappers, the proposal creates a cohort of token holders who have psychological ownership before the futarchy system launches. This differs from standard airdrops by explicitly targeting demonstrated forecasters rather than broad distribution. The tiered structure (100-400 DRIFT based on META holdings) further segments by engagement level. The proposal pairs this with forward incentives (5,000 DRIFT per passing proposal, 20,000 DRIFT activity pool) to convert initial ownership into sustained participation.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-05-30-futardio-proposal-drift-futarchy-proposal-welcome-the-futarchs]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Drift Futarchy proposal explicitly cites endowment effect as mechanism for retroactive rewards to 32 MetaDAO participants (9,600 DRIFT) based on activity thresholds. Proposal states rewards are 'meant to signal rewards for strong forecasters in futarchic markets' by 'rewarding early and active participants of MetaDAO with tokens to participate in Drift Futarchy (via the endowment effect).'
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -47,6 +47,12 @@ This structure is untested in practice. Key risks:
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MycoRealms allocates 3M tokens (18.9% of supply) to team with zero circulating at launch, unlocking only at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP after 18-month cliff. Physical infrastructure project demonstrates mechanism applies beyond pure digital contexts.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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XorraBet structured 4M team tokens (20% of supply) with five tranches unlocking at 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, and 32x price multiples, with an 18-month cliff and 3-month TWAP evaluation. At launch, 0 team tokens circulate, and if the token never reaches 2x, the team receives nothing.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ Creator-owned streaming platform focused on comedy content. Reached 1M+ subscrib
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- **2024-08-01** — Profiled by Variety as part of emerging indie streaming category alongside Nebula and Critical Role
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- **2025-10-XX** — Reached 1M+ subscribers milestone
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- **2026-03-01** — CVL Economics analysis reveals 1M+ subscribers generating $80-90M revenue with 40-45% EBITDA margins and 40 full-time employees, achieving $3.0-3.3M revenue per employee. Platform maintains stable pricing for 3+ years, grandfathers legacy subscriber rates, encourages password sharing, and distributes profits to all contributors including unsuccessful auditionees. Estimated to have reached 50-67% penetration of total addressable market.
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## Relationship to KB
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- [[creator-owned-streaming-infrastructure-has-reached-commercial-scale-with-430M-annual-creator-revenue-across-13M-subscribers]]
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@ -52,6 +52,8 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
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- **2024-08-28** — MetaDAO proposal to develop futardio as memecoin launchpad with futarchy governance failed. Proposal would have allocated $100k grant over 6 months to development team. Key features: percentage of each new token supply allocated to futarchy DAO, points-to-token conversion within 180 days, revenue distribution to $FUTA holders, immutable deployment on IPFS/Arweave. Proposal rejected by market, suggesting reputational risks outweighed adoption benefits.
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- **2025-11-14** — Solomon launch: $8M raised (12.9x oversubscribed, $102.9M committed) for composable yield-bearing stablecoin
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- **2026-02-03** — Hurupay fundraise launched targeting $3M, closed Feb 7 at $2M (67% of target) in refunding status
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- **2026-03-05** — Seyf AI-native wallet launch: raised $200 against $300,000 target, refunded (99.93% shortfall)
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- **2026-03-06** — LobsterFutarchy launch raised $1,183 against $500,000 target, closed in refunding status after one day
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## Competitive Position
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- **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
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- **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."
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@ -65,6 +65,7 @@ The futarchy governance protocol on Solana. Implements decision markets through
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- **2024-01-24** — Proposed AMM program to replace CLOB markets, addressing liquidity fragmentation and state rent costs (Proposal CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1PG)
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- **2024-01-29** — AMM proposal passed with 400 META on approval and 800 META on completion budget
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- **2024-08-31** — Passed proposal to enter services agreement with Organization Technology LLC, creating US entity vehicle for paying contributors with $1.378M annualized burn rate. Entity owns no IP (all owned by MetaDAO LLC) and cannot encumber MetaDAO LLC. Agreement cancellable with 30-day notice or immediately for material breach.
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- **2024-03-19** — Colosseum proposes $250,000 OTC acquisition of META with TWAP-based pricing (market price up to $850, voided above $1,200), 20% immediate unlock and 80% 12-month linear vest. Proposal passed 2024-03-24. Includes commitment to sponsor DAO track ($50-80K prize pool) in next Solana hackathon after Renaissance at no cost to MetaDAO.
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## Key Decisions
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| Date | Proposal | Proposer | Category | Outcome |
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|------|----------|----------|----------|---------|
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@ -38,6 +38,7 @@ The team includes crypticmeta (Solana/Bitcoin developer, previously built Ordina
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- **2026-03-04** — Fundraise closed in refunding status (did not reach $200K minimum)
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- **2026-01-01** — Launched $125,000 USDC raise on Futardio with 72-hour window. Token supply: 15.9M max (10M ICO, 2.9M liquidity, 3M team). Monthly allowance: $10,000. First CAPEX proposal: $50K for 3 growing rooms, accommodation, DG set. Team: crypticmeta (Solana/Bitcoin dev, OrdinalNovus $30M volume) + Ram (5+ years mushroom production). Performance-based team vesting: 5 tranches at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP, 18-month minimum cliff. All operations published to Arweave for transparency.
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- **2026-03-11** — Launched $125K futarchy-governed fundraise on Futardio for mushroom farm infrastructure. Token supply: 15.9M max (12.9M circulating), with 10M ICO tokens (62.9%), 2.9M liquidity (18.2%), 3M team performance package (18.9%). Team tokens locked with 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x price triggers, 18-month cliff, 3-month TWAP evaluation. Monthly treasury allowance: $10K. First proposal post-raise: $50K CAPEX for 3 growing rooms, accommodation, DG set. 72-hour raise window with full refunds if target not met.
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## Governance Structure
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Treasury control enforced through:
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@ -53,6 +53,7 @@ Combined AMM + lending protocol on Solana — swapping and borrowing in the same
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- **Pending** — LP experience improvements, combined APY display (swap + interest), off-chain watchers for bad debt monitoring
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- **2026-01-00** — Performance update: reached 16x peak return, currently trading at ~5x from ICO price
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- **2026-03-09** — Jupiter SDK integration ready and imminent; identified as highest-impact near-term catalyst. Team of 6, $2-3M market cap, $250-300K TVL. Core challenge: chicken-and-egg liquidity bootstrapping between LPs (need borrow demand) and borrowers (need LP depth). Rate controller mechanism adjusts borrow costs dynamically based on utilization. 1% withdrawal fee implemented for security. Positioned as 'only game in town' for metaDAO ecosystem leverage until Drift enters (if META hits $1B).
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||||
## Competitive Position
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||||
- **"Only game in town"** for leverage on MetaDAO ecosystem tokens currently
|
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- Rakka argues mathematically: same AMM + aggregator integration + borrow rate surplus = must yield more than Raydium for equivalent pools
|
||||
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@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
|
|||
{
|
||||
"rejected_claims": [
|
||||
{
|
||||
"filename": "short-form-creator-content-is-primary-discovery-mechanism-with-66-percent-of-users-finding-new-content-through-clips-not-traditional-marketing.md",
|
||||
"issues": [
|
||||
"missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
|
||||
"validation_stats": {
|
||||
"total": 1,
|
||||
"kept": 0,
|
||||
"fixed": 3,
|
||||
"rejected": 1,
|
||||
"fixes_applied": [
|
||||
"short-form-creator-content-is-primary-discovery-mechanism-with-66-percent-of-users-finding-new-content-through-clips-not-traditional-marketing.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
|
||||
"short-form-creator-content-is-primary-discovery-mechanism-with-66-percent-of-users-finding-new-content-through-clips-not-traditional-marketing.md:stripped_wiki_link:social-video-is-already-25-percent-of-all-video-consumption-",
|
||||
"short-form-creator-content-is-primary-discovery-mechanism-with-66-percent-of-users-finding-new-content-through-clips-not-traditional-marketing.md:stripped_wiki_link:creator-and-corporate-media-economies-are-zero-sum-because-t"
|
||||
],
|
||||
"rejections": [
|
||||
"short-form-creator-content-is-primary-discovery-mechanism-with-66-percent-of-users-finding-new-content-through-clips-not-traditional-marketing.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
},
|
||||
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
|
||||
"date": "2026-03-16"
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
|
|||
{
|
||||
"rejected_claims": [
|
||||
{
|
||||
"filename": "permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md",
|
||||
"issues": [
|
||||
"missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"filename": "futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md",
|
||||
"issues": [
|
||||
"missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"filename": "futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md",
|
||||
"issues": [
|
||||
"missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
|
||||
"validation_stats": {
|
||||
"total": 3,
|
||||
"kept": 0,
|
||||
"fixed": 6,
|
||||
"rejected": 3,
|
||||
"fixes_applied": [
|
||||
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
|
||||
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:stripped_wiki_link:internet-capital-markets-compress-fundraising-from-months-to",
|
||||
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
|
||||
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:stripped_wiki_link:futarchy-governed-liquidation-is-the-enforcement-mechanism-t",
|
||||
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
|
||||
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:stripped_wiki_link:cryptos-primary-use-case-is-capital-formation-not-payments-o"
|
||||
],
|
||||
"rejections": [
|
||||
"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
|
||||
"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
|
||||
"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
|
||||
]
|
||||
},
|
||||
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
|
||||
"date": "2026-03-16"
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
|
@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2024-05-29
|
|||
domain: health
|
||||
secondary_domains: []
|
||||
format: paper
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: enrichment
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
tags: [glp-1, semaglutide, CKD, kidney-disease, FLOW-trial, organ-protection]
|
||||
processed_by: vida
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
enrichments_applied: ["semaglutide-reduces-kidney-disease-progression-24-percent-and-delays-dialysis-creating-largest-per-patient-cost-savings.md", "glp-1-multi-organ-protection-creates-compounding-value-across-kidney-cardiovascular-and-metabolic-endpoints.md"]
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Content
|
||||
|
|
@ -38,3 +42,11 @@ Additive benefits when used with SGLT2 inhibitors (separate analysis in Nature M
|
|||
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[GLP-1 receptor agonists are the largest therapeutic category launch in pharmaceutical history but their chronic use model makes the net cost impact inflationary through 2035]]
|
||||
WHY ARCHIVED: Kidney protection is where GLP-1 downstream savings are largest per-patient — dialysis prevention is the economic mechanism most favorable to the VBC cost-saving thesis
|
||||
EXTRACTION HINT: Focus on the economic implications of slowed kidney decline for capitated payers, not just the clinical endpoint
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- FLOW trial had N=3,533 patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease
|
||||
- Median follow-up was 3.4 years before early stopping
|
||||
- Trial was stopped at prespecified interim analysis due to efficacy
|
||||
- Dialysis costs approximately $90K+/year per patient in the US
|
||||
- Separate analysis in Nature Medicine showed additive benefits with SGLT2 inhibitors
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/9jAnAupCdPQCFvuAMr5ZkmxDdEKqsneurgvUnx7Az9z
|
|||
date: 2024-05-30
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: enrichment
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
|
||||
event_type: proposal
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-retroactive-rewards-bootstrap-participation-through-endowment-effect.md", "futarchy-proposer-incentives-require-delayed-vesting-to-prevent-gaming.md", "futarchy-incentive-programs-use-multisig-execution-groups-as-discretionary-override.md"]
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Proposal Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -107,3 +111,11 @@ In the event of uncertainty or excess budget, funds shall be returned to origina
|
|||
- Autocrat version: 0.3
|
||||
- Completed: 2024-06-02
|
||||
- Ended: 2024-06-02
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- Drift Futarchy proposal 9jAnAupCdPQCFvuAMr5ZkmxDdEKqsneurgvUnx7Az9zS passed on 2024-06-02
|
||||
- 32 MetaDAO participants qualified for retroactive rewards based on 5+ interactions over 30+ days before May 19, 2024
|
||||
- Retroactive reward tiers: <1 META = 100 DRIFT, >=1 META = 200 DRIFT, >=10 META = 400 DRIFT
|
||||
- Total budget: 50,000 DRIFT split as 9,600 retroactive to qualified participants, 2,400 to AMM swappers, 10,000 for future proposers, 25,000 activity pool, 3,000 execution group
|
||||
- Execution group: metaprophet, Sumatt, Lmvdzande operating as 2/3 multisig
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/4gaJ8bi1gpNEx6xSSsepjVBM6GXqTDfLbiUbzXbARHW
|
|||
date: 2024-12-02
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: enrichment
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
|
||||
event_type: proposal
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md", "futarchy-proposals-with-favorable-economics-can-fail-due-to-participation-friction-not-market-disagreement.md"]
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Proposal Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -122,3 +126,11 @@ This strategy ensures financial stability while signaling prudence to investors,
|
|||
- Autocrat version: 0.3
|
||||
- Completed: 2024-12-05
|
||||
- Ended: 2024-12-05
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- Dean's List DAO treasury valued at $75,000-$87,000 at $350 SOL (excluding DEAN token)
|
||||
- Proposal required TWAP > 3% for passage, with conservative FDV baseline of $500,000
|
||||
- De-risking projected to increase survival probability from 50% to 90%
|
||||
- Market modeled 5% confidence boost scenario ($525k FDV) and 20% confidence boost scenario ($600k FDV)
|
||||
- Proposal created 2024-12-02, completed 2024-12-05
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-02-01
|
|||
domain: entertainment
|
||||
secondary_domains: [cultural-dynamics]
|
||||
format: report
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
tags: [creator-economy, trust, content-discovery, fan-engagement, media-2026]
|
||||
processed_by: clay
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 1 claims, 1 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Content
|
||||
|
|
@ -38,3 +42,9 @@ CTAM analysis of how creators and community content are reshaping media trust dy
|
|||
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[social video is already 25 percent of all video consumption and growing because dopamine-optimized formats match generational attention patterns]]
|
||||
WHY ARCHIVED: The 66% discovery statistic extends the social video claim from consumption to DISCOVERY — community/creator channels now control how audiences find content
|
||||
EXTRACTION HINT: The discovery-as-distribution mechanism is the key claim. If community controls discovery, community controls distribution.
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- CTAM is the Cable & Telecommunications Association for Marketing, representing the cable/telecommunications industry
|
||||
- AMC Networks and BritBox are cited as examples of traditional media using fan-first activation strategies
|
||||
- CTAM frames successful media strategies as requiring 'testing, learning, and adapting' rather than top-down commissioning
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/87ZWGbregxaa7TMD3TgYg6n2ADdTN1vqXpVCtSvKjEjw"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-04
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -135,3 +139,11 @@ Richnames NFT usernames generate immediate revenue from Day 1. Pricing follows a
|
|||
- Token mint: `852igHkfJvy8XVDxBVCnunDxCudTtiYVT7LErBxymeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-05
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- i.rich raised $255 against $100,000 target on futard.io (0.26% of target)
|
||||
- i.rich planned $10k/month burn rate: $5k team, $2k infrastructure, $3k marketing
|
||||
- i.rich Richnames pricing: 1 char = 500 SOL, 2 char = 100 SOL, 3 char = 50 SOL, 4 char = 10 SOL, 5 char = 1 SOL, 6 char = 0.5 SOL, 7 char = 0.1 SOL, 8 char = 0.05 SOL, 9 char = 0.02 SOL, 10+ char = 0.01 SOL
|
||||
- i.rich Q1 2026 deliverables: Jupiter/Raydium Swap Integration, Richnames Smart Contract (Devnet), SNS Domain Support, Dynamic Link Parsing Engine
|
||||
- i.rich Q2 2026 roadmap: Richnames Mainnet (April), Titan Exchange Integration (April), Analytics Dashboard (May), Donations/Tips System (May), Mobile App MVP (June)
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/ActRESLUCdMzU4BnEE5VtMM2JG5ghZuKWkjXfiB5GdS7"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-04
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -198,3 +202,12 @@ Secondary Market : Solana Degens
|
|||
- Token mint: `AaEYgXdHpzS9bBgAvDriVMvKDQUnqtVYAtLZJGjometa`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-05
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- Send Arcade raised $114,933 against $288,000 minimum target on Futard.io, resulting in refund
|
||||
- Send Arcade had 9M+ on-chain plays and $200k+ ARR before independence
|
||||
- Send token was sunset 2 months before March 2026 fundraise
|
||||
- Send Arcade games achieved 20k+ plays across 3k+ unique users on Farcaster
|
||||
- Fundraise included 10% performance package configuration
|
||||
- Monthly team budget target was $20,000 USD for 11-month runway
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/CtynMdGE4CwJuUSoYhRf4powwKwT8bWo5Dq2KiBVEiKm"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-04
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -134,3 +138,11 @@ It is a new category: **provable, private, and socially viral sexual health infr
|
|||
- Token mint: `GPM6F86ritzhCvB7ZwkdxMEjgiXEiyW4nQ226PZemeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-05
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- SizeMatters raised $4,969 against $75,000 target on futardio (6.6% success rate)
|
||||
- Launch used futardio v0.7 platform
|
||||
- Project claimed to train models on 4,000+ synthetic genital images generated from 3D Blender pipelines
|
||||
- Competitor Dr. Kegel reportedly generates ~$300k/month revenue
|
||||
- Planned capital allocation: 40% product/engineering, 30% growth, 20% compliance, 10% operations
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-04
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: enrichment
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md", "performance-unlocked-team-tokens-with-price-multiple-triggers-and-twap-settlement-create-long-term-alignment-without-initial-dilution.md"]
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -414,3 +418,13 @@ This aligns **protocol decisions with token holder incentives**.
|
|||
- Token mint: `FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-05
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- XorraBet targeted $410,000 USDC fundraise on Futardio
|
||||
- Global online gambling projected to exceed $166B by 2030
|
||||
- XorraBet planned $29,000 monthly burn rate over 12 months
|
||||
- 20% of raised funds ($82K) allocated to liquidity provision
|
||||
- First post-raise proposal planned for $60K development spending
|
||||
- Token: Fom (FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta)
|
||||
- Launch address: 24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ url: https://x.com/TheiaResearch/status/2029231349425684521
|
|||
date: 2026-03-04
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: tweet
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
tags: [metadao, futardio, fundraising, permissionless-launch, capital-formation]
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 3 claims, 3 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Content
|
||||
|
|
@ -37,3 +41,9 @@ Futardio is a paradigm shift for capital markets. We will fund you - quickly and
|
|||
**Extraction hints:** At least 2-3 claims here: (1) permissionless launches create new fundraising cultural norms, (2) the 10x upside gap in traditional VC is a market failure that futarchy-governed launches solve, (3) public accountability from day 1 is a feature not a bug.
|
||||
|
||||
**Context:** Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem. He's been one of the most articulate proponents of the futarchy-governed capital formation thesis. This tweet got 118 likes — high engagement for crypto-finance X.
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem
|
||||
- This tweet received 118 likes, indicating high engagement for crypto-finance content on X
|
||||
- Montealegre identifies 'Public on Day 1' as a core founder skillset in futarchy-governed launches: 'Communicating with markets and liquid investors is a core founder skillset'
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/3jDrz2B6aDgjKSArkJPkqQPnYXqtihjAtGHf7tRohjj2"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-05
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -42,3 +46,10 @@ Let's build generational wealth with a plan.
|
|||
- Token mint: `6DDex5uLd1Swj28fMnCFctXWCT2XAyzyQSMDxDh9meta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-06
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- BitFuTard raised $100 against $100,000 target (0.1% success rate)
|
||||
- Launch closed on 2026-03-06, one day after opening
|
||||
- Project used Futardio v0.7 platform
|
||||
- Token symbol was 6DD
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/rFdgjcZYHgcsGy44iyvN95JRjB3Yr8APps437cd2HEL"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-05
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -202,3 +206,11 @@ Campaign live on futard.io — support the FUTARDIO Boat.
|
|||
- Token mint: `6AuEKXSe1yesLW4zFU8hqaevutQ87ow7meftr8Pbmeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-06
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- FUTARDIO Boat targeted €150,000 raise for 24-month canal boat operations
|
||||
- Proposed monthly burn rate of €5,000 for lease, crew, and maintenance
|
||||
- Amsterdam canals require electric vessels for central canal access
|
||||
- Campaign closed March 6, 2026 in refunding status
|
||||
- Project planned May 2026 public launch if funded
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/2d9RAui8BGYh8Jt7dc49WSFTuXVRT4nNE4Sy2mUtALNZ"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-06
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: enrichment
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-proposals-with-favorable-economics-can-fail-due-to-participation-friction-not-market-disagreement.md"]
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -191,3 +195,12 @@ The objective is to become the default control layer for agentic finance, giving
|
|||
- Token mint: `8qs5bkW4E2gQMniMdZsAwRDSQmPRs4mMuMfwk5aTmeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-07
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy targeted $500,000 fundraise on futard.io
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy raised $1,183 total committed capital
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy launch opened 2026-03-06 and closed 2026-03-07 in refunding status
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy proposed $45,000/month burn rate ($35k team, $5k infrastructure, $5k growth)
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy token: 8qs, mint address 8qs5bkW4E2gQMniMdZsAwRDSQmPRs4mMuMfwk5aTmeta
|
||||
- LobsterFutarchy launch address: 2d9RAui8BGYh8Jt7dc49WSFTuXVRT4nNE4Sy2mUtALNZ
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/9diK9jWj4vEbCw6mKaSekdn2vw2R62jFDhCgYerCo8jK"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-07
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -412,3 +416,15 @@ And hopefully make Web3 onboarding **a little smarter and a lot less spammy**.
|
|||
- Token mint: `FbA6HqFFw1crzuPReoaUuT6XESU3fz52FCUhL4B7meta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
- Closed: 2026-03-08
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- NexID fundraise on Futardio targeted $50,000 at $75,000 implied valuation
|
||||
- NexID fundraise status: Refunding (failed)
|
||||
- NexID monthly burn: $5,000 ($2,000 team, $2,000 infrastructure, $1,000 marketing)
|
||||
- NexID projected runway: 6-8 months with $50,000 raise
|
||||
- NexID has been fully self-funded to date
|
||||
- NexID founder previously educated 5,000+ students through TinyTap and Open Campus partnerships
|
||||
- Synthesia (AI video company used by NexID) valued at $4B
|
||||
- NexID offers 25% referral rewards for domain holders
|
||||
- NexID allows up to 1,000 domains (5+ characters) distributed per partner campaign
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/DSt7fVv3fEt5brtchiqo1m4J5MRvHPBDkYm7aTpLAjVN"
|
|||
date: 2026-03-12
|
||||
domain: internet-finance
|
||||
format: data
|
||||
status: unprocessed
|
||||
status: null-result
|
||||
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
|
||||
event_type: launch
|
||||
processed_by: rio
|
||||
processed_date: 2026-03-16
|
||||
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
|
||||
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Launch Details
|
||||
|
|
@ -25,3 +29,12 @@ event_type: launch
|
|||
- Token: HC4 (HC4)
|
||||
- Token mint: `HC4SA5CStYzkcYwTaXVZ7pQuxaK7kpHUNNXbFosZmeta`
|
||||
- Version: v0.7
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## Key Facts
|
||||
- HC4 launched on futard.io on 2026-03-12
|
||||
- HC4 funding target was $1.00
|
||||
- HC4 total committed was $1.00
|
||||
- HC4 token mint: HC4SA5CStYzkcYwTaXVZ7pQuxaK7kpHUNNXbFosZmeta
|
||||
- HC4 launch address: DSt7fVv3fEt5brtchiqo1m4J5MRvHPBDkYm7aTpLAjVN
|
||||
- HC4 used Autocrat v0.7
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
Loading…
Reference in a new issue